* price as on 19 Nov 2024
Financial
Mar-21A Mar-22F Mar-23F Mar-24F
Revenue (Rsm) 20,425 23,496 26,904 31,069
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 5,604 5,677 6,859 8,137
Net Profit (Rsm) 4,480 4,013 5,042 6,037
Core EPS (Rs) 52.8 53.3 65.2 78.1
Core EPS Growth 48.5% 1.0% 22.4% 19.7%
FD Core P/E (x) 31.60 31.28 25.55 21.34
DPS (Rs) 9.5 13.0 16.3 19.5
Dividend Yield 0.57% 0.78% 0.98% 1.17%
EV/EBITDA (x) 23.00 22.65 18.73 15.77
P/FCFE (x) 36.59 35.58 30.49 25.57
Net Gearing 0.1% (1.4%) (1.6%) (1.9%)
P/BV (x) 7.12 5.93 4.93 4.14
ROE 25.1% 20.7% 21.1% 21.1%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-21A Mar-22F Mar-23F Mar-24F
Total Net Revenues 20,425 23,496 26,904 31,069
Gross Profit 13,410 15,273 17,757 20,505
Operating EBITDA 5,604 5,677 6,859 8,137
Depreciation And Amortisation (687) (716) (737) (766)
Operating EBIT 4,917 4,961 6,123 7,371
Financial Income/(Expense) (72) (64) (66) (68)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 589 601 673 753
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 5,434 5,498 6,729 8,056
Exceptional Items 535 (140)
Pre-tax Profit 5,969 5,358 6,729 8,056
Taxation (1,484) (1,340) (1,682) (2,014)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 4,485 4,019 5,047 6,042
Minority Interests (6) (6) (6) (6)
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 4,480 4,013 5,042 6,037
Recurring Net Profit 4,078 4,118 5,042 6,037
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 4,078 4,118 5,042 6,037
(Rs mn) Mar-21A Mar-22F Mar-23F Mar-24F
EBITDA 5,604 5,677 6,859 8,137
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital (1,140) (838) (1,052) (1,262)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense
Other Operating Cashflow 535 140
Net Interest (Paid)/Received (72) (64) (66) (68)
Tax Paid (1,422) (1,340) (1,682) (2,014)
Cashflow From Operations 3,505 3,576 4,059 4,793
Capex (605) (516) (517) (518)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments
Other Investing Cashflow 589 601 673 753
Cash Flow From Investing (16) 85 156 236
Debt Raised/(repaid) 32 (40) 10 10
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares 0 0
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (734) (1,003) (1,260) (1,509)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow (2,788) (2,053) (2,839) (3,342)
Cash Flow From Financing (3,490) (3,096) (4,089) (4,841)
Total Cash Generated (1) 564 126 188
Free Cashflow To Equity 3,521 3,620 4,225 5,039
Free Cashflow To Firm 3,562 3,724 4,281 5,097
(Rs mn) Mar-21A Mar-22F Mar-23F Mar-24F
Total Cash And Equivalents 309 593 719 906
Total Debtors 3,890 4,506 5,160 5,958
Inventories 3,474 3,991 4,570 5,277
Total Other Current Assets 7,853 10,652 14,257 18,267
Total Current Assets 15,526 19,742 24,705 30,409
Fixed Assets 5,697 5,481 5,244 4,978
Total Investments 129 142 156 172
Intangible Assets 896 912 929 946
Total Other Non-Current Assets 134 142 151 162
Total Non-current Assets 6,855 6,677 6,480 6,258
Short-term Debt 326 286 296 306
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 1,869 2,247 2,528 2,892
Other Current Liabilities 1,257 1,321 1,389 1,464
Total Current Liabilities 3,453 3,855 4,214 4,663
Total Long-term Debt
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 101 101 101 101
Total Non-current Liabilities 101 101 101 101
Total Provisions 693 693 693 693
Total Liabilities 4,247 4,649 5,008 5,457
Shareholders Equity 18,097 21,727 26,128 31,156
Minority Interests 37 43 48 54
Total Equity 18,134 21,770 26,177 31,210
Mar-21A Mar-22F Mar-23F Mar-24F
Revenue Growth 15.1% 15.0% 14.5% 15.5%
Operating EBITDA Growth 48.4% 1.3% 20.8% 18.6%
Operating EBITDA Margin 27.4% 24.2% 25.5% 26.2%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) (0.23) 3.97 5.46 7.76
BVPS (Rs) 234.17 281.14 338.09 403.14
Gross Interest Cover 67.91 78.08 93.11 108.43
Effective Tax Rate 24.9% 25.0% 25.0% 25.0%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio 13.5% 18.3% 18.7% 18.7%
Accounts Receivables Days 65.62 65.22 65.57 65.31
Inventory Days 161.85 165.68 170.80 170.13
Accounts Payables Days 92.33 91.36 95.27 93.64
ROIC (%) 34.2% 26.4% 27.7% 27.9%
ROCE (%) 28.7% 23.8% 24.7% 24.9%
Return On Average Assets 27.1% 22.8% 23.6% 23.9%

Analyst(s)

Praful BOHRA

(91) 22 4161 1552 praful.bohra@incredresearch.com