* price as on 19 Nov 2024
Financial
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Net Interest Income (Rsm) 69,772 79,688 93,525 106,757
Total Non-Interest Income (Rsm) 1,583 1,792 2,030 2,288
Operating Revenue (Rsm) 71,355 81,479 95,555 109,045
Total Provision Charges (Rsm) (18,228) (22,205) (25,481) (25,910)
Net Profit (Rsm) 17,596 19,507 24,647 30,871
Core EPS (Rs) 14.25 15.80 19.97 25.01
Core EPS Growth (11%) 11% 26% 25%
FD Core P/E (x) 18.23 16.44 13.01 10.39
DPS (Rs) 6.30 8.00 10.00 12.00
Dividend Yield 2.42% 3.08% 3.85% 4.62%
BVPS (Rs) 147.1 154.9 164.9 177.9
P/BV (x) 1.77 1.68 1.58 1.46
ROE 10.0% 10.5% 12.5% 14.6%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Net Interest Income 69,772 79,688 93,525 106,757
Total Non-Interest Income 1,583 1,792 2,030 2,288
Operating Revenue 71,355 81,479 95,555 109,045
Total Non-Interest Expenses (27,285) (30,392) (33,860) (38,129)
Pre-provision Operating Profit 41,783 48,388 58,564 67,348
Total Provision Charges (18,228) (22,205) (25,481) (25,910)
Operating Profit After Provisions 23,555 26,183 33,084 41,437
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Operating EBIT (incl Associates) 23,555 26,183 33,084 41,437
Non-Operating Income/(Expense)
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 32,615 35,968 43,749 53,169
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 23,555 26,183 33,084 41,437
Taxation (5,959) (6,677) (8,436) (10,567)
Consolidation Adjustments & Others
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 17,596 19,507 24,647 30,871
Minority Interests
Pref. & Special Div
FX And Other Adj.
Net Profit 17,596 19,507 24,647 30,871
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Gross Loans/Cust Deposits
Avg Loans/Avg Deposits
Avg Liquid Assets/Avg Assets 85.1% 86.5% 87.1% 87.8%
Avg Liquid Assets/Avg IEAs 103.0% 103.6% 105.9% 110.1%
Net Cust Loans/Assets
Net Cust Loans/Broad Deposits
Equity & Provns/Gross Cust Loans
Asset Risk Weighting
Provision Charge/Avg Cust Loans
Provision Charge/Avg Assets
Total Write Offs/Average Assets
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Gross Loans 1,000,020 1,143,986 1,295,581 1,459,373
Liquid Assets & Invst. (Current)
Other Int. Earning Assets
Total Gross Int. Earning Assets 1,000,020 1,143,986 1,295,581 1,459,373
Total Provisions/Loan Loss Reserve
Total Net Interest Earning Assets 1,000,020 1,143,986 1,295,581 1,459,373
Intangible Assets
Other Non-Interest Earning Assets 52,283 57,505 63,249 69,567
Total Non-Interest Earning Assets 68,502 74,655 81,423 88,867
Cash And Marketable Securities 26,891 50,904 92,228 187,372
Long-term Investments 96,508 107,124 119,443 133,777
Total Assets 1,191,921 1,376,669 1,588,675 1,869,388
Customer Interest-Bearing Liabilities
Bank Deposits
Interest Bearing Liabilities: Others 926,530 1,089,490 1,272,370 1,514,935
Total Interest-Bearing Liabilities 926,530 1,089,490 1,272,370 1,514,935
Banks Liabilities Under Acceptances
Total Non-Interest Bearing Liabilities 83,816 95,979 112,807 134,905
Total Liabilities 1,010,346 1,185,468 1,385,177 1,649,840
Shareholders Equity 181,575 191,201 203,498 219,548
Minority Interests
Total Equity 181,575 191,201 203,498 219,548
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Income Growth 9.8% 14.2% 17.4% 14.1%
Operating Profit Growth 11.9% 15.9% 20.8% 14.9%
Pretax Profit Growth (14%) 11% 26% 25%
Net Interest To Total Income 97.8% 97.8% 97.9% 97.9%
Cost Of Funds 7.65% 7.90% 7.40% 6.80%
Return On Interest Earning Assets 14.8% 14.9% 14.8% 14.6%
Net Interest Spread 7.16% 6.96% 7.43% 7.83%
Net Interest Margin (Avg Deposits)
Net Interest Margin (Avg RWA)
Provisions to Pre Prov. Operating Profit 44% 46% 44% 38%
Interest Return On Average Assets 6.36% 6.20% 6.31% 6.17%
Effective Tax Rate 25.3% 25.5% 25.5% 25.5%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio
Return On Average Assets 1.60% 1.52% 1.66% 1.79%

Analyst(s)

Jignesh SHIAL

(91) 22 4161 1547 jignesh.shial@incredresearch.com

Rishabh JOGANI

(91) 22 4161 1569 rishabh.jogani@incredresearch.com

Meghna LUTHRA

(91) 22 4161 1500 meghna.luthra@incredresearch.com