* price as on 07 Feb 2025
Financial
Mar-25A Mar-26F Mar-27F Mar-28F
Revenue (Rsm) 1,640 3,177 5,281 7,421
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 967 2,091 3,825 5,570
Net Profit (Rsm) 475 760 1,471 2,025
Core EPS (Rs) 23.8 38.1 73.7 101.4
Core EPS Growth 116.6% 59.6% 93.5% 37.7%
FD Core P/E (x) 106.66 66.83 34.53 25.07
DPS (Rs)
Dividend Yield
EV/EBITDA (x) 39.09 19.41 11.50 8.27
P/FCFE (x) (39.29) 163.12 (250.64) 37.48
Net Gearing (80.8%) (61.1%) (37.5%) (23.3%)
P/BV (x) 3.19 3.04 2.80 2.52
ROE 5.7% 4.7% 8.4% 10.6%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-25A Mar-26F Mar-27F Mar-28F
Total Net Revenues 1,640 3,177 5,281 7,421
Gross Profit 1,335 2,653 4,558 6,489
Operating EBITDA 967 2,091 3,825 5,570
Depreciation And Amortisation (601) (1,590) (2,169) (2,900)
Operating EBIT 366 501 1,657 2,671
Financial Income/(Expense) (132) (31) (233) (496)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 394 546 542 532
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 628 1,016 1,965 2,707
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 628 1,016 1,965 2,707
Taxation (153) (256) (495) (681)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 475 760 1,471 2,025
Minority Interests
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 475 760 1,471 2,025
Recurring Net Profit 475 760 1,471 2,025
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 475 760 1,471 2,025
(Rs mn) Mar-25A Mar-26F Mar-27F Mar-28F
EBITDA 967 2,091 3,825 5,570
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital (149) (24) (33) (34)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense (196) (515) (309) (36)
Other Operating Cashflow 421 546 542 532
Net Interest (Paid)/Received (132) (31) (233) (496)
Tax Paid (26) (256) (495) (681)
Cashflow From Operations 885 1,811 3,297 4,855
Capex (1,259) (5,000) (7,000) (7,000)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries 1
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments
Other Investing Cashflow (8,569) 546 542 532
Cash Flow From Investing (9,828) (4,454) (6,458) (6,468)
Debt Raised/(repaid) (915) 3,500 3,500 3,500
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares 14,728
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow (311) (31) (233) (496)
Cash Flow From Financing 13,502 3,469 3,267 3,004
Total Cash Generated 4,559 826 106 1,391
Free Cashflow To Equity (1,289) 311 (203) 1,355
Free Cashflow To Firm (8,811) (2,611) (2,927) (1,116)
(Rs mn) Mar-25A Mar-26F Mar-27F Mar-28F
Total Cash And Equivalents 13,604 14,431 14,537 15,928
Total Debtors 97 189 314 441
Inventories
Total Other Current Assets 1,784 1,784 1,784 1,784
Total Current Assets 15,486 16,404 16,635 18,153
Fixed Assets 3,744 7,154 11,985 16,086
Total Investments 17 17 17 17
Intangible Assets 6,511 6,511 6,511 6,511
Total Other Non-Current Assets 50 50 50 50
Total Non-current Assets 10,321 13,731 18,563 22,663
Short-term Debt 230 230 230 230
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 71 139 231 324
Other Current Liabilities 8,833 8,833 8,833 8,833
Total Current Liabilities 9,134 9,202 9,294 9,387
Total Long-term Debt 61 3,561 7,061 10,561
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component 438 438 438 438
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities
Total Non-current Liabilities 499 3,999 7,499 10,999
Total Provisions 246 246 246 246
Total Liabilities 9,880 13,447 17,039 20,632
Shareholders Equity 15,928 16,688 18,158 20,184
Minority Interests
Total Equity 15,928 16,688 18,158 20,184
Mar-25A Mar-26F Mar-27F Mar-28F
Revenue Growth 73.6% 93.8% 66.2% 40.5%
Operating EBITDA Growth 101.6% 116.3% 83.0% 45.6%
Operating EBITDA Margin 59.0% 65.8% 72.4% 75.1%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) 644.77 510.87 340.89 235.28
BVPS (Rs) 797.67 835.72 909.38 1,010.81
Gross Interest Cover 2.77 16.03 7.10 5.38
Effective Tax Rate 24.4% 25.2% 25.2% 25.2%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio
Accounts Receivables Days 13.71 16.45 17.38 18.58
Inventory Days
Accounts Payables Days 78.93 73.30 93.30 108.72
ROIC (%) 13.3% 11.4% 18.5% 17.3%
ROCE (%) 2.9% 2.0% 5.2% 6.9%
Return On Average Assets 4.1% 2.8% 5.0% 6.3%

Analyst(s)

Abhishek SHINDADKAR

(91) 22 4161 1543 abhishek.shindadkr@incredresearch.com