* price as on 04 Feb 2025
Financial
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue (Rsm) 698,291 683,528 742,727 830,771
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 91,326 85,477 95,099 103,086
Net Profit (Rsm) 60,600 54,441 60,306 64,658
Core EPS (Rs) 74.6 67.0 74.2 79.6
Core EPS Growth 28.7% (10.2%) 10.8% 7.2%
FD Core P/E (x) 22.53 25.08 22.64 21.12
DPS (Rs) 190.0 30.2 33.4 39.8
Dividend Yield 11.31% 1.79% 1.99% 2.37%
EV/EBITDA (x) 14.10 15.36 13.79 12.69
P/FCFE (x) 18.96 (10,224.90) 45.54 38.30
Net Gearing (73.1%) (38.4%) (31.9%) (28.1%)
P/BV (x) 12.80 10.00 8.04 6.76
ROE 39.5% 44.8% 39.4% 34.8%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Net Revenues 698,291 683,528 742,727 830,771
Gross Profit 182,361 187,287 204,993 228,462
Operating EBITDA 91,326 85,477 95,099 103,086
Depreciation And Amortisation (22,079) (21,417) (23,987) (27,585)
Operating EBIT 69,247 64,060 71,112 75,501
Financial Income/(Expense) 13,152 9,113 9,944 11,405
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense)
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 82,399 73,173 81,056 86,907
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 82,399 73,173 81,056 86,907
Taxation (21,798) (18,732) (20,750) (22,248)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 60,600 54,441 60,306 64,658
Minority Interests
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 60,600 54,441 60,306 64,658
Recurring Net Profit 60,600 54,441 60,306 64,658
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 60,600 54,441 60,306 64,658
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
EBITDA 91,326 85,477 95,099 103,086
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital 5,462 (18,235) 5,630 482
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions 12,390 (12,956) 4,160 6,020
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense
Other Operating Cashflow 659 (800) (100) (100)
Net Interest (Paid)/Received 13,152 9,113 9,944 11,405
Tax Paid (21,798) (18,732) (20,750) (22,248)
Cashflow From Operations 101,191 43,866 93,983 98,646
Capex (29,881) (40,000) (60,000) (50,000)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments
Other Investing Cashflow 716 (4,000) (4,000) (13,000)
Cash Flow From Investing (29,166) (44,000) (64,000) (63,000)
Debt Raised/(repaid)
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (154,358) (24,498) (27,138) (32,329)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow (12,683) (1,045) (1,075) (774)
Cash Flow From Financing (167,042) (25,543) (28,212) (33,103)
Total Cash Generated (95,016) (25,676) 1,770 2,543
Free Cashflow To Equity 72,026 (134) 29,983 35,646
Free Cashflow To Firm 73,606 1,066 31,383 36,946
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Cash And Equivalents 90,173 62,606 62,951 61,568
Total Debtors 25,100 33,708 34,593 38,693
Inventories 33,156 41,199 42,732 45,522
Total Other Current Assets 9,371 10,800 11,900 13,100
Total Current Assets 157,801 148,313 152,176 158,884
Fixed Assets 82,673 101,256 137,269 159,684
Total Investments 6,654 10,654 14,654 27,654
Intangible Assets
Total Other Non-Current Assets 16,364 17,300 18,300 19,000
Total Non-current Assets 105,691 129,210 170,223 206,338
Short-term Debt
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 74,931 73,346 81,395 88,767
Other Current Liabilities 56,699 43,072 46,802 52,350
Total Current Liabilities 131,629 116,418 128,197 141,117
Total Long-term Debt 12,211 10,211 8,711 4,711
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities
Total Non-current Liabilities 12,211 10,211 8,711 4,711
Total Provisions 29,360 31,595 34,025 36,297
Total Liabilities 173,200 158,224 170,932 182,125
Shareholders Equity 106,657 136,599 169,767 202,096
Minority Interests
Total Equity 106,657 136,599 169,767 202,096
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue Growth 15.8% (2.1%) 8.7% 11.9%
Operating EBITDA Growth 21.0% (6.4%) 11.3% 8.4%
Operating EBITDA Margin 13.1% 12.5% 12.8% 12.4%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) 95.95 64.48 66.75 69.97
BVPS (Rs) 131.26 168.11 208.93 248.72
Gross Interest Cover 43.81 53.38 50.79 58.08
Effective Tax Rate 26.5% 25.6% 25.6% 25.6%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio 254.7% 45.0% 45.0% 50.0%
Accounts Receivables Days 14.13 15.70 16.78 16.10
Inventory Days 23.83 27.35 28.49 26.74
Accounts Payables Days 52.83 54.53 52.52 51.56
ROIC (%) 105.5% 120.9% 53.5% 42.8%
ROCE (%) 46.0% 49.7% 45.7% 41.7%
Return On Average Assets 17.0% 17.9% 17.9% 16.6%

Analyst(s)

Pramod AMTHE

(91) 22 4161 1541 pramod.amthe@incredresearch.com

Ravi GUPTA

(91) 02241611552 ravi.gupta@incredresearch.com