* price as on 19 Nov 2024
Financial
Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue (Rsm) 245,879 279,163 328,023 349,808
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 63,873 78,384 90,927 87,117
Net Profit (Rsm) 45,067 55,683 60,216 58,358
Core EPS (Rs) 54.1 66.8 72.2 70.0
Core EPS Growth 45.0% 23.6% 8.1% (3.1%)
FD Core P/E (x) 22.44 18.16 16.80 17.33
DPS (Rs) 70.0 40.0 40.0 40.0
Dividend Yield 5.77% 3.30% 3.30% 3.30%
EV/EBITDA (x) 14.97 12.05 10.97 11.13
P/FCFE (x) 12.71 14.45 57.09 8.72
Net Gearing (21.5%) (22.0%) (2.7%) (10.7%)
P/BV (x) 4.38 3.61 3.29 3.03
ROE 21.4% 21.8% 20.5% 18.2%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Net Revenues 245,879 279,163 328,023 349,808
Gross Profit 139,343 163,606 196,740 203,532
Operating EBITDA 63,873 78,384 90,927 87,117
Depreciation And Amortisation (12,636) (14,855) (17,773) (18,273)
Operating EBIT 51,237 63,529 73,155 68,844
Financial Income/(Expense) (1,428) (1,711) (2,400) (2,000)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 10,188 9,904 9,000 10,000
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 59,997 71,722 79,755 76,844
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 59,997 71,722 79,755 76,844
Taxation (15,300) (16,186) (19,939) (19,211)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 44,697 55,536 59,816 57,633
Minority Interests 370 147 400 725
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 45,067 55,683 60,216 58,358
Recurring Net Profit 45,067 55,683 60,216 58,358
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 45,067 55,683 60,216 58,358
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
EBITDA 63,873 78,384 90,927 87,117
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital (7,845) (20,182) (31,570) (4,009)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense
Other Operating Cashflow 66,704 68,394 68,358 93,108
Net Interest (Paid)/Received (1,428) (1,711) (2,400) (2,000)
Tax Paid (6,401) (21,250) (26,139) (26,486)
Cashflow From Operations 58,875 45,433 39,819 64,622
Capex (11,241) (15,339) (11,500) (12,000)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments (55,000)
Other Investing Cashflow (7,543) (11,032)
Cash Flow From Investing 40,091 19,062 (26,681) 52,622
Debt Raised/(repaid) (19,382) 5,493 4,577 (1,321)
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares 368 805
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (4,979) (6,648) (33,305) (33,305)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow 660 (102) 6,600 8,000
Cash Flow From Financing (23,333) (452) (22,128) (26,626)
Total Cash Generated 16,758 18,610 (48,809) 25,996
Free Cashflow To Equity 79,584 69,988 17,715 115,922
Free Cashflow To Firm 100,394 66,206 15,538 119,243
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Cash And Equivalents 63,029 81,639 32,830 58,826
Total Debtors 72,485 80,298 95,127 101,444
Inventories 48,670 63,552 75,445 80,456
Total Other Current Assets 22,756 26,278 32,802 34,981
Total Current Assets 206,940 251,767 236,204 275,707
Fixed Assets 66,462 76,886 70,613 64,341
Total Investments 5,362 5,255 5,255 5,255
Intangible Assets 35,094 41,204 96,204 96,204
Total Other Non-Current Assets 7,996 12,406 12,406 12,406
Total Non-current Assets 114,914 135,751 184,478 178,206
Short-term Debt 12,194 14,030 14,030 14,030
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 26,444 30,919 29,290 32,614
Other Current Liabilities 47,207 51,090 54,396 60,569
Total Current Liabilities 85,845 96,039 97,715 107,213
Total Long-term Debt 1,278 5,990 10,567 9,246
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 3,740 4,939 4,939 4,939
Total Non-current Liabilities 5,018 10,929 15,506 14,185
Total Provisions
Total Liabilities 90,863 106,968 113,221 121,398
Shareholders Equity 230,991 280,550 307,861 333,640
Minority Interests (400) (1,125)
Total Equity 230,991 280,550 307,461 332,515
Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue Growth 14.7% 13.5% 17.5% 6.6%
Operating EBITDA Growth 38.7% 22.7% 16.0% (4.2%)
Operating EBITDA Margin 26.0% 28.1% 27.7% 24.9%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) 59.46 73.93 9.88 42.65
BVPS (Rs) 277.13 336.59 369.36 400.29
Gross Interest Cover 35.88 37.13 30.48 34.42
Effective Tax Rate 25.5% 22.6% 25.0% 25.0%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio
Accounts Receivables Days 103.36 99.88 97.60 102.55
Inventory Days 170.54 177.23 193.22 194.51
Accounts Payables Days 89.11 90.59 83.70 77.23
ROIC (%) 21.3% 21.7% 18.3% 17.4%
ROCE (%) 21.9% 23.3% 23.1% 20.0%
Return On Average Assets 14.8% 16.0% 15.2% 13.5%

Analyst(s)

Praful BOHRA

(91) 22 4161 1552 praful.bohra@incredresearch.com

Yogesh SONI

(91) 22 4161 1566 yogesh.soni@incredresearch.com