* price as on 04 Feb 2025
Financial
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue (Rsm) 681,343 759,975 802,763 878,772
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 157,820 152,702 163,170 177,244
Net Profit (Rsm) 81,674 59,827 32,024 33,772
Core EPS (Rs) 172.7 121.1 83.0 87.5
Core EPS Growth 244.0% (29.9%) (31.5%) 5.5%
FD Core P/E (x) 29.34 41.85 61.09 57.92
DPS (Rs)
Dividend Yield
EV/EBITDA (x) 13.44 14.24 13.47 12.62
P/FCFE (x) (117.96) 66.57 102.28 269.28
Net Gearing 1,713.3% 531.7% 399.4% 333.2%
P/BV (x) 101.26 24.72 17.60 13.50
ROE (304.9%) 95.0%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Net Revenues 681,343 759,975 802,763 878,772
Gross Profit 442,298 501,325 538,715 590,960
Operating EBITDA 157,820 152,702 163,170 177,244
Depreciation And Amortisation (64,056) (84,283) (81,763) (89,122)
Operating EBIT 93,764 68,419 81,407 88,122
Financial Income/(Expense) (41,694) (50,210) (48,709) (53,093)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 13,321 31,000 10,000 10,000
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 65,392 49,209 42,698 45,030
Exceptional Items 15,039 13,767
Pre-tax Profit 80,431 62,976 42,698 45,030
Taxation 1,242 (3,149) (10,675) (11,257)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 81,674 59,827 32,024 33,772
Minority Interests
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 81,674 59,827 32,024 33,772
Recurring Net Profit 66,635 46,748 32,024 33,772
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 66,635 46,748 32,024 33,772
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
EBITDA 157,820 152,702 163,170 177,244
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital (18,374) (1,072) (1,086) 2,717
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense
Other Operating Cashflow
Net Interest (Paid)/Received (41,694) (50,210) (48,709) (53,093)
Tax Paid 1,242 (3,149) (10,675) (11,257)
Cashflow From Operations 98,996 98,271 102,700 115,611
Capex (142,956) (174,771) (148,987) (178,635)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments (48,952) (38,347)
Other Investing Cashflow 12,079 30,162 8,994 8,793
Cash Flow From Investing (179,828) (182,957) (139,993) (169,843)
Debt Raised/(repaid) 64,258 114,074 56,419 61,496
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow 11,026
Cash Flow From Financing 75,284 114,074 56,419 61,496
Total Cash Generated (5,548) 29,388 19,126 7,265
Free Cashflow To Equity (16,574) 29,388 19,126 7,265
Free Cashflow To Firm (39,139) (34,475) 11,416 (1,139)
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Cash And Equivalents 181,804 206,077 239,246 261,817
Total Debtors 6,425 7,600 8,028 8,788
Inventories 6,248 7,600 8,028 8,788
Total Other Current Assets 96,130 106,397 112,387 123,028
Total Current Assets 290,607 327,673 367,688 402,421
Fixed Assets 359,887 450,276 517,381 606,753
Total Investments 164,532 202,879 202,879 202,879
Intangible Assets 494 592 711 853
Total Other Non-Current Assets 4,192 5,030 6,036 7,244
Total Non-current Assets 529,104 658,777 727,007 817,728
Short-term Debt
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors
Other Current Liabilities 287,592 280,431 300,233 330,418
Total Current Liabilities 287,592 280,431 300,233 330,418
Total Long-term Debt 512,800 626,874 683,292 744,789
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities
Total Non-current Liabilities 512,800 626,874 683,292 744,789
Total Provisions
Total Liabilities 800,392 907,305 983,526 1,075,207
Shareholders Equity 19,319 79,146 111,170 144,942
Minority Interests
Total Equity 19,319 79,146 111,170 144,942
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue Growth 25.7% 11.5% 5.6% 9.5%
Operating EBITDA Growth 71.7% (3.2%) 6.9% 8.6%
Operating EBITDA Margin 23.2% 20.1% 20.3% 20.2%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) (857.55) (1,090.21) (1,150.44) (1,251.29)
BVPS (Rs) 50.05 205.05 288.02 375.52
Gross Interest Cover 2.25 1.36 1.67 1.66
Effective Tax Rate 5.0% 25.0% 25.0%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio
Accounts Receivables Days 3.11 3.37 3.55 3.49
Inventory Days 9.28 9.77 10.80 10.66
Accounts Payables Days
ROIC (%) 61.9% 36.8% 27.4% 25.0%
ROCE (%) 20.4% 11.1% 10.9% 10.5%
Return On Average Assets 15.2% 11.0% 8.8% 8.5%

Analyst(s)

Rajarshi MAITRA

(91) 22 4161 1546 rajarshi.maitra@incredresearch.com

Shivam AGARWAL

(91) 22 4161 1500 shivam.agarwal@incredresearch.com