* price as on 19 Nov 2024
Financial
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue (Rsm) 52,781 55,078 61,541 68,018
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 8,362 6,911 8,616 10,883
Net Profit (Rsm) 6,238 5,270 6,698 8,557
Core EPS (Rs) 22.2 18.8 23.9 30.5
Core EPS Growth 29.8% (15.5%) 27.1% 27.8%
FD Core P/E (x) 24.84 29.40 23.13 18.11
DPS (Rs) 6.5 7.5 9.5 11.0
Dividend Yield 1.18% 1.36% 1.72% 1.99%
EV/EBITDA (x) 16.85 19.83 15.47 11.77
P/FCFE (x) 27.91 31.25 29.93 23.02
Net Gearing (46.0%) (53.3%) (57.6%) (62.4%)
P/BV (x) 5.09 4.61 4.12 3.59
ROE 22.7% 16.5% 18.8% 21.2%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Net Revenues 52,781 55,078 61,541 68,018
Gross Profit 22,298 22,001 24,617 27,888
Operating EBITDA 8,362 6,911 8,616 10,883
Depreciation And Amortisation (850) (885) (923) (1,000)
Operating EBIT 7,512 6,026 7,693 9,883
Financial Income/(Expense) 836 1,052 1,262 1,557
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense)
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 8,348 7,078 8,955 11,440
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 8,348 7,078 8,955 11,440
Taxation (2,110) (1,808) (2,257) (2,883)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 6,238 5,270 6,698 8,557
Minority Interests
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 6,238 5,270 6,698 8,557
Recurring Net Profit 6,238 5,270 6,698 8,557
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 6,238 5,270 6,698 8,557
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
EBITDA 8,362 6,911 8,616 10,883
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital (730) 241 (690) (657)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense
Other Operating Cashflow
Net Interest (Paid)/Received
Tax Paid (1,807) (1,808) (2,257) (2,883)
Cashflow From Operations 5,825 5,344 5,669 7,344
Capex (262) (386) (492) (612)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments
Other Investing Cashflow (6,007) 1,298 1,508 1,802
Cash Flow From Investing (6,269) 912 1,015 1,190
Debt Raised/(repaid)
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (1,240) (2,105) (2,666) (3,087)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow (438) (246) (246) (246)
Cash Flow From Financing (1,678) (2,350) (2,912) (3,333)
Total Cash Generated (2,123) 3,906 3,773 5,201
Free Cashflow To Equity 5,562 4,959 5,177 6,731
Free Cashflow To Firm (445) 6,256 6,684 8,534
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Cash And Equivalents 14,586 18,491 22,264 27,465
Total Debtors 10,365 10,110 11,128 12,113
Inventories
Total Other Current Assets 2,723 2,723 2,723 2,723
Total Current Assets 27,674 31,325 36,115 42,302
Fixed Assets 2,036 1,536 1,105 718
Total Investments 3,023 3,023 3,023 3,023
Intangible Assets 5,052 5,052 5,052 5,052
Total Other Non-Current Assets 1,472 1,472 1,472 1,472
Total Non-current Assets 11,582 11,083 10,652 10,264
Short-term Debt
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 2,805 2,792 3,119 3,448
Other Current Liabilities 4,653 4,653 4,653 4,653
Total Current Liabilities 7,458 7,444 7,772 8,100
Total Long-term Debt
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 1,357 1,357 1,357 1,357
Total Non-current Liabilities 1,357 1,357 1,357 1,357
Total Provisions
Total Liabilities 8,815 8,802 9,129 9,457
Shareholders Equity 30,441 33,606 37,639 43,109
Minority Interests
Total Equity 30,441 33,606 37,639 43,109
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue Growth 10.1% 4.4% 11.7% 10.5%
Operating EBITDA Growth 24.5% (17.4%) 24.7% 26.3%
Operating EBITDA Margin 15.8% 12.5% 14.0% 16.0%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) 49.92 63.83 77.28 95.81
BVPS (Rs) 108.47 119.75 134.12 153.61
Gross Interest Cover 37.67 24.54 31.33 40.25
Effective Tax Rate 25.3% 25.5% 25.2% 25.2%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio 29.2% 39.9% 39.8% 36.1%
Accounts Receivables Days 67.20 67.84 62.98 62.36
Inventory Days
Accounts Payables Days 30.64 30.88 29.21 29.86
ROIC (%) 39.5% 31.6% 42.8% 53.9%
ROCE (%) 20.0% 13.8% 15.9% 18.1%
Return On Average Assets 15.8% 11.0% 12.9% 14.9%

Analyst(s)

Abhishek SHINDADKAR

(91) 22 4161 1543 abhishek.shindadkr@incredresearch.com

Smit GOSRANI

(91) 02241611554 smit.gosrani@incredresearch.com