* price as on 19 Nov 2024
Financial
Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue (Rsm) 541,965 681,343 708,329 761,572
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 91,933 157,820 130,427 127,478
Net Profit (Rsm) (3,180) 81,671 19,303 29,039
Core EPS (Rs) 50.2 198.6 50.1 75.3
Core EPS Growth (135.4%) 295.5% (74.8%) 50.4%
FD Core P/E (x) 80.58 20.37 80.81 53.72
DPS (Rs)
Dividend Yield
EV/EBITDA (x) 19.30 10.93 13.07 12.27
P/FCFE (x) 39.43 (146.42) 13.50 23.04
Net Gearing (523.8%) 1,854.7% 858.4% 275.5%
P/BV (x) (24.75) 83.69 41.11 23.29
ROE (31.4%) (345.0%) 68.2%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Net Revenues 541,965 681,343 708,329 761,572
Gross Profit 305,504 442,297 449,001 478,904
Operating EBITDA 91,933 157,820 130,427 127,478
Depreciation And Amortisation (51,012) (64,056) (69,471) (59,821)
Operating EBIT 40,921 93,764 60,956 67,657
Financial Income/(Expense) (31,317) (41,694) (45,219) (38,938)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 9,746 23,256 10,000 10,000
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 19,350 75,326 25,738 38,719
Exceptional Items (22,530) 5,106
Pre-tax Profit (3,180) 80,432 25,738 38,719
Taxation 1,239 (6,434) (9,680)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax (3,180) 81,671 19,303 29,039
Minority Interests
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit (3,180) 81,671 19,303 29,039
Recurring Net Profit 19,350 76,565 19,303 29,039
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 19,350 76,565 19,303 29,039
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
EBITDA 91,933 157,820 130,427 127,478
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital 23,207 (1,944) 10,657 3,558
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense
Other Operating Cashflow
Net Interest (Paid)/Received (31,317) (41,694) (45,219) (38,938)
Tax Paid 1,239 (6,434) (9,680)
Cashflow From Operations 83,823 115,421 89,431 82,418
Capex (98,531) (147,645) (92,116)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries 34,072
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments (35,254) (64,702)
Other Investing Cashflow 9,746 22,014 9,162 8,994
Cash Flow From Investing (124,039) (190,333) (82,954) 43,066
Debt Raised/(repaid) 79,763 64,258 109,031 (57,786)
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow (37,226) 5,105 1
Cash Flow From Financing 42,537 69,363 109,032 (57,786)
Total Cash Generated 2,321 (5,549) 115,508 67,698
Free Cashflow To Equity 39,548 (10,654) 115,507 67,698
Free Cashflow To Firm (8,898) (33,218) 51,695 164,422
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Cash And Equivalents 118,372 167,093 296,144 379,479
Total Debtors 5,199 6,425 8,500 9,139
Inventories 5,911 6,248 7,083 7,616
Total Other Current Assets 66,391 95,388 99,166 106,620
Total Current Assets 195,872 275,155 410,893 502,853
Fixed Assets 276,477 359,887 382,433 288,422
Total Investments 115,580 180,282 180,282 180,282
Intangible Assets 314 494 592 711
Total Other Non-Current Assets 2,949 4,192 5,030 6,036
Total Non-current Assets 395,320 544,854 568,338 475,450
Short-term Debt
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors
Other Current Liabilities 205,682 288,569 319,457 347,277
Total Current Liabilities 205,682 288,569 319,457 347,277
Total Long-term Debt 448,542 512,800 621,831 564,045
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities
Total Non-current Liabilities 448,542 512,800 621,831 564,045
Total Provisions
Total Liabilities 654,224 801,369 941,287 911,321
Shareholders Equity (63,031) 18,640 37,943 66,982
Minority Interests
Total Equity (63,031) 18,640 37,943 66,982
Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue Growth 109.0% 25.7% 4.0% 7.5%
Operating EBITDA Growth 524.9% 71.7% (17.4%) (2.3%)
Operating EBITDA Margin 17.0% 23.2% 18.4% 16.7%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) (856.37) (896.67) (844.74) (478.71)
BVPS (Rs) (163.49) 48.35 98.41 173.73
Gross Interest Cover 1.31 2.25 1.35 1.74
Effective Tax Rate 25.0% 25.0%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio
Accounts Receivables Days 2.87 3.11 3.85 4.23
Inventory Days 7.71 9.28 9.38 9.49
Accounts Payables Days
ROIC (%) 32.2% 61.9% 33.1% 36.9%
ROCE (%) 11.8% 20.5% 10.2% 10.5%
Return On Average Assets 9.7% 16.6% 7.9% 7.9%

Analyst(s)

Rajarshi MAITRA

(91) 22 4161 1546 rajarshi.maitra@incredresearch.com

Shivam AGARWAL

(91) 22 4161 1500 shivam.agarwal@incredresearch.com