* price as on 19 Nov 2024
Financial
Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue (Rsm) 6,511 7,410 10,647 12,154
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 1,862 2,075 3,301 3,889
Net Profit (Rsm) 1,304 1,364 2,227 2,550
Core EPS (Rs) 11.0 10.6 16.8 19.2
Core EPS Growth 7.9% (3.6%) 58.3% 14.5%
FD Core P/E (x) 74.98 77.74 49.12 42.91
DPS (Rs)
Dividend Yield
EV/EBITDA (x) 51.95 46.93 30.85 26.45
P/FCFE (x) (19.33) 179.12 (274.80) (3,859.69)
Net Gearing (8.2%) (40.5%) (32.0%) (24.9%)
P/BV (x) 8.25 5.11 4.62 4.16
ROE 16.0% 8.1% 9.9% 10.2%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Net Revenues 6,511 7,410 10,647 12,154
Gross Profit 3,337 3,779 5,750 6,684
Operating EBITDA 1,862 2,075 3,301 3,889
Depreciation And Amortisation (232) (450) (606) (804)
Operating EBIT 1,630 1,625 2,695 3,085
Financial Income/(Expense) (51) (4) (4) (4)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 166 222 319 365
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 1,745 1,843 3,010 3,445
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 1,745 1,843 3,010 3,445
Taxation (441) (479) (783) (896)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 1,304 1,364 2,227 2,550
Minority Interests
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 1,304 1,364 2,227 2,550
Recurring Net Profit 1,304 1,364 2,227 2,550
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 1,304 1,364 2,227 2,550
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
EBITDA 1,862 2,075 3,301 3,889
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital (1,696) 720 (942) (419)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense
Other Operating Cashflow 138 230 327 372
Net Interest (Paid)/Received (51) (4) (4) (4)
Tax Paid (318) (345) (563) (645)
Cashflow From Operations (66) 2,676 2,119 3,194
Capex (3,567) (2,166) (2,600) (3,305)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments
Other Investing Cashflow 83 83 83 83
Cash Flow From Investing (3,484) (2,084) (2,517) (3,222)
Debt Raised/(repaid) (1,510)
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares 7,259 7,579 9 9
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow (1,357) 4 4 4
Cash Flow From Financing 4,392 7,583 13 13
Total Cash Generated 843 8,175 (385) (15)
Free Cashflow To Equity (5,060) 592 (398) (28)
Free Cashflow To Firm (3,498) 596 (394) (24)
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Cash And Equivalents 1,023 8,665 7,573 6,553
Total Debtors 2,590 2,594 3,727 4,254
Inventories 2,488 1,997 1,959 1,914
Total Other Current Assets 651 366 478 535
Total Current Assets 6,752 13,621 13,737 13,256
Fixed Assets 5,705 7,700 10,250 13,505
Total Investments 2 2 2 2
Intangible Assets 1,128 1,129 1,129 1,129
Total Other Non-Current Assets 212 212 212 212
Total Non-current Assets 7,047 9,042 11,592 14,847
Short-term Debt 1 1 1 1
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 815 763 1,029 1,149
Other Current Liabilities 113 113 113 113
Total Current Liabilities 929 877 1,143 1,263
Total Long-term Debt
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 156 156 156 156
Total Non-current Liabilities 156 156 156 156
Total Provisions 268 216 352 403
Total Liabilities 1,353 1,248 1,651 1,822
Shareholders Equity 12,446 21,415 23,678 26,282
Minority Interests
Total Equity 12,446 21,415 23,678 26,282
Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue Growth 10.3% 13.8% 43.7% 14.1%
Operating EBITDA Growth 10.8% 11.4% 59.1% 17.8%
Operating EBITDA Margin 28.6% 28.0% 31.0% 32.0%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) 8.21 65.29 57.06 49.38
BVPS (Rs) 99.96 161.38 178.44 198.06
Gross Interest Cover 32.01 406.22 673.68 771.21
Effective Tax Rate 25.3% 26.0% 26.0% 26.0%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio
Accounts Receivables Days 118.42 127.66 108.33 119.83
Inventory Days 236.66 225.41 147.41 129.25
Accounts Payables Days 87.05 79.30 66.74 72.65
ROIC (%) 18.1% 10.2% 15.2% 13.7%
ROCE (%) 16.7% 9.5% 11.8% 12.2%
Return On Average Assets 12.5% 7.5% 9.3% 9.6%

Analyst(s)

Satish KUMAR

(91) 22 4161 1562 satish.kumar@incredresearch.com

Niharika AGARWAL

(91) 02241611540 niharika.agarwal@incredresearch.com