* price as on 19 Nov 2024
Financial
Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue (Rsm) 904,876 897,603 908,281 948,589
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 168,936 169,830 179,609 196,358
Net Profit (Rsm) 113,500 110,452 119,793 131,640
Core EPS (Rs) 20.7 20.4 22.7 25.1
Core EPS Growth (3.8%) (1.3%) 11.0% 10.9%
FD Core P/E (x) 27.15 27.51 24.78 22.35
DPS (Rs) 1.0 1.0 18.3 20.1
Dividend Yield 0.18% 0.17% 3.26% 3.58%
EV/EBITDA (x) 16.85 16.41 14.90 13.26
P/FCFE (x) 28.24 18.86 24.16 21.73
Net Gearing (30.2%) (33.8%) (38.1%) (42.6%)
P/BV (x) 3.97 4.02 3.82 3.70
ROE 15.9% 14.5% 15.8% 16.8%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Net Revenues 904,876 897,603 908,281 948,589
Gross Profit 293,232 300,177 302,003 321,572
Operating EBITDA 168,936 169,830 179,609 196,358
Depreciation And Amortisation (33,802) (34,071) (33,835) (35,098)
Operating EBIT 135,134 135,759 145,774 161,260
Financial Income/(Expense) 6,815 6,929 8,476 9,821
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 5,765 4,755 5,677 5,597
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 147,714 147,443 159,927 176,678
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 147,714 147,443 159,927 176,678
Taxation (33,992) (36,089) (38,383) (43,286)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 113,722 111,354 121,545 133,392
Minority Interests (222) (902) (1,752) (1,752)
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 113,500 110,452 119,793 131,640
Recurring Net Profit 113,500 110,452 119,793 131,640
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 113,500 110,452 119,793 131,640
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
EBITDA 168,936 169,830 179,609 196,358
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital (14,556) 18,051 (6,102) (5,426)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense (222) (902) (1,752) (1,752)
Other Operating Cashflow
Net Interest (Paid)/Received
Tax Paid (30,218) (15,360) (38,383) (43,286)
Cashflow From Operations 123,940 171,619 133,373 145,894
Capex (14,834) (10,510) (10,510) (10,510)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments
Other Investing Cashflow (69,231) 22,190 27,385 29,311
Cash Flow From Investing (84,065) 11,680 16,875 18,801
Debt Raised/(repaid)
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares
Shares Repurchased (145,173)
Dividends Paid (32,814) (5,218) (95,834) (105,312)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow (28,067) (32,176) (13,232) (13,894)
Cash Flow From Financing (60,881) (182,567) (109,066) (119,206)
Total Cash Generated (21,006) 732 41,182 45,490
Free Cashflow To Equity 109,106 161,109 122,863 135,384
Free Cashflow To Firm 39,875 183,299 150,248 164,695
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Cash And Equivalents 401,112 408,124 449,306 494,795
Total Debtors 186,865 173,822 181,656 189,718
Inventories 1,188 907 907 907
Total Other Current Assets 71,931 67,809 67,809 67,809
Total Current Assets 661,096 650,662 699,678 753,229
Fixed Assets 107,209 99,317 75,992 51,404
Total Investments 28,722 32,293 32,293 32,293
Intangible Assets 346,530 344,197 344,197 344,197
Total Other Non-Current Assets 27,780 21,437 21,437 21,437
Total Non-current Assets 510,241 497,244 473,919 449,331
Short-term Debt 88,821 79,166 79,166 79,166
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 59,723 57,655 59,387 62,023
Other Current Liabilities 119,209 115,637 115,637 115,637
Total Current Liabilities 267,753 252,458 254,190 256,826
Total Long-term Debt 61,272 62,300 62,300 62,300
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 65,044 86,478 86,478 86,478
Total Non-current Liabilities 126,316 148,778 148,778 148,778
Total Provisions
Total Liabilities 394,069 401,236 402,968 405,604
Shareholders Equity 776,679 745,330 769,289 795,617
Minority Interests 589 1,340 1,340 1,340
Total Equity 777,268 746,670 770,629 796,957
Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue Growth 14.4% (0.8%) 1.2% 4.4%
Operating EBITDA Growth 2.6% 0.5% 5.8% 9.3%
Operating EBITDA Margin 18.7% 18.9% 19.8% 20.7%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) 42.85 47.43 56.14 64.82
BVPS (Rs) 141.59 139.89 146.95 151.98
Gross Interest Cover 13.41 10.82 11.02 11.61
Effective Tax Rate 23.0% 24.5% 24.0% 24.5%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio 4.8% 4.7% 80.0% 80.0%
Accounts Receivables Days 73.19 73.33 71.43 71.45
Inventory Days 0.75 0.64 0.55 0.53
Accounts Payables Days 36.47 35.86 35.23 35.34
ROIC (%) 21.4% 18.2% 20.7% 23.6%
ROCE (%) 11.8% 11.1% 12.1% 13.0%
Return On Average Assets 9.7% 9.2% 9.9% 10.6%

Analyst(s)

Abhishek SHINDADKAR

(91) 22 4161 1543 abhishek.shindadkr@incredresearch.com

Smit GOSRANI

(91) 02241611554 smit.gosrani@incredresearch.com