* price as on 19 Nov 2024
Financial
Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue (Rsm) 40,624 44,847 40,769 44,458
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 9,173 9,822 9,471 10,152
Net Profit (Rsm) 4,580 5,507 5,265 5,807
Core EPS (Rs) 14.1 19.6 18.7 20.6
Core EPS Growth 14.8% 39.0% (4.4%) 10.3%
FD Core P/E (x) 22.14 15.93 16.66 15.10
DPS (Rs) 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.5
Dividend Yield 0.09% 0.20% 0.20% 0.20%
EV/EBITDA (x) 9.98 15.92 16.21 13.56
P/FCFE (x) 36.47 16.36 9.65 3.96
Net Gearing 16.5% 209.5% 174.1% 115.5%
P/BV (x) 3.16 2.65 2.30 2.00
ROE 15.5% 18.1% 14.8% 14.2%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Net Revenues 40,624 44,847 40,769 44,458
Gross Profit 11,964 15,696 14,269 15,560
Operating EBITDA 9,173 9,822 9,471 10,152
Depreciation And Amortisation (1,807) (1,771) (1,771) (1,918)
Operating EBIT 7,366 8,051 7,700 8,234
Financial Income/(Expense) (1,531) (1,367) (1,342) (1,146)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 367 367 367 367
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 6,202 7,050 6,725 7,455
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 6,202 7,050 6,725 7,455
Taxation (2,418) (1,536) (1,419) (1,572)
Exceptional Income - post-tax 618
Profit After Tax 4,402 5,514 5,305 5,883
Minority Interests 178 (8) (41) (76)
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 4,580 5,507 5,265 5,807
Recurring Net Profit 3,962 5,507 5,265 5,807
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 3,962 5,507 5,265 5,807
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
EBITDA 9,173 9,822 9,471 10,152
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital 7,033 (69,924) (2,487) 9,832
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense
Other Operating Cashflow
Net Interest (Paid)/Received (1,531) (1,367) (1,342) (1,146)
Tax Paid (2,418) (1,536) (1,419) (1,572)
Cashflow From Operations 12,257 (63,005) 4,222 17,266
Capex (1,351) (2,000) (1,500) (1,500)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments 10
Other Investing Cashflow 985 367 367 367
Cash Flow From Investing (357) (1,633) (1,133) (1,133)
Debt Raised/(repaid) (9,495) 70,000 6,000 6,000
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares (2,612) 0 0 0
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (81) (176) (176) (176)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow (102) (10) (41) (76)
Cash Flow From Financing (12,290) 69,814 5,784 5,748
Total Cash Generated (390) 5,175 8,872 21,881
Free Cashflow To Equity 2,405 5,361 9,089 22,133
Free Cashflow To Firm 13,431 (63,271) 4,430 17,279
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Cash And Equivalents 2,202 7,377 16,250 38,131
Total Debtors 6,229 7,011 5,949 6,905
Inventories 2,342 2,859 2,574 2,831
Total Other Current Assets 22,698 104,350 112,587 94,869
Total Current Assets 33,471 121,598 137,360 142,736
Fixed Assets 5,902 6,428 6,454 6,332
Total Investments 723 723 723 723
Intangible Assets 3,028 2,733 2,437 2,140
Total Other Non-Current Assets
Total Non-current Assets 9,653 9,884 9,614 9,195
Short-term Debt
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors
Other Current Liabilities 8,553 21,581 25,983 19,309
Total Current Liabilities 8,553 21,581 25,983 19,309
Total Long-term Debt 6,779 76,779 82,779 88,779
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities
Total Non-current Liabilities 6,779 76,779 82,779 88,779
Total Provisions
Total Liabilities 15,332 98,360 108,761 108,088
Shareholders Equity 27,792 33,123 38,212 43,843
Minority Interests
Total Equity 27,792 33,123 38,212 43,843
Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue Growth 12.7% 10.4% (9.1%) 9.0%
Operating EBITDA Growth 14.9% 7.1% (3.6%) 7.2%
Operating EBITDA Margin 22.6% 21.9% 23.2% 22.8%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) (16.27) (246.77) (236.56) (180.09)
BVPS (Rs) 98.82 117.78 135.87 155.89
Gross Interest Cover 4.81 5.89 5.74 7.18
Effective Tax Rate 39.0% 21.8% 21.1% 21.1%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio 1.3% 2.5% 2.6% 2.4%
Accounts Receivables Days 54.87 53.88 58.02 52.77
Inventory Days 29.40 32.57 37.42 34.13
Accounts Payables Days
ROIC (%) 19.0% 25.4% 7.6% 7.9%
ROCE (%) 19.2% 11.1% 6.7% 6.5%
Return On Average Assets 16.1% 9.6% 5.8% 5.8%

Analyst(s)

Rajarshi MAITRA

(91) 22 4161 1546 rajarshi.maitra@incredresearch.com