* price as on 04 Feb 2025
Financial
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue (Rsm) 27,466 43,592 54,594 65,264
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 2,619 4,233 5,248 6,390
Net Profit (Rsm) 1,371 2,362 3,127 3,951
Core EPS (Rs) 5.3 9.1 12.0 15.2
Core EPS Growth 77.0% 72.3% 32.3% 26.4%
FD Core P/E (x) 173.98 100.98 76.30 60.38
DPS (Rs)
Dividend Yield
EV/EBITDA (x) 92.32 57.46 46.00 37.22
P/FCFE (x) (57.54) 192.24 72.25 45.76
Net Gearing 31.1% 36.7% 18.0% (3.6%)
P/BV (x) 22.98 18.72 15.03 12.04
ROE 19.1% 20.4% 21.9% 22.1%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Net Revenues 27,466 43,592 54,594 65,264
Gross Profit 5,403 8,860 10,810 12,988
Operating EBITDA 2,619 4,233 5,248 6,390
Depreciation And Amortisation (466) (648) (712) (785)
Operating EBIT 2,153 3,586 4,536 5,605
Financial Income/(Expense) (517) (793) (720) (807)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc. 25 81 137
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 130 229 164 196
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 1,766 3,047 4,061 5,131
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 1,766 3,047 4,061 5,131
Taxation (395) (684) (934) (1,180)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 1,371 2,362 3,127 3,951
Minority Interests
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 1,371 2,362 3,127 3,951
Recurring Net Profit 1,371 2,362 3,127 3,951
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 1,371 2,362 3,127 3,951
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
EBITDA 1,765 3,047 4,061 5,131
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital (649) (1,330) (2,117) (2,040)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense 1,051 3,206 3,670 4,202
Other Operating Cashflow
Net Interest (Paid)/Received
Tax Paid (303) (684) (934) (1,180)
Cashflow From Operations 1,863 4,238 4,680 6,113
Capex (2,268) (3,600) (1,500) (1,500)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries 10
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments (1,734) (3) (557) (160)
Other Investing Cashflow
Cash Flow From Investing (3,992) (3,603) (2,057) (1,660)
Debt Raised/(repaid) (2,017) 607 679 761
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares 4,918
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow (557) (863) (800) (887)
Cash Flow From Financing 2,344 (256) (121) (126)
Total Cash Generated 215 378 2,502 4,327
Free Cashflow To Equity (4,146) 1,241 3,302 5,213
Free Cashflow To Firm (2,129) 634 2,622 4,452
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Cash And Equivalents 1,824 982 3,483 7,810
Total Debtors 5,558 6,612 8,431 10,436
Inventories 5,434 6,185 8,397 10,026
Total Other Current Assets 1,269 2,066 2,288 2,736
Total Current Assets 14,085 15,845 22,600 31,007
Fixed Assets 8,446 10,870 11,670 12,397
Total Investments 258 262 819 979
Intangible Assets 12 12 12 12
Total Other Non-Current Assets 285 872 218 261
Total Non-current Assets 9,001 12,016 12,720 13,650
Short-term Debt 2,482 2,779 3,113 3,486
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 6,464 7,548 9,464 11,291
Other Current Liabilities 684 872 1,092 1,305
Total Current Liabilities 9,629 11,199 13,668 16,083
Total Long-term Debt 2,573 2,882 3,228 3,615
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 414 654 819 979
Total Non-current Liabilities 2,987 3,536 4,047 4,594
Total Provisions 89 392 491 587
Total Liabilities 12,705 15,127 18,206 21,264
Shareholders Equity 10,381 12,743 15,870 19,821
Minority Interests
Total Equity 10,381 12,743 15,870 19,821
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue Growth 27.2% 58.7% 25.2% 19.5%
Operating EBITDA Growth 48.8% 61.6% 24.0% 21.8%
Operating EBITDA Margin 9.5% 9.7% 9.6% 9.8%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) (12.41) (17.98) (10.98) 2.72
BVPS (Rs) 39.89 48.96 60.98 76.16
Gross Interest Cover 4.16 4.52 6.30 6.95
Effective Tax Rate 22.3% 22.5% 23.0% 23.0%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio
Accounts Receivables Days 65.84 50.65 49.96 52.42
Inventory Days 74.18 61.05 60.78 64.31
Accounts Payables Days 85.73 73.63 70.91 72.46
ROIC (%) 12.1% 15.3% 17.1% 18.5%
ROCE (%) 16.7% 21.2% 22.3% 22.8%
Return On Average Assets 9.3% 11.7% 11.7% 11.4%

Analyst(s)

Anirvan DIVAKERA

(91) 02241611548 anirvan.divakera@incredresearch.com