* price as on 04 Feb 2025
Financial
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue (Rsm) 52,781 54,203 58,491 63,309
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 8,362 6,941 7,896 9,022
Net Profit (Rsm) 6,238 5,233 6,070 7,050
Core EPS (Rs) 22.2 18.6 21.5 25.0
Core EPS Growth 29.8% (16.5%) 16.0% 16.1%
FD Core P/E (x) 17.63 21.12 18.21 15.68
DPS (Rs) 6.5 7.5 9.5 11.0
Dividend Yield 1.66% 1.91% 2.42% 2.81%
EV/EBITDA (x) 11.48 13.34 11.29 9.46
P/FCFE (x) 19.81 21.51 22.22 19.66
Net Gearing (46.0%) (53.5%) (57.8%) (61.6%)
P/BV (x) 3.61 3.29 2.99 2.70
ROE 22.7% 16.4% 17.2% 18.1%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Net Revenues 52,781 54,203 58,491 63,309
Gross Profit 22,298 21,777 23,397 25,482
Operating EBITDA 8,362 6,941 7,896 9,022
Depreciation And Amortisation (850) (853) (877) (931)
Operating EBIT 7,512 6,088 7,019 8,091
Financial Income/(Expense) 836 938 1,097 1,334
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense)
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 8,348 7,025 8,115 9,425
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 8,348 7,025 8,115 9,425
Taxation (2,110) (1,792) (2,045) (2,375)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 6,238 5,233 6,070 7,050
Minority Interests
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 6,238 5,233 6,070 7,050
Recurring Net Profit 6,238 5,233 6,070 7,050
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 6,238 5,233 6,070 7,050
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
EBITDA 8,362 6,941 7,896 9,022
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital (730) 358 (410) (454)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense
Other Operating Cashflow
Net Interest (Paid)/Received
Tax Paid (1,807) (1,792) (2,045) (2,375)
Cashflow From Operations 5,825 5,507 5,442 6,193
Capex (262) (379) (468) (570)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments
Other Investing Cashflow (6,007) 1,186 1,345 1,583
Cash Flow From Investing (6,269) 807 877 1,013
Debt Raised/(repaid)
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (1,240) (2,115) (2,679) (3,102)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow (438) (249) (249) (249)
Cash Flow From Financing (1,678) (2,364) (2,928) (3,351)
Total Cash Generated (2,123) 3,950 3,391 3,855
Free Cashflow To Equity 5,562 5,127 4,974 5,623
Free Cashflow To Firm (445) 6,313 6,319 7,206
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Cash And Equivalents 14,586 18,535 21,926 25,781
Total Debtors 10,365 9,950 10,577 11,274
Inventories
Total Other Current Assets 2,723 2,723 2,723 2,723
Total Current Assets 27,674 31,208 35,226 39,779
Fixed Assets 2,036 1,562 1,152 791
Total Investments 3,023 3,023 3,023 3,023
Intangible Assets 5,052 5,052 5,052 5,052
Total Other Non-Current Assets 1,472 1,472 1,472 1,472
Total Non-current Assets 11,582 11,109 10,699 10,338
Short-term Debt
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 2,805 2,747 2,965 3,209
Other Current Liabilities 4,653 4,653 4,653 4,653
Total Current Liabilities 7,458 7,400 7,617 7,862
Total Long-term Debt
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 1,357 1,357 1,357 1,357
Total Non-current Liabilities 1,357 1,357 1,357 1,357
Total Provisions
Total Liabilities 8,815 8,757 8,975 9,219
Shareholders Equity 30,441 33,559 36,951 40,899
Minority Interests
Total Equity 30,441 33,559 36,951 40,899
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue Growth 10.1% 2.7% 7.9% 8.2%
Operating EBITDA Growth 24.5% (17.0%) 13.8% 14.3%
Operating EBITDA Margin 15.8% 12.8% 13.5% 14.2%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) 49.92 63.68 75.70 89.37
BVPS (Rs) 108.47 119.00 131.03 145.03
Gross Interest Cover 37.67 24.47 28.22 32.53
Effective Tax Rate 25.3% 25.5% 25.2% 25.2%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio 29.2% 40.4% 44.1% 44.0%
Accounts Receivables Days 67.20 68.40 64.04 62.99
Inventory Days
Accounts Payables Days 30.64 31.25 29.70 29.78
ROIC (%) 39.5% 32.0% 39.3% 45.3%
ROCE (%) 20.0% 13.9% 14.7% 15.3%
Return On Average Assets 15.8% 11.1% 11.9% 12.6%

Analyst(s)

Abhishek SHINDADKAR

(91) 22 4161 1543 abhishek.shindadkr@incredresearch.com

Vikas Swami

(91) 22 4161 1544 vikas.swami@incredresearch.com