* price as on 04 Feb 2025
Financial
Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue (Rsm) 245,879 279,163 325,559 349,031
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 63,873 78,384 88,178 85,624
Net Profit (Rsm) 45,067 55,683 56,154 53,638
Core EPS (Rs) 54.1 66.8 67.4 64.4
Core EPS Growth 45.0% 23.6% 0.8% (4.5%)
FD Core P/E (x) 21.27 17.21 17.07 17.87
DPS (Rs) 70.0 40.0 40.0 40.0
Dividend Yield 6.09% 3.48% 3.48% 3.48%
EV/EBITDA (x) 14.15 11.38 10.75 10.81
P/FCFE (x) 12.04 13.70 60.22 8.41
Net Gearing (21.5%) (22.0%) (1.8%) (8.4%)
P/BV (x) 4.15 3.42 3.16 2.96
ROE 21.4% 21.8% 19.2% 17.1%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Net Revenues 245,879 279,163 325,559 349,031
Gross Profit 139,343 163,606 193,735 202,001
Operating EBITDA 63,873 78,384 88,178 85,624
Depreciation And Amortisation (12,636) (14,855) (17,273) (18,273)
Operating EBIT 51,237 63,529 70,905 67,351
Financial Income/(Expense) (1,428) (1,711) (3,000) (2,800)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 10,188 9,904 7,500 6,000
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 59,997 71,722 75,405 70,551
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 59,997 71,722 75,405 70,551
Taxation (15,300) (16,186) (18,851) (17,638)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 44,697 55,536 56,554 52,913
Minority Interests 370 147 (400) 725
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 45,067 55,683 56,154 53,638
Recurring Net Profit 45,067 55,683 56,154 53,638
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 45,067 55,683 56,154 53,638
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
EBITDA 63,873 78,384 88,178 85,624
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital (7,845) (20,182) (29,844) (4,940)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense
Other Operating Cashflow 66,704 68,394 65,834 86,683
Net Interest (Paid)/Received (1,428) (1,711) (3,000) (2,800)
Tax Paid (6,401) (21,250) (23,751) (20,113)
Cashflow From Operations 58,875 45,433 39,083 63,771
Capex (11,241) (15,339) (11,500) (12,000)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments (55,000)
Other Investing Cashflow (7,543) (11,032)
Cash Flow From Investing 40,091 19,062 (27,417) 51,771
Debt Raised/(repaid) (19,382) 5,493 4,252 (1,611)
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares 368 805
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (4,979) (6,648) (33,305) (33,305)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow 660 (102) 4,500 3,200
Cash Flow From Financing (23,333) (452) (24,553) (31,715)
Total Cash Generated 16,758 18,610 (51,970) 20,055
Free Cashflow To Equity 79,584 69,988 15,917 113,931
Free Cashflow To Firm 100,394 66,206 14,665 118,342
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Cash And Equivalents 63,029 81,639 29,669 49,724
Total Debtors 72,485 80,298 94,412 101,219
Inventories 48,670 63,552 74,879 80,277
Total Other Current Assets 22,756 26,278 32,556 34,903
Total Current Assets 206,940 251,767 231,515 266,123
Fixed Assets 66,462 76,886 71,113 64,841
Total Investments 5,362 5,255 5,255 5,255
Intangible Assets 35,094 41,204 96,204 96,204
Total Other Non-Current Assets 7,996 12,406 12,406 12,406
Total Non-current Assets 114,914 135,751 184,978 178,706
Short-term Debt 12,194 14,030 14,030 14,030
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 26,444 30,919 29,359 32,724
Other Current Liabilities 47,207 51,090 54,524 60,772
Total Current Liabilities 85,845 96,039 97,913 107,526
Total Long-term Debt 1,278 5,990 10,242 8,631
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 3,740 4,939 4,939 4,939
Total Non-current Liabilities 5,018 10,929 15,181 13,570
Total Provisions
Total Liabilities 90,863 106,968 113,094 121,096
Shareholders Equity 230,991 280,550 302,999 324,058
Minority Interests 400 (325)
Total Equity 230,991 280,550 303,399 323,733
Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue Growth 14.7% 13.5% 16.6% 7.2%
Operating EBITDA Growth 38.7% 22.7% 12.5% (2.9%)
Operating EBITDA Margin 26.0% 28.1% 27.1% 24.5%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) 59.46 73.93 6.47 32.47
BVPS (Rs) 277.13 336.59 363.53 388.79
Gross Interest Cover 35.88 37.13 23.64 24.05
Effective Tax Rate 25.5% 22.6% 25.0% 25.0%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio
Accounts Receivables Days 103.36 99.88 97.94 102.29
Inventory Days 170.54 177.23 191.65 192.59
Accounts Payables Days 89.11 90.59 83.45 77.06
ROIC (%) 21.3% 21.7% 17.8% 17.0%
ROCE (%) 21.9% 23.3% 22.6% 20.0%
Return On Average Assets 14.8% 16.0% 14.6% 12.8%

Analyst(s)

Yogesh SONI

(91) 22 4161 1566 yogesh.soni@incredresearch.com