* price as on 19 Nov 2024
Financial
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue (Rsm) 1,536,710 1,619,990 1,773,863 1,949,232
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 364,250 390,583 432,468 475,613
Net Profit (Rsm) 262,320 261,257 298,661 329,741
Core EPS (Rs) 63.0 63.0 72.0 79.5
Core EPS Growth 9.8% 0.0% 14.2% 10.4%
FD Core P/E (x) 28.97 28.96 25.36 22.97
DPS (Rs) 46.0 53.0 61.2 67.5
Dividend Yield 2.52% 2.90% 3.35% 3.70%
EV/EBITDA (x) 20.29 18.82 16.92 15.30
P/FCFE (x) 38.20 31.15 28.70 26.35
Net Gearing (24.1%) (23.6%) (26.6%) (29.2%)
P/BV (x) 8.58 8.21 7.83 7.44
ROE 32.1% 29.0% 31.6% 33.2%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Net Revenues 1,536,710 1,619,990 1,773,863 1,949,232
Gross Profit 509,350 542,465 590,696 647,145
Operating EBITDA 364,250 390,583 432,468 475,613
Depreciation And Amortisation (46,780) (47,599) (52,329) (56,528)
Operating EBIT 317,470 342,984 380,139 419,085
Financial Income/(Expense) 15,980 20,050 22,241 24,629
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 26,440 5,352 7,237 8,479
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 359,890 368,386 409,617 452,193
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 359,890 368,386 409,617 452,193
Taxation (97,410) (106,770) (110,597) (122,092)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 262,480 261,617 299,021 330,101
Minority Interests (160) (360) (360) (360)
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 262,320 261,257 298,661 329,741
Recurring Net Profit 262,320 261,257 298,661 329,741
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 262,320 261,257 298,661 329,741
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
EBITDA 364,250 390,583 432,468 475,613
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital (50,820) (16,517) (35,684) (43,722)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense (160) (360) (360) (360)
Other Operating Cashflow
Net Interest (Paid)/Received
Tax Paid (92,310) (106,770) (110,597) (122,092)
Cashflow From Operations 220,960 266,937 285,828 309,438
Capex (22,010) (24,000) (22,000) (22,000)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments
Other Investing Cashflow (28,080) (13,558) 33,768 37,398
Cash Flow From Investing (50,090) (37,558) 11,768 15,398
Debt Raised/(repaid)
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (146,920) (219,516) (253,862) (280,280)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow (28,120) (4,290) (4,290) (4,290)
Cash Flow From Financing (175,040) (223,806) (258,152) (284,570)
Total Cash Generated (4,170) 5,573 39,445 40,267
Free Cashflow To Equity 198,950 242,937 263,828 287,438
Free Cashflow To Firm 170,870 229,379 297,596 324,836
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Cash And Equivalents 277,010 282,583 322,028 362,294
Total Debtors 429,610 448,271 485,990 534,036
Inventories
Total Other Current Assets 187,700 187,700 187,700 187,700
Total Current Assets 894,320 918,554 995,718 1,084,031
Fixed Assets 192,150 211,801 181,472 146,944
Total Investments 148,470 148,470 148,470 148,470
Intangible Assets 87,000 87,000 87,000 87,000
Total Other Non-Current Assets 56,200 56,200 56,200 56,200
Total Non-current Assets 483,820 503,471 473,142 438,614
Short-term Debt
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 39,560 41,704 43,739 48,063
Other Current Liabilities 348,380 348,380 348,380 348,380
Total Current Liabilities 387,940 390,084 392,119 396,443
Total Long-term Debt
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 105,590 105,590 105,590 105,590
Total Non-current Liabilities 105,590 105,590 105,590 105,590
Total Provisions
Total Liabilities 493,530 495,674 497,709 502,033
Shareholders Equity 881,160 922,901 967,700 1,017,161
Minority Interests 3,450 3,450 3,450 3,450
Total Equity 884,610 926,351 971,150 1,020,611
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue Growth 4.7% 5.4% 9.5% 9.9%
Operating EBITDA Growth 3.7% 7.2% 10.7% 10.0%
Operating EBITDA Margin 23.7% 24.1% 24.4% 24.4%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) 51.41 52.67 62.18 71.88
BVPS (Rs) 212.67 222.39 233.19 245.10
Gross Interest Cover 67.69 79.95 88.61 97.69
Effective Tax Rate 27.1% 29.0% 27.0% 27.0%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio 72.6% 84.0% 85.0% 85.0%
Accounts Receivables Days 99.37 98.90 96.12 95.50
Inventory Days
Accounts Payables Days 13.89 13.76 13.18 12.87
ROIC (%) 44.4% 43.1% 46.2% 50.5%
ROCE (%) 26.1% 25.1% 27.4% 28.9%
Return On Average Assets 19.0% 17.7% 19.6% 20.9%

Analyst(s)

Abhishek SHINDADKAR

(91) 22 4161 1543 abhishek.shindadkr@incredresearch.com

Smit GOSRANI

(91) 02241611554 smit.gosrani@incredresearch.com