* price as on 04 Feb 2025
Financial
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Net Interest Income (Rsm) 53,319 61,761 68,611 77,415
Total Non-Interest Income (Rsm) 95,564 92,971 101,821 122,415
Operating Revenue (Rsm) 148,883 154,732 170,432 199,830
Total Provision Charges (Rsm) (32,874) (47,975) (48,954) (53,728)
Net Profit (Rsm) 24,079 19,086 23,747 26,953
Core EPS (Rs) 25.32 20.07 24.97 28.34
Core EPS Growth 6% (21%) 24% 13%
FD Core P/E (x) 33.85 42.70 34.32 30.24
DPS (Rs) 2.50 3.02 3.75 4.26
Dividend Yield 0.29% 0.35% 0.44% 0.50%
BVPS (Rs) 127.1 144.1 165.4 189.4
P/BV (x) 6.74 5.95 5.18 4.52
ROE 22.0% 14.8% 16.1% 16.0%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Net Interest Income 53,319 61,761 68,611 77,415
Total Non-Interest Income 95,564 92,971 101,821 122,415
Operating Revenue 148,883 154,732 170,432 199,830
Total Non-Interest Expenses (83,691) (81,139) (89,603) (109,924)
Pre-provision Operating Profit 65,192 73,593 80,830 89,907
Total Provision Charges (32,874) (47,975) (48,954) (53,728)
Operating Profit After Provisions 32,318 25,619 31,876 36,178
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Operating EBIT (incl Associates) 32,318 25,619 31,876 36,178
Non-Operating Income/(Expense)
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 32,318 25,619 31,876 36,178
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 32,318 25,619 31,876 36,178
Taxation (8,239) (6,533) (8,128) (9,225)
Consolidation Adjustments & Others
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 24,079 19,086 23,747 26,953
Minority Interests
Pref. & Special Div
FX And Other Adj.
Net Profit 24,079 19,086 23,747 26,953
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Gross Loans/Cust Deposits
Avg Loans/Avg Deposits
Avg Liquid Assets/Avg Assets 9.4% 10.4% 10.3% 10.2%
Avg Liquid Assets/Avg IEAs 10.4% 11.3% 11.0% 10.8%
Net Cust Loans/Assets 84.4% 84.8% 84.8% 85.3%
Net Cust Loans/Broad Deposits
Equity & Provns/Gross Cust Loans 24.6% 25.3% 25.7% 25.8%
Asset Risk Weighting 93.5% 93.5% 93.5% 93.5%
Provision Charge/Avg Cust Loans 7.43% 9.30% 8.50% 8.20%
Provision Charge/Avg Assets 6.34% 7.87% 7.21% 6.97%
Total Write Offs/Average Assets
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Gross Loans 490,790 540,925 610,929 699,514
Liquid Assets & Invst. (Current) 35,191 54,547 63,274 74,663
Other Int. Earning Assets
Total Gross Int. Earning Assets 525,981 595,471 674,203 774,177
Total Provisions/Loan Loss Reserve
Total Net Interest Earning Assets 525,981 595,471 674,203 774,177
Intangible Assets
Other Non-Interest Earning Assets 28,435 32,136 35,053 38,248
Total Non-Interest Earning Assets 28,435 32,136 35,053 38,248
Cash And Marketable Securities 27,296 10,085 11,415 7,537
Long-term Investments
Total Assets 581,712 637,692 720,671 819,962
Customer Interest-Bearing Liabilities
Bank Deposits
Interest Bearing Liabilities: Others 443,649 480,822 540,645 613,609
Total Interest-Bearing Liabilities 443,649 480,822 540,645 613,609
Banks Liabilities Under Acceptances
Total Non-Interest Bearing Liabilities 17,223 19,807 22,778 26,194
Total Liabilities 460,872 500,629 563,423 639,803
Shareholders Equity 120,840 137,063 157,249 180,159
Minority Interests
Total Equity 120,840 137,063 157,249 180,159
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Income Growth 18.4% 15.8% 11.1% 12.8%
Operating Profit Growth 25.6% 12.9% 9.8% 11.2%
Pretax Profit Growth 7% (21%) 24% 13%
Net Interest To Total Income 35.8% 39.9% 40.3% 38.7%
Cost Of Funds 6.61% 6.95% 6.30% 6.00%
Return On Interest Earning Assets 16.8% 16.7% 15.9% 15.5%
Net Interest Spread 10.24% 9.79% 9.58% 9.47%
Net Interest Margin (Avg Deposits)
Net Interest Margin (Avg RWA) 11.75% 10.83% 10.80% 10.75%
Provisions to Pre Prov. Operating Profit 50% 65% 61% 60%
Interest Return On Average Assets 10.28% 10.13% 10.10% 10.05%
Effective Tax Rate 25.5% 25.5% 25.5% 25.5%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio
Return On Average Assets 4.64% 3.13% 3.50% 3.50%

Analyst(s)

Rishabh JOGANI

(91) 22 4161 1569 rishabh.jogani@incredresearch.com

Meghna LUTHRA

(91) 22 4161 1553 meghna.luthra@incredresearch.com