* price as on 06 Jun 2025
Financial
Mar-25A Mar-26F Mar-27F Mar-28F
Revenue (Rsm) 691,929 742,793 833,691 958,755
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 89,538 94,216 102,523 119,462
Net Profit (Rsm) 56,402 58,163 61,129 70,690
Core EPS (Rs) 69.4 71.6 75.2 87.0
Core EPS Growth (6.9%) 3.1% 5.1% 15.6%
FD Core P/E (x) 26.81 26.00 24.74 21.39
DPS (Rs) 20.8 25.1 30.1 34.8
Dividend Yield 1.12% 1.35% 1.62% 1.87%
EV/EBITDA (x) 16.07 15.53 14.26 12.00
P/FCFE (x) (371.60) (476.10) 64.87 16.91
Net Gearing (44.9%) (24.4%) (21.3%) (28.0%)
P/BV (x) 9.28 7.53 6.37 5.40
ROE 41.8% 32.0% 27.9% 27.3%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-25A Mar-26F Mar-27F Mar-28F
Total Net Revenues 691,929 742,793 833,691 958,755
Gross Profit 192,225 205,011 229,265 261,740
Operating EBITDA 89,538 94,216 102,523 119,462
Depreciation And Amortisation (21,053) (24,210) (29,779) (35,139)
Operating EBIT 68,485 70,005 72,744 84,323
Financial Income/(Expense) 7,428 8,171 9,419 10,691
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense)
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 75,913 78,176 82,163 95,014
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 75,913 78,176 82,163 95,014
Taxation (19,511) (20,013) (21,034) (24,324)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 56,402 58,163 61,129 70,690
Minority Interests
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 56,402 58,163 61,129 70,690
Recurring Net Profit 56,402 58,163 61,129 70,690
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 56,402 58,163 61,129 70,690
(Rs mn) Mar-25A Mar-26F Mar-27F Mar-28F
EBITDA 89,538 94,216 102,523 119,462
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital (3,747) (12,927)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions (17,812) 3,170 8,894
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense
Other Operating Cashflow (900) (100)
Net Interest (Paid)/Received 7,428 8,171 9,419 10,691
Tax Paid (19,511) (20,013) (21,034) (24,324)
Cashflow From Operations 55,896 71,716 99,702 105,830
Capex (56,615) (70,000) (60,000)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments
Other Investing Cashflow (3,351) (4,892) (16,392) (16,392)
Cash Flow From Investing (59,965) (74,892) (76,392) (16,392)
Debt Raised/(repaid)
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (16,921) (20,357) (24,452) (28,276)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow 17,107 (1,589) (774) (74)
Cash Flow From Financing 187 (21,946) (25,226) (28,350)
Total Cash Generated (3,883) (25,122) (1,915) 61,087
Free Cashflow To Equity (4,069) (3,176) 23,310 89,438
Free Cashflow To Firm (2,797) (1,776) 24,610 90,538
(Rs mn) Mar-25A Mar-26F Mar-27F Mar-28F
Total Cash And Equivalents 85,792 60,137 57,687 81,579
Total Debtors 23,891 30,526 34,261 36,774
Inventories 34,044 40,701 43,398 47,281
Total Other Current Assets 12,024 14,127 15,549 17,004
Total Current Assets 155,751 145,490 150,896 182,638
Fixed Assets 118,235 164,024 194,245 209,106
Total Investments 10,202 14,202 27,202 40,202
Intangible Assets
Total Other Non-Current Assets 16,786 18,300 19,000 19,000
Total Non-current Assets 145,223 196,526 240,447 268,308
Short-term Debt
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 70,862 71,227 77,659 89,309
Other Current Liabilities 40,824 43,825 52,534 60,415
Total Current Liabilities 111,686 115,052 130,193 149,723
Total Long-term Debt 12,612 11,112 7,112 3,112
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities
Total Non-current Liabilities 12,612 11,112 7,112 3,112
Total Provisions 30,497 33,382 35,590 37,249
Total Liabilities 154,795 159,546 172,895 190,084
Shareholders Equity 162,965 200,771 237,448 279,862
Minority Interests
Total Equity 162,965 200,771 237,448 279,862
Mar-25A Mar-26F Mar-27F Mar-28F
Revenue Growth (0.9%) 7.4% 12.2% 15.0%
Operating EBITDA Growth (2.0%) 5.2% 8.8% 16.5%
Operating EBITDA Margin 12.9% 12.7% 12.3% 12.5%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) 90.06 60.34 62.24 96.57
BVPS (Rs) 200.56 247.09 292.23 344.43
Gross Interest Cover 53.84 50.00 55.96 76.66
Effective Tax Rate 25.7% 25.6% 25.6% 25.6%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio 30.0% 35.0% 40.0% 40.0%
Accounts Receivables Days 12.92 13.37 14.18 13.52
Inventory Days 24.54 25.37 25.39 23.74
Accounts Payables Days 53.25 48.22 44.95 43.72
ROIC (%) 129.2% 49.6% 31.5% 31.6%
ROCE (%) 47.1% 37.7% 33.8% 34.0%
Return On Average Assets 18.2% 16.4% 15.0% 15.1%

Analyst(s)

Pramod AMTHE

(91) 22 4161 1541 pramod.amthe@incredresearch.com

Ravi GUPTA

(91) 22 4161 1552 ravi.gupta@incredresearch.com