* price as on 04 Feb 2025
Financial
Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue (Rsm) 8,849 8,741 9,399 10,113
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 1,969 1,387 1,536 1,700
Net Profit (Rsm) 1,432 982 1,086 1,202
Core EPS (Rs) 12.4 8.5 9.4 10.4
Core EPS Growth (10.6%) (31.4%) 10.6% 10.6%
FD Core P/E (x) 11.15 16.25 14.70 13.29
DPS (Rs) 1.5 1.1 1.2 1.3
Dividend Yield 1.35% 0.92% 1.02% 1.13%
EV/EBITDA (x) 7.82 10.39 8.88 7.52
P/FCFE (x) 154.26 22.64 52.47 35.78
Net Gearing (7.4%) (18.3%) (24.3%) (29.6%)
P/BV (x) 2.07 1.88 1.66 1.48
ROE 20.3% 12.1% 12.0% 11.8%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Net Revenues 8,849 8,741 9,399 10,113
Gross Profit 4,000 3,496 3,760 4,045
Operating EBITDA 1,969 1,387 1,536 1,700
Depreciation And Amortisation (114) (146) (156) (166)
Operating EBIT 1,856 1,241 1,380 1,534
Financial Income/(Expense) (72) (34) (34) (34)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 132 107 107 107
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 1,916 1,313 1,452 1,607
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 1,916 1,313 1,452 1,607
Taxation (484) (331) (366) (405)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 1,432 982 1,086 1,202
Minority Interests
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 1,432 982 1,086 1,202
Recurring Net Profit 1,432 982 1,086 1,202
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 1,432 982 1,086 1,202
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
EBITDA 1,969 1,387 1,536 1,700
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital (1,125) 282 (268) (290)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense (39)
Other Operating Cashflow 192 107 107 107
Net Interest (Paid)/Received (72) (34) (34) (34)
Tax Paid (472) (536) (536) (536)
Cashflow From Operations 454 1,205 804 946
Capex (760) (500) (500) (500)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries 2 0 0 0
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments
Other Investing Cashflow 516
Cash Flow From Investing (243) (500) (500) (500)
Debt Raised/(repaid) (108)
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (86) (147) (163) (180)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow (54)
Cash Flow From Financing (248) (147) (163) (180)
Total Cash Generated (37) 558 141 266
Free Cashflow To Equity 104 705 304 446
Free Cashflow To Firm 283 739 339 481
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Cash And Equivalents 611 1,742 2,512 3,368
Total Debtors 2,621 3,026 3,254 3,501
Inventories 2,250 1,705 1,833 1,972
Total Other Current Assets 366 366 366 366
Total Current Assets 5,847 6,839 7,966 9,208
Fixed Assets 2,756 2,810 2,854 2,889
Total Investments 121 121 121 121
Intangible Assets
Total Other Non-Current Assets 485 485 485 485
Total Non-current Assets 3,361 3,416 3,460 3,494
Short-term Debt 19 108 108 108
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 1,031 1,174 1,263 1,358
Other Current Liabilities 211 211 211 211
Total Current Liabilities 1,261 1,493 1,581 1,677
Total Long-term Debt 17 74 74 74
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 81 81 81 81
Total Non-current Liabilities 98 156 156 156
Total Provisions 118 95 95 95
Total Liabilities 1,477 1,744 1,833 1,928
Shareholders Equity 7,731 8,511 9,593 10,774
Minority Interests
Total Equity 7,731 8,511 9,593 10,774
Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue Growth 23.6% (1.2%) 7.5% 7.6%
Operating EBITDA Growth (7.9%) (29.6%) 10.7% 10.7%
Operating EBITDA Margin 22.3% 15.9% 16.3% 16.8%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) 4.99 13.54 20.23 27.66
BVPS (Rs) 67.13 73.90 83.30 93.55
Gross Interest Cover 25.94 36.14 40.19 44.69
Effective Tax Rate 25.3% 25.2% 25.2% 25.2%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio 15.0% 15.0% 15.0% 15.0%
Accounts Receivables Days 105.18 117.90 121.94 121.91
Inventory Days 137.22 137.61 114.50 114.47
Accounts Payables Days 75.02 76.75 78.85 78.83
ROIC (%) 25.4% 12.8% 14.7% 15.7%
ROCE (%) 25.6% 14.9% 14.8% 14.7%
Return On Average Assets 17.3% 10.4% 10.3% 10.2%

Analyst(s)

Satish KUMAR

(91) 22 4161 1562 satish.kumar@incredresearch.com

Abbas PUNJANI

(91) 22 4161 1598 abbas.punjani@incredresearch.com