* price as on 21 Jan 2025
Financial
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue (Rsm) 121,140 199,820 281,720 350,121
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 420 9,283 20,594 32,035
Net Profit (Rsm) 3,510 8,494 20,481 30,082
Core EPS (Rs) 0.4 0.9 2.1 3.1
Core EPS Growth (136.1%) 142.0% 141.1% 46.9%
FD Core P/E (x) 589.88 243.76 101.09 68.83
DPS (Rs)
Dividend Yield
EV/EBITDA (x) 4,844.17 209.97 93.90 59.52
P/FCFE (x) 252.19 302.59 118.09 78.60
Net Gearing (17.6%) (40.7%) (42.9%) (47.0%)
P/BV (x) 10.14 6.96 6.51 5.95
ROE 1.8% 3.4% 6.7% 9.0%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Net Revenues 121,140 199,820 281,720 350,121
Gross Profit 75,730 119,769 174,428 224,116
Operating EBITDA 420 9,283 20,594 32,035
Depreciation And Amortisation (5,260) (7,198) (5,634) (7,002)
Operating EBIT (4,840) 2,086 14,960 25,033
Financial Income/(Expense) (720) (1,150) (1,200) (1,200)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 8,470 9,486 13,820 16,675
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 2,910 10,421 27,580 40,508
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 2,910 10,421 27,580 40,508
Taxation 600 (1,927) (7,099) (10,426)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 3,510 8,494 20,481 30,082
Minority Interests
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 3,510 8,494 20,481 30,082
Recurring Net Profit 3,510 8,494 20,481 30,082
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 3,510 8,494 20,481 30,082
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
EBITDA 420 9,283 20,594 32,035
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital 1,180 (7,364) (2,763) (2,069)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense 960
Other Operating Cashflow (510) (9,486) (13,820) (16,675)
Net Interest (Paid)/Received 5,460 8,336 12,620 15,475
Tax Paid (1,050) (1,927) (7,099) (10,426)
Cashflow From Operations 6,460 (1,157) 9,532 18,341
Capex 2,150 8,000 8,000 8,000
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries (130)
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments
Other Investing Cashflow (5,490) (6,514) (2,180) 675
Cash Flow From Investing (3,470) 1,486 5,820 8,675
Debt Raised/(repaid) (400)
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares 230 85,000
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow (1,900)
Cash Flow From Financing (2,070) 85,000
Total Cash Generated 920 85,328 15,353 27,015
Free Cashflow To Equity 8,210 6,843 17,532 26,341
Free Cashflow To Firm 3,710 1,478 16,553 28,215
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Cash And Equivalents 43,350 128,678 144,031 171,046
Total Debtors 7,940 11,989 16,903 21,007
Inventories 880 3,327 4,453 5,153
Total Other Current Assets 2,410 2,410 2,410 2,410
Total Current Assets 54,580 146,405 167,796 199,617
Fixed Assets 9,950 10,752 13,118 14,115
Total Investments 103,650 103,650 103,650 103,650
Intangible Assets 54,710 54,710 54,710 54,710
Total Other Non-Current Assets 10,670 10,670 10,670 10,670
Total Non-current Assets 178,980 179,782 182,148 183,145
Short-term Debt 1,610 1,610 1,610 1,610
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 8,860 7,993 11,269 14,005
Other Current Liabilities 10,070 10,070 10,070 10,070
Total Current Liabilities 20,540 19,673 22,949 25,685
Total Long-term Debt
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component 5,880 5,880 5,880 5,880
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 1,910 1,910 1,910 1,910
Total Non-current Liabilities 7,790 7,790 7,790 7,790
Total Provisions 1,170 1,170 1,170 1,170
Total Liabilities 29,500 28,633 31,909 34,645
Shareholders Equity 204,130 297,624 318,105 348,187
Minority Interests (70) (70) (70) (70)
Total Equity 204,060 297,554 318,035 348,117
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue Growth 71.1% 64.9% 41.0% 24.3%
Operating EBITDA Growth (103.5%) 2,110.3% 121.8% 55.6%
Operating EBITDA Margin 0.3% 4.6% 7.3% 9.1%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) 3.72 12.56 14.15 16.95
BVPS (Rs) 21.15 30.84 32.96 36.08
Gross Interest Cover (6.72) 1.81 12.47 20.86
Effective Tax Rate 18.5% 25.7% 25.7%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio
Accounts Receivables Days 18.85 18.20 18.72 19.76
Inventory Days 6.86 9.59 13.23 13.91
Accounts Payables Days 62.93 38.42 32.76 36.61
ROIC (%) (7.2%) 2.5% 14.7% 23.0%
ROCE (%) (2.8%) 0.7% 3.5% 5.5%
Return On Average Assets 1.9% 3.4% 6.3% 8.5%

Analyst(s)

Abhishek SHINDADKAR

(91) 22 4161 1543 abhishek.shindadkr@incredresearch.com

Vikas Swami

(91) 22 4161 1544 vikas.swami@incredresearch.com