* price as on 19 Nov 2024
Financial
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue (Rsm) 67,885 71,445 78,966 88,078
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 10,522 11,789 14,047 15,877
Net Profit (Rsm) 4,635 5,605 6,785 7,633
Core EPS (Rs) 39.4 47.6 57.6 64.8
Core EPS Growth 29.2% 21.0% 21.0% 12.5%
FD Core P/E (x) 19.03 15.74 13.00 11.56
DPS (Rs) 6.5 4.8 5.8 6.5
Dividend Yield 0.87% 0.64% 0.77% 0.87%
EV/EBITDA (x) 9.86 9.32 8.19 7.53
P/FCFE (x) 34.69 42.62 22.19 21.91
Net Gearing 41.3% 51.8% 56.1% 57.5%
P/BV (x) 2.77 2.39 2.05 1.77
ROE 15.5% 16.3% 17.0% 16.4%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Net Revenues 67,885 71,445 78,966 88,078
Gross Profit 67,885 71,445 78,966 88,078
Operating EBITDA 10,522 11,789 14,047 15,877
Depreciation And Amortisation (2,460) (3,001) (3,511) (3,967)
Operating EBIT 8,062 8,788 10,537 11,910
Financial Income/(Expense) (1,504) (1,685) (1,853) (2,094)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 681 688 702 716
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 7,239 7,792 9,385 10,531
Exceptional Items 3
Pre-tax Profit 7,242 7,792 9,385 10,531
Taxation (2,446) (2,026) (2,440) (2,738)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 4,795 5,766 6,945 7,793
Minority Interests (161) (161) (161) (161)
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 4,635 5,605 6,785 7,633
Recurring Net Profit 4,633 5,605 6,785 7,633
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 4,633 5,605 6,785 7,633
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
EBITDA 10,522 11,789 14,047 15,877
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital (1,261) 1,578 (181) 566
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense 681 688 702 716
Other Operating Cashflow 3,001 3,001 3,001 3,001
Net Interest (Paid)/Received (1,504) (1,685) (1,853) (2,094)
Tax Paid (2,446) (2,026) (2,440) (2,738)
Cashflow From Operations 8,992 13,345 13,275 15,327
Capex (10,060) (15,500) (14,000) (16,000)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments
Other Investing Cashflow 1,261 (276) (500)
Cash Flow From Investing (8,800) (15,776) (14,500) (16,000)
Debt Raised/(repaid) 2,351 4,500 5,200 4,700
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares 0 0
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (765) (561) (678) (763)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow (1,942) (3,161) (3,161) (3,161)
Cash Flow From Financing (356) 778 1,360 775
Total Cash Generated (164) (1,652) 135 102
Free Cashflow To Equity 2,543 2,070 3,975 4,027
Free Cashflow To Firm 1,696 (745) 629 1,421
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Cash And Equivalents 6,397 4,745 4,880 4,982
Total Debtors 443 587 649 724
Inventories 9,912 9,591 9,952 11,100
Total Other Current Assets 1,660 1,643 1,895 2,114
Total Current Assets 18,412 16,567 17,376 18,921
Fixed Assets 50,757 62,756 72,246 83,279
Total Investments 345 345 345 345
Intangible Assets 4,557 4,832 5,332 5,332
Total Other Non-Current Assets 2,430 2,930 3,930 4,930
Total Non-current Assets 58,088 70,863 81,853 93,886
Short-term Debt 4,610 5,610 6,810 8,010
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 5,560 5,714 6,188 6,875
Other Current Liabilities 10,201 11,431 11,450 12,771
Total Current Liabilities 20,370 22,755 24,448 27,656
Total Long-term Debt 15,639 19,139 23,139 26,639
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 6,921 6,921 6,921 6,921
Total Non-current Liabilities 22,560 26,060 30,060 33,560
Total Provisions
Total Liabilities 42,930 48,815 54,508 61,216
Shareholders Equity 31,867 36,911 43,017 49,887
Minority Interests 1,704 1,704 1,704 1,704
Total Equity 33,570 38,615 44,721 51,590
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue Growth 5.2% 5.2% 10.5% 11.5%
Operating EBITDA Growth 25.4% 12.0% 19.2% 13.0%
Operating EBITDA Margin 15.5% 16.5% 17.8% 18.0%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) (117.69) (169.96) (212.99) (252.05)
BVPS (Rs) 270.74 313.60 365.48 423.85
Gross Interest Cover 5.36 5.22 5.69 5.69
Effective Tax Rate 33.8% 26.0% 26.0% 26.0%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio 16.5% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0%
Accounts Receivables Days 2.95 2.63 2.86 2.84
Inventory Days 49.27 49.82 45.17 43.62
Accounts Payables Days 36.33 34.49 33.46 33.02
ROIC (%) 14.9% 13.5% 13.8% 13.6%
ROCE (%) 16.0% 15.0% 15.3% 14.8%
Return On Average Assets 8.9% 9.1% 9.4% 9.3%

Analyst(s)

Nishant BAGRECHA

(91) 22 4161 1564 nishant.bagrecha@incredresearch.com

Saurabh SINGH

(91) 2241611558 saurabh.singh@incredresearch.com

Rohan KALLE

(91) 22 4161 1561 rohan.kalle@incredresearch.com