* price as on 04 Feb 2025
Financial
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue (Rsm) 7,915 9,430 10,090 10,796
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 3,321 3,834 4,051 4,241
Net Profit (Rsm) 2,440 2,579 2,879 3,164
Core EPS (Rs) 23.0 24.3 27.1 29.8
Core EPS Growth (17.3%) 5.7% 11.6% 9.9%
FD Core P/E (x) 52.94 50.09 44.88 40.83
DPS (Rs)
Dividend Yield
EV/EBITDA (x) 37.96 32.17 29.74 27.66
P/FCFE (x) 252.24 47.66 45.08 40.85
Net Gearing (26.0%) (40.0%) (49.8%) (57.5%)
P/BV (x) 10.74 8.84 7.39 6.25
ROE 22.1% 19.4% 17.9% 16.6%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Net Revenues 7,915 9,430 10,090 10,796
Gross Profit 5,144 6,035 6,458 6,910
Operating EBITDA 3,321 3,834 4,051 4,241
Depreciation And Amortisation (459) (699) (710) (730)
Operating EBIT 2,861 3,135 3,341 3,511
Financial Income/(Expense) (9) (1) (1) (1)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 413 314 509 720
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 3,265 3,448 3,849 4,230
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 3,265 3,448 3,849 4,230
Taxation (825) (869) (970) (1,066)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 2,440 2,579 2,879 3,164
Minority Interests
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 2,440 2,579 2,879 3,164
Recurring Net Profit 2,440 2,579 2,879 3,164
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 2,440 2,579 2,879 3,164
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
EBITDA 3,321 3,834 4,051 4,241
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital (295) 32 (123) (132)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense (313)
Other Operating Cashflow 422 314 509 720
Net Interest (Paid)/Received (9) (1) (1) (1)
Tax Paid (755) (869) (970) (1,066)
Cashflow From Operations 2,371 3,311 3,466 3,763
Capex (2,323) (600) (600) (600)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries 56
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments
Other Investing Cashflow 408
Cash Flow From Investing (1,859) (600) (600) (600)
Debt Raised/(repaid)
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (531)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow (1)
Cash Flow From Financing (532)
Total Cash Generated (20) 2,711 2,866 3,163
Free Cashflow To Equity 512 2,711 2,866 3,163
Free Cashflow To Firm 521 2,712 2,867 3,164
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Cash And Equivalents 3,130 5,841 8,707 11,870
Total Debtors 1,637 1,473 1,576 1,686
Inventories 1,237 1,085 1,161 1,242
Total Other Current Assets 593 593 593 593
Total Current Assets 6,596 8,991 12,036 15,390
Fixed Assets 6,927 6,828 6,718 6,588
Total Investments 370 370 370 370
Intangible Assets
Total Other Non-Current Assets 69 69 69 69
Total Non-current Assets 7,366 7,267 7,157 7,027
Short-term Debt
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 1,085 801 857 917
Other Current Liabilities 516 516 516 516
Total Current Liabilities 1,600 1,316 1,372 1,432
Total Long-term Debt
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 23 23 23 23
Total Non-current Liabilities 23 23 23 23
Total Provisions 308 308 308 308
Total Liabilities 1,931 1,647 1,704 1,764
Shareholders Equity 12,032 14,611 17,490 20,654
Minority Interests
Total Equity 12,032 14,611 17,490 20,654
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue Growth (15.4%) 19.1% 7.0% 7.0%
Operating EBITDA Growth (17.4%) 15.5% 5.6% 4.7%
Operating EBITDA Margin 42.0% 40.7% 40.1% 39.3%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) 29.45 54.95 81.91 111.66
BVPS (Rs) 113.19 137.45 164.53 194.30
Gross Interest Cover 309.01 3,522.70 3,753.56 3,945.06
Effective Tax Rate 25.3% 25.2% 25.2% 25.2%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio
Accounts Receivables Days 71.46 60.19 55.14 55.14
Inventory Days 153.11 124.81 112.85 112.85
Accounts Payables Days 124.47 101.36 83.29 83.29
ROIC (%) 31.9% 26.5% 28.6% 30.0%
ROCE (%) 25.2% 23.0% 20.4% 18.1%
Return On Average Assets 19.2% 17.1% 16.2% 15.2%

Analyst(s)

Satish KUMAR

(91) 22 4161 1562 satish.kumar@incredresearch.com

Abbas PUNJANI

(91) 22 4161 1598 abbas.punjani@incredresearch.com