* price as on 16 Apr 2025
Financial
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Net Interest Income (Rsm) 400,831 427,242 451,147 520,004
Total Non-Interest Income (Rsm) 133,835 162,032 131,623 132,520
Operating Revenue (Rsm) 534,666 589,275 582,770 652,524
Total Provision Charges (Rsm) (117,366) (26,658) (57,328) (77,431)
Net Profit (Rsm) 82,446 159,235 130,204 158,669
Core EPS (Rs) 7.49 14.46 11.82 14.41
Core EPS Growth 229% 93% (18%) 22%
FD Core P/E (x) 13.20 6.83 8.36 6.86
DPS (Rs) 1.50 2.89 2.36 2.88
Dividend Yield 1.52% 2.93% 2.39% 2.92%
BVPS (Rs) 96.7 109.7 118.6 130.6
P/BV (x) 1.02 0.90 0.83 0.76
ROE 8.0% 14.0% 10.4% 11.6%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Net Interest Income 400,831 427,242 451,147 520,004
Total Non-Interest Income 133,835 162,032 131,623 132,520
Operating Revenue 534,666 589,275 582,770 652,524
Total Non-Interest Expenses (285,358) (316,712) (341,477) (363,534)
Pre-provision Operating Profit 249,308 272,563 241,293 288,990
Total Provision Charges (117,366) (26,658) (57,328) (77,431)
Operating Profit After Provisions 131,942 245,905 183,965 211,559
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Operating EBIT (incl Associates) 131,942 245,905 183,965 211,559
Non-Operating Income/(Expense)
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 131,942 245,905 183,965 211,559
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 131,942 245,905 183,965 211,559
Taxation (49,496) (86,670) (53,761) (52,890)
Consolidation Adjustments & Others
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 82,446 159,235 130,204 158,669
Minority Interests
Pref. & Special Div
FX And Other Adj.
Net Profit 82,446 159,235 130,204 158,669
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Gross Loans/Cust Deposits
Avg Loans/Avg Deposits 66.6% 70.4% 73.1% 74.5%
Avg Liquid Assets/Avg Assets 94.8% 95.1% 95.1% 95.2%
Avg Liquid Assets/Avg IEAs 111.0% 110.4% 111.3% 111.3%
Net Cust Loans/Assets
Net Cust Loans/Broad Deposits
Equity & Provns/Gross Cust Loans
Asset Risk Weighting
Provision Charge/Avg Cust Loans 1.33% 0.26% 0.50% 0.59%
Provision Charge/Avg Assets 0.78% 0.16% 0.32% 0.38%
Total Write Offs/Average Assets
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Gross Loans 9,344,306 10,913,559 12,222,527 13,822,038
Liquid Assets & Invst. (Current) 4,203,182 3,791,533 4,082,967 4,435,436
Other Int. Earning Assets
Total Gross Int. Earning Assets 13,547,488 14,705,092 16,305,494 18,257,474
Total Provisions/Loan Loss Reserve
Total Net Interest Earning Assets 13,547,488 14,705,092 16,305,494 18,257,474
Intangible Assets
Other Non-Interest Earning Assets 656,629 715,725 787,298 873,900
Total Non-Interest Earning Assets 779,816 842,609 917,988 1,008,511
Cash And Marketable Securities 1,291,046 1,660,162 1,842,779 2,055,650
Long-term Investments
Total Assets 15,618,350 17,207,862 19,066,262 21,321,634
Customer Interest-Bearing Liabilities 13,697,128 15,066,841 16,572,155 18,395,092
Bank Deposits
Interest Bearing Liabilities: Others
Total Interest-Bearing Liabilities 13,850,604 15,234,129 16,757,845 18,603,066
Banks Liabilities Under Acceptances
Total Non-Interest Bearing Liabilities 702,981 766,249 850,537 944,096
Total Liabilities 14,553,584 16,000,378 17,608,382 19,547,160
Shareholders Equity 1,064,766 1,207,484 1,305,841 1,438,470
Minority Interests
Total Equity 1,064,766 1,207,484 1,305,841 1,438,470
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Income Growth 17.4% 6.6% 5.6% 15.3%
Operating Profit Growth 10.7% 9.3% (11.5%) 19.8%
Pretax Profit Growth 208% 86% (25%) 15%
Net Interest To Total Income 75.0% 72.5% 77.4% 79.7%
Cost Of Funds 4.98% 4.65% 4.67% 4.76%
Return On Interest Earning Assets 8.3% 7.8% 7.7% 7.9%
Net Interest Spread 3.31% 3.16% 3.06% 3.12%
Net Interest Margin (Avg Deposits) 3.02% 2.97% 2.85% 2.97%
Net Interest Margin (Avg RWA)
Provisions to Pre Prov. Operating Profit 47% 10% 24% 27%
Interest Return On Average Assets 2.65% 2.60% 2.49% 2.58%
Effective Tax Rate 37.5% 35.2% 29.2% 25.0%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio 20.0% 20.0% 20.0% 20.0%
Return On Average Assets 0.55% 0.97% 0.72% 0.79%

Analyst(s)

Bhavik Shah

(91) 22 4161 1551 bhavik.shah@incredresearch.com

Rishabh JOGANI

(91) 22 4161 1569 rishabh.jogani@incredresearch.com