* price as on 12 Sep 2025
Financial
Mar-25A Mar-26F Mar-27F Mar-28F
Revenue (Rsm) 202,430 313,108 408,890 507,696
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 6,370 12,217 21,706 30,136
Net Profit (Rsm) 5,270 8,903 16,527 24,615
Core EPS (Rs) 5.9 9.8 18.2 27.1
Core EPS Growth 44.2% 65.3% 85.6% 48.9%
FD Core P/E (x) 54.13 32.74 17.64 11.84
DPS (Rs)
Dividend Yield
EV/EBITDA (x) 34.39 17.82 9.06 5.48
P/FCFE (x) 22.93 38.13 16.73 13.06
Net Gearing (21.8%) (23.6%) (28.8%) (35.8%)
P/BV (x) 0.96 0.93 0.89 0.83
ROE 2.1% 2.9% 5.2% 7.2%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-25A Mar-26F Mar-27F Mar-28F
Total Net Revenues 202,430 313,108 408,890 507,696
Gross Profit 121,200 178,681 232,108 279,297
Operating EBITDA 6,370 12,217 21,706 30,136
Depreciation And Amortisation (8,630) (13,039) (16,356) (19,800)
Operating EBIT (2,260) (822) 5,350 10,336
Financial Income/(Expense) (1,540) (2,680) (2,680) (2,680)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 10,770 15,997 19,513 25,385
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 6,970 12,495 22,184 33,041
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 6,970 12,495 22,184 33,041
Taxation (1,700) (3,592) (5,657) (8,425)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 5,270 8,903 16,527 24,615
Minority Interests
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 5,270 8,903 16,527 24,615
Recurring Net Profit 5,270 8,903 16,527 24,615
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 5,270 8,903 16,527 24,615
(Rs mn) Mar-25A Mar-26F Mar-27F Mar-28F
EBITDA 6,370 12,217 21,706 30,136
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital (10,930) (6,299) (3,945) (4,714)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense 1,950
Other Operating Cashflow 220
Net Interest (Paid)/Received 6,650 (2,680) (2,680) (2,680)
Tax Paid (1,180) (3,592) (5,657) (8,425)
Cashflow From Operations 3,080 (354) 9,424 14,316
Capex 9,360 8,000 8,000 8,000
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries (50)
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments
Other Investing Cashflow (89,240) (3) 3,513 9,385
Cash Flow From Investing (79,930) 7,997 11,513 17,385
Debt Raised/(repaid)
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares 85,010
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow (4,590)
Cash Flow From Financing 80,420
Total Cash Generated 3,570 7,643 20,937 31,701
Free Cashflow To Equity 12,440 7,646 17,424 22,316
Free Cashflow To Firm (75,310) 10,323 23,617 34,381
(Rs mn) Mar-25A Mar-26F Mar-27F Mar-28F
Total Cash And Equivalents 86,550 94,193 115,130 146,831
Total Debtors 19,460 18,786 24,533 30,462
Inventories 1,760 5,897 7,927 10,665
Total Other Current Assets 9,240 9,240 9,240 9,240
Total Current Assets 117,010 128,117 156,830 197,198
Fixed Assets 29,340 24,301 15,945 4,145
Total Investments 109,200 109,200 109,200 109,200
Intangible Assets 66,490 66,490 66,490 66,490
Total Other Non-Current Assets 34,190 34,190 34,190 34,190
Total Non-current Assets 239,220 234,181 225,825 214,025
Short-term Debt 3,910 3,910 3,910 3,910
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 15,360 12,524 16,356 20,308
Other Current Liabilities 13,650 13,650 13,650 13,650
Total Current Liabilities 32,920 30,084 33,916 37,868
Total Long-term Debt
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component 16,540 16,540 16,540 16,540
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 2,130 2,130 2,130 2,130
Total Non-current Liabilities 18,670 18,670 18,670 18,670
Total Provisions 1,540 1,540 1,540 1,540
Total Liabilities 53,130 50,294 54,126 58,078
Shareholders Equity 303,170 312,073 328,600 353,215
Minority Interests (70) (70) (70) (70)
Total Equity 303,100 312,003 328,530 353,145
Mar-25A Mar-26F Mar-27F Mar-28F
Revenue Growth 67.1% 54.7% 30.6% 24.2%
Operating EBITDA Growth 1,416.7% 91.8% 77.7% 38.8%
Operating EBITDA Margin 3.1% 3.9% 5.3% 5.9%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) 72.88 81.30 104.39 139.34
BVPS (Rs) 334.26 344.07 362.29 389.43
Gross Interest Cover (1.47) (0.31) 2.00 3.86
Effective Tax Rate 24.4% 28.7% 25.5% 25.5%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio
Accounts Receivables Days 24.70 22.29 19.33 19.77
Inventory Days 5.93 10.40 14.27 14.86
Accounts Payables Days 54.42 37.86 29.81 29.30
ROIC (%) (2.5%) (0.4%) 3.0% 6.0%
ROCE (%) (0.6%) (0.2%) 1.2% 2.1%
Return On Average Assets 2.2% 3.0% 5.0% 6.7%

Analyst(s)

Abhishek SHINDADKAR

(91) 22 4161 1543 abhishek.shindadkr@incredresearch.com