* price as on 19 Nov 2024
Financial
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Net Interest Income (Rsm) 5,278 6,442 8,226 10,270
Total Non-Interest Income (Rsm) 1,289 1,726 1,915 2,239
Operating Revenue (Rsm) 6,567 8,168 10,142 12,509
Total Provision Charges (Rsm) (254) (276) (355) (456)
Net Profit (Rsm) 3,057 3,786 4,639 5,623
Core EPS (Rs) 34.54 42.77 52.41 63.53
Core EPS Growth 33% 24% 23% 21%
FD Core P/E (x) 30.46 24.60 20.07 16.56
DPS (Rs)
Dividend Yield
BVPS (Rs) 239.7 276.0 318.0 362.4
P/BV (x) 4.39 3.81 3.31 2.90
ROE 15.5% 16.6% 17.6% 18.7%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Net Interest Income 5,278 6,442 8,226 10,270
Total Non-Interest Income 1,289 1,726 1,915 2,239
Operating Revenue 6,567 8,168 10,142 12,509
Total Non-Interest Expenses (2,196) (2,791) (3,366) (4,263)
Pre-provision Operating Profit 4,254 5,225 6,582 8,004
Total Provision Charges (254) (276) (355) (456)
Operating Profit After Provisions 4,000 4,949 6,227 7,548
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Operating EBIT (incl Associates) 4,000 4,949 6,227 7,548
Non-Operating Income/(Expense)
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 2,711 3,222 4,311 5,310
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 4,000 4,949 6,227 7,548
Taxation (942) (1,163) (1,588) (1,925)
Consolidation Adjustments & Others
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 3,057 3,786 4,639 5,623
Minority Interests
Pref. & Special Div
FX And Other Adj.
Net Profit 3,057 3,786 4,639 5,623
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Gross Loans/Cust Deposits
Avg Loans/Avg Deposits
Avg Liquid Assets/Avg Assets 6.9% 9.4% 8.9% 8.4%
Avg Liquid Assets/Avg IEAs 7.9% 11.0% 10.3% 9.5%
Net Cust Loans/Assets 85.4% 85.1% 87.9% 87.9%
Net Cust Loans/Broad Deposits
Equity & Provns/Gross Cust Loans 26.1% 23.8% 21.0% 18.9%
Asset Risk Weighting
Provision Charge/Avg Cust Loans
Provision Charge/Avg Assets
Total Write Offs/Average Assets
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Gross Loans 81,434 102,616 134,102 169,877
Liquid Assets & Invst. (Current)
Other Int. Earning Assets
Total Gross Int. Earning Assets 81,434 102,616 134,102 169,877
Total Provisions/Loan Loss Reserve
Total Net Interest Earning Assets 81,434 102,616 134,102 169,877
Intangible Assets
Other Non-Interest Earning Assets 1,602 1,442 1,298 1,168
Total Non-Interest Earning Assets 1,902 1,772 1,661 1,567
Cash And Marketable Securities 8,215 12,059 12,235 16,686
Long-term Investments 3,788 4,167 4,584 5,042
Total Assets 95,340 120,614 152,581 193,172
Customer Interest-Bearing Liabilities
Bank Deposits
Interest Bearing Liabilities: Others 73,021 94,594 122,645 159,046
Total Interest-Bearing Liabilities 73,021 94,594 122,645 159,046
Banks Liabilities Under Acceptances
Total Non-Interest Bearing Liabilities 1,104 1,587 1,792 2,046
Total Liabilities 74,125 96,182 124,437 161,092
Shareholders Equity 21,215 24,433 28,144 32,080
Minority Interests
Total Equity 21,215 24,433 28,144 32,080
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Income Growth 26.3% 22.0% 27.7% 24.9%
Operating Profit Growth 34.2% 23.0% 26.0% 21.7%
Pretax Profit Growth 35% 24% 26% 21%
Net Interest To Total Income 80.4% 78.9% 81.1% 82.1%
Cost Of Funds 8.25% 8.40% 7.90% 7.60%
Return On Interest Earning Assets 14.5% 14.7% 14.2% 13.8%
Net Interest Spread 6.29% 6.25% 6.30% 6.20%
Net Interest Margin (Avg Deposits)
Net Interest Margin (Avg RWA)
Provisions to Pre Prov. Operating Profit 6% 5% 5% 6%
Interest Return On Average Assets 6.49% 5.97% 6.02% 5.94%
Effective Tax Rate 23.6% 23.5% 25.5% 25.5%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio
Return On Average Assets 3.76% 3.51% 3.40% 3.25%

Analyst(s)

Jignesh SHIAL

(91) 22 4161 1547 jignesh.shial@incredresearch.com

Rishabh JOGANI

(91) 22 4161 1569 rishabh.jogani@incredresearch.com

Meghna LUTHRA

(91) 22 4161 1500 meghna.luthra@incredresearch.com