* price as on 04 Feb 2025
Financial
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue (Rsm) 67,885 60,681 67,730 75,844
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 10,522 8,181 11,198 13,664
Net Profit (Rsm) 4,635 2,648 4,381 5,690
Core EPS (Rs) 39.4 22.5 37.2 48.3
Core EPS Growth 29.2% (42.9%) 65.5% 29.9%
FD Core P/E (x) 20.15 35.28 21.32 16.41
DPS (Rs) 6.5 2.2 3.7 4.8
Dividend Yield 0.82% 0.28% 0.47% 0.61%
EV/EBITDA (x) 10.36 13.90 10.36 8.82
P/FCFE (x) 36.73 37.41 17.19 30.96
Net Gearing 41.3% 51.7% 52.5% 56.3%
P/BV (x) 2.93 2.73 2.45 2.16
ROE 15.5% 8.0% 12.1% 14.0%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Net Revenues 67,885 60,681 67,730 75,844
Gross Profit 67,885 60,681 67,730 75,844
Operating EBITDA 10,522 8,181 11,198 13,664
Depreciation And Amortisation (2,460) (3,013) (3,525) (3,983)
Operating EBIT 8,062 5,168 7,672 9,681
Financial Income/(Expense) (1,504) (1,850) (2,035) (2,300)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 681 477 501 526
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 7,239 3,795 6,138 7,906
Exceptional Items 3
Pre-tax Profit 7,242 3,795 6,138 7,906
Taxation (2,446) (987) (1,596) (2,056)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 4,795 2,808 4,542 5,851
Minority Interests (161) (161) (161) (161)
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 4,635 2,648 4,381 5,690
Recurring Net Profit 4,633 2,648 4,381 5,690
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 4,633 2,648 4,381 5,690
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
EBITDA 10,522 8,181 11,198 13,664
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital (1,261) (1,350) 165 481
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense 681 477 501 526
Other Operating Cashflow 3,001 3,001 3,001 3,001
Net Interest (Paid)/Received (1,504) (1,850) (2,035) (2,300)
Tax Paid (2,446) (987) (1,596) (2,056)
Cashflow From Operations 8,992 7,472 11,233 13,316
Capex (10,060) (9,500) (10,500) (14,500)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments
Other Investing Cashflow 1,261 725 0 0
Cash Flow From Investing (8,800) (8,776) (10,500) (14,500)
Debt Raised/(repaid) 2,351 3,800 4,700 4,200
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (765) (265) (438) (569)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow (1,942) (3,161) (2,661) (2,661)
Cash Flow From Financing (356) 374 1,600 969
Total Cash Generated (164) (929) 2,334 (214)
Free Cashflow To Equity 2,543 2,497 5,433 3,016
Free Cashflow To Firm 1,696 547 2,769 1,116
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Cash And Equivalents 6,397 5,468 7,801 7,587
Total Debtors 443 831 928 1,039
Inventories 9,912 8,978 9,649 10,597
Total Other Current Assets 1,660 1,881 1,964 2,124
Total Current Assets 18,412 17,157 20,343 21,347
Fixed Assets 50,757 55,744 62,219 72,236
Total Investments 345 345 345 345
Intangible Assets 4,557 3,832 3,832 3,832
Total Other Non-Current Assets 2,430 3,930 4,430 4,930
Total Non-current Assets 58,088 63,851 70,826 81,343
Short-term Debt 4,610 5,410 6,610 7,810
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 5,560 4,377 5,281 5,805
Other Current Liabilities 10,201 9,709 9,821 10,997
Total Current Liabilities 20,370 19,496 21,712 24,613
Total Long-term Debt 15,639 18,639 22,139 25,139
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 6,921 6,921 7,421 7,921
Total Non-current Liabilities 22,560 25,560 29,560 33,060
Total Provisions
Total Liabilities 42,930 45,055 51,272 57,672
Shareholders Equity 31,867 34,249 38,193 43,314
Minority Interests 1,704 1,704 1,704 1,704
Total Equity 33,570 35,953 39,896 45,018
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue Growth 5.2% (10.6%) 11.6% 12.0%
Operating EBITDA Growth 25.4% (22.2%) 36.9% 22.0%
Operating EBITDA Margin 15.5% 13.5% 16.5% 18.0%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) (117.69) (157.87) (177.97) (215.48)
BVPS (Rs) 270.74 290.99 324.49 368.00
Gross Interest Cover 5.36 2.79 3.77 4.21
Effective Tax Rate 33.8% 26.0% 26.0% 26.0%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio 16.5% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0%
Accounts Receivables Days 2.95 3.83 4.74 4.73
Inventory Days 49.27 56.81 50.19 48.72
Accounts Payables Days 36.33 34.54 31.18 32.54
ROIC (%) 14.9% 8.5% 11.3% 12.4%
ROCE (%) 16.0% 9.1% 11.9% 13.2%
Return On Average Assets 8.9% 5.9% 7.6% 8.4%

Analyst(s)

Nishant BAGRECHA

(91) 22 4161 1564 nishant.bagrecha@incredresearch.com

Saurabh SINGH

(91) 2241611558 saurabh.singh@incredresearch.com

Rohan KALLE

(91) 22 4161 1561 rohan.kalle@incredresearch.com