* price as on 04 Feb 2025
Financial
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue (Rsm) 18,046 27,435 39,526 55,553
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 2,542 3,920 5,822 8,209
Net Profit (Rsm) 1,834 2,737 4,034 5,594
Core EPS (Rs) 28.7 42.8 63.0 87.4
Core EPS Growth 92.7% 49.2% 47.4% 38.7%
FD Core P/E (x) 175.79 117.79 79.92 57.64
DPS (Rs)
Dividend Yield
EV/EBITDA (x) 122.06 79.85 54.21 38.69
P/FCFE (x) (25.49) 101.13 (18,781.10) 415.16
Net Gearing (49.0%) (34.2%) (21.5%) (13.0%)
P/BV (x) 12.96 11.68 10.19 8.66
ROE 13.0% 10.4% 13.6% 16.2%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Net Revenues 18,046 27,435 39,526 55,553
Gross Profit 4,747 7,578 10,870 15,166
Operating EBITDA 2,542 3,920 5,822 8,209
Depreciation And Amortisation (251) (395) (624) (834)
Operating EBIT 2,290 3,525 5,198 7,375
Financial Income/(Expense) (533) (1,010) (1,021) (1,050)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 559 1,121 1,062 939
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 2,317 3,636 5,239 7,265
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 2,317 3,636 5,239 7,265
Taxation (483) (899) (1,205) (1,671)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 1,834 2,737 4,034 5,594
Minority Interests
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 1,834 2,737 4,034 5,594
Recurring Net Profit 1,834 2,737 4,034 5,594
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 1,834 2,737 4,034 5,594
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
EBITDA 2,317 3,636 5,239 7,265
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital (1,534) (1,660) (3,562) (4,631)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense 251 395 624 834
Other Operating Cashflow 134
Net Interest (Paid)/Received 14 1,010 1,021 1,050
Tax Paid (483) (899) (1,205) (1,671)
Cashflow From Operations 700 2,482 2,117 2,846
Capex (3,826) (3,800) (3,500) (3,500)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments (10,461)
Other Investing Cashflow (765) 738 731 731
Cash Flow From Investing (15,052) (3,062) (2,769) (2,769)
Debt Raised/(repaid) 1,702 3,767 635 699
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares 13,436
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow (905) (1,010) (1,021) (1,050)
Cash Flow From Financing 14,232 2,758 (386) (350)
Total Cash Generated (120) 2,178 (1,038) (273)
Free Cashflow To Equity (12,651) 3,188 (17) 777
Free Cashflow To Firm (14,367) (1,589) (1,673) (972)
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Cash And Equivalents 15,256 16,265 14,275 13,020
Total Debtors 3,556 5,406 7,788 10,946
Inventories 5,483 6,765 9,854 13,850
Total Other Current Assets 1,572 2,390 3,444 4,840
Total Current Assets 25,867 30,825 35,361 42,656
Fixed Assets 3,806 7,143 10,020 12,686
Total Investments 1,318 1,449 1,594 1,754
Intangible Assets 437 408 383 360
Total Other Non-Current Assets 1,224 1,347 1,482 1,630
Total Non-current Assets 6,785 10,348 13,478 16,429
Short-term Debt 2,949 6,395 7,035 7,738
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 3,610 5,488 7,907 11,113
Other Current Liabilities 788 1,198 1,726 2,426
Total Current Liabilities 7,347 13,082 16,668 21,278
Total Long-term Debt 112 433 429 425
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 234 229 224 220
Total Non-current Liabilities 345 662 653 644
Total Provisions 74 88 118 149
Total Liabilities 7,767 13,832 17,440 22,071
Shareholders Equity 24,869 27,607 31,641 37,235
Minority Interests 16 16 16 16
Total Equity 24,885 27,623 31,657 37,251
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue Growth 60.3% 52.0% 44.1% 40.5%
Operating EBITDA Growth 51.0% 54.2% 48.5% 41.0%
Operating EBITDA Margin 14.1% 14.3% 14.7% 14.8%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) 190.51 147.42 106.41 75.89
BVPS (Rs) 388.51 431.28 494.31 581.70
Gross Interest Cover 4.30 3.49 5.09 7.03
Effective Tax Rate 20.8% 24.7% 23.0% 23.0%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio
Accounts Receivables Days 58.92 59.61 60.92 61.54
Inventory Days 131.94 112.57 105.84 107.12
Accounts Payables Days 80.12 83.62 85.31 85.95
ROIC (%) 14.7% 15.7% 16.7% 17.9%
ROCE (%) 14.0% 11.3% 14.1% 17.4%
Return On Average Assets 9.5% 9.5% 10.7% 11.8%

Analyst(s)

Anirvan DIVAKERA

(91) 02241611548 anirvan.divakera@incredresearch.com