* price as on 19 Nov 2024
Financial
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue (Rsm) 18,046 29,226 43,627 58,741
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 2,542 4,173 6,429 8,704
Net Profit (Rsm) 1,834 3,047 4,366 5,861
Core EPS (Rs) 28.7 47.7 68.3 91.7
Core EPS Growth 92.7% 66.1% 43.3% 34.3%
FD Core P/E (x) 201.29 121.18 84.56 62.99
DPS (Rs)
Dividend Yield
EV/EBITDA (x) 140.46 86.31 56.54 41.96
P/FCFE (x) (29.18) (334.65) (187.36) (1,011.31)
Net Gearing (49.0%) (32.4%) (17.7%) (10.5%)
P/BV (x) 14.85 13.22 11.44 9.68
ROE 13.0% 11.5% 14.5% 16.6%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Net Revenues 18,046 29,226 43,627 58,741
Gross Profit 4,747 7,808 11,692 15,801
Operating EBITDA 2,542 4,173 6,429 8,704
Depreciation And Amortisation (251) (363) (759) (1,039)
Operating EBIT 2,290 3,810 5,670 7,665
Financial Income/(Expense) (533) (946) (445) (400)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 559 1,300 452 371
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 2,317 4,164 5,677 7,636
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 2,317 4,164 5,677 7,636
Taxation (483) (1,117) (1,311) (1,775)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 1,834 3,047 4,366 5,861
Minority Interests
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 1,834 3,047 4,366 5,861
Recurring Net Profit 1,834 3,047 4,366 5,861
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 1,834 3,047 4,366 5,861
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
EBITDA 2,317 4,164 5,677 7,636
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital (1,534) (2,166) (4,241) (4,367)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense 251 363 759 1,039
Other Operating Cashflow 134
Net Interest (Paid)/Received 14 946 445 400
Tax Paid (483) (1,117) (1,311) (1,775)
Cashflow From Operations 700 2,189 1,329 2,934
Capex (3,826) (4,000) (4,000) (4,000)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments (10,461)
Other Investing Cashflow (765) 738 731 731
Cash Flow From Investing (15,052) (3,262) (3,269) (3,269)
Debt Raised/(repaid) 1,702 (31) (30) (30)
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares 13,436
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow (905) (946) (445) (400)
Cash Flow From Financing 14,232 (977) (475) (430)
Total Cash Generated (120) (2,049) (2,415) (765)
Free Cashflow To Equity (12,651) (1,103) (1,970) (365)
Free Cashflow To Firm (14,367) (2,019) (2,385) (735)
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Cash And Equivalents 15,256 12,085 8,718 6,971
Total Debtors 3,556 5,759 8,596 11,574
Inventories 5,483 7,207 10,877 14,645
Total Other Current Assets 1,572 2,546 3,801 5,118
Total Current Assets 25,867 27,597 31,992 38,308
Fixed Assets 3,806 7,327 10,568 13,528
Total Investments 1,318 1,449 1,594 1,754
Intangible Assets 437 408 383 360
Total Other Non-Current Assets 1,224 1,347 1,482 1,630
Total Non-current Assets 6,785 10,531 14,026 17,271
Short-term Debt 2,949 2,920 2,890 2,862
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 3,610 5,847 8,728 11,751
Other Current Liabilities 788 1,277 1,905 2,566
Total Current Liabilities 7,347 10,043 13,524 17,178
Total Long-term Debt 112 110 109 108
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 234 229 224 220
Total Non-current Liabilities 345 339 334 328
Total Provisions 74 96 122 151
Total Liabilities 7,767 10,478 13,979 17,658
Shareholders Equity 24,869 27,915 32,281 38,142
Minority Interests 16 16 16 16
Total Equity 24,885 27,931 32,297 38,158
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue Growth 60.3% 62.0% 49.3% 34.6%
Operating EBITDA Growth 51.0% 64.2% 54.1% 35.4%
Operating EBITDA Margin 14.1% 14.3% 14.7% 14.8%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) 190.79 141.67 89.47 62.60
BVPS (Rs) 389.07 436.74 505.04 596.74
Gross Interest Cover 4.30 4.03 12.74 19.14
Effective Tax Rate 20.8% 26.8% 23.1% 23.2%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio
Accounts Receivables Days 58.92 58.16 60.05 62.67
Inventory Days 131.94 108.13 103.34 108.47
Accounts Payables Days 80.12 80.58 83.29 87.04
ROIC (%) 14.7% 16.3% 16.9% 17.6%
ROCE (%) 14.0% 12.9% 17.1% 20.1%
Return On Average Assets 9.5% 10.6% 11.2% 12.1%

Analyst(s)

Arafat SAIYED

(91) 22 4161 1542 arafat.saiyed@incredresearch.com

Anirvan DIVAKERA

(91) 02241611548 anirvan.divakera@incredresearch.com