* price as on 19 Nov 2024
Financial
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue (Rsm) 35,521 39,561 45,576 53,121
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 10,464 11,771 13,752 16,100
Net Profit (Rsm) 7,923 8,621 10,097 11,806
Core EPS (Rs) 127.2 138.4 162.1 189.6
Core EPS Growth 4.9% 8.8% 17.1% 16.9%
FD Core P/E (x) 51.48 47.31 40.39 34.54
DPS (Rs) 70.0 80.0 95.0 115.0
Dividend Yield 1.07% 1.22% 1.45% 1.76%
EV/EBITDA (x) 37.62 33.14 28.12 23.80
P/FCFE (x) 65.97 53.31 49.36 42.22
Net Gearing (56.4%) (61.7%) (64.2%) (65.9%)
P/BV (x) 16.28 14.21 12.41 10.87
ROE 34.5% 32.1% 32.8% 33.5%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Net Revenues 35,521 39,561 45,576 53,121
Gross Profit 14,492 16,032 18,629 21,730
Operating EBITDA 10,464 11,771 13,752 16,100
Depreciation And Amortisation (994) (1,108) (1,231) (1,381)
Operating EBIT 9,470 10,663 12,522 14,718
Financial Income/(Expense) 1,017 909 1,032 1,129
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense)
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 10,487 11,572 13,553 15,848
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 10,487 11,572 13,553 15,848
Taxation (2,564) (2,951) (3,456) (4,041)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 7,923 8,621 10,097 11,806
Minority Interests
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 7,923 8,621 10,097 11,806
Recurring Net Profit 7,923 8,621 10,097 11,806
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 7,923 8,621 10,097 11,806
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
EBITDA 10,464 11,771 13,752 16,100
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital (1,351) (570) (1,434) (1,798)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense 193
Other Operating Cashflow (445)
Net Interest (Paid)/Received 731
Tax Paid (2,580) (2,951) (3,456) (4,041)
Cashflow From Operations 7,012 8,250 8,862 10,260
Capex (830) (600) (600) (600)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments
Other Investing Cashflow (1,871) 1,108 1,231 1,328
Cash Flow From Investing (2,701) 508 631 728
Debt Raised/(repaid)
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (3,774) (4,983) (5,917) (7,162)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow (504) (199) (199) (199)
Cash Flow From Financing (4,278) (5,181) (6,116) (7,361)
Total Cash Generated 33 3,576 3,377 3,627
Free Cashflow To Equity 6,182 7,650 8,262 9,660
Free Cashflow To Firm 4,513 8,758 9,493 10,988
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Cash And Equivalents 14,139 17,715 21,092 24,719
Total Debtors 9,716 10,730 12,362 14,408
Inventories 11 11 11 11
Total Other Current Assets 1,502 1,502 1,502 1,502
Total Current Assets 25,367 29,957 34,966 40,640
Fixed Assets 3,847 3,339 2,709 1,927
Total Investments 1,943 1,943 1,943 1,943
Intangible Assets 134 134 134 134
Total Other Non-Current Assets 578 578 578 578
Total Non-current Assets 6,503 5,995 5,364 4,583
Short-term Debt
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 856 1,301 1,498 1,746
Other Current Liabilities 3,603 3,603 3,603 3,603
Total Current Liabilities 4,459 4,904 5,101 5,349
Total Long-term Debt
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 1,812 1,812 1,812 1,812
Total Non-current Liabilities 1,812 1,812 1,812 1,812
Total Provisions 542 542 542 542
Total Liabilities 6,813 7,257 7,455 7,703
Shareholders Equity 25,057 28,695 32,876 37,520
Minority Interests
Total Equity 25,057 28,695 32,876 37,520
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue Growth 13.0% 11.4% 15.2% 16.6%
Operating EBITDA Growth 8.9% 12.5% 16.8% 17.1%
Operating EBITDA Margin 29.5% 29.8% 30.2% 30.3%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) 227.03 284.45 338.68 396.92
BVPS (Rs) 402.34 460.77 527.90 602.47
Gross Interest Cover 46.78 53.61 62.95 74.00
Effective Tax Rate 24.5% 25.5% 25.5% 25.5%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio 55.0% 57.8% 58.6% 60.7%
Accounts Receivables Days 100.08 94.32 92.47 91.97
Inventory Days 0.13 0.17 0.15 0.13
Accounts Payables Days 16.39 16.73 18.96 18.86
ROIC (%) 73.2% 70.1% 81.9% 89.9%
ROCE (%) 31.2% 29.6% 30.3% 31.2%
Return On Average Assets 24.0% 23.4% 24.5% 25.6%

Analyst(s)

Abhishek SHINDADKAR

(91) 22 4161 1543 abhishek.shindadkr@incredresearch.com

Smit GOSRANI

(91) 02241611554 smit.gosrani@incredresearch.com