* price as on 19 Nov 2024
Financial
Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue (Rsm) 21,884 19,990 21,590 23,190
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 6,889 4,506 5,164 5,620
Net Profit (Rsm) 3,533 1,835 2,312 2,630
Core EPS (Rs) 85.0 44.2 55.7 63.3
Core EPS Growth 39.8% (48.1%) 26.0% 13.7%
FD Core P/E (x) 22.67 43.66 34.64 30.46
DPS (Rs)
Dividend Yield
EV/EBITDA (x) 12.88 19.85 16.89 15.05
P/FCFE (x) 58.83 57.92 80.64 23.96
Net Gearing 80.5% 49.4% 29.6% 12.0%
P/BV (x) 7.49 5.47 4.73 4.09
ROE 39.4% 15.8% 16.9% 16.3%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Net Revenues 21,884 19,990 21,590 23,190
Gross Profit 10,736 8,596 9,500 10,204
Operating EBITDA 6,889 4,506 5,164 5,620
Depreciation And Amortisation (1,090) (1,198) (1,318) (1,450)
Operating EBIT 5,800 3,307 3,846 4,170
Financial Income/(Expense) (655) (876) (776) (676)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 80 22 22 22
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 5,225 2,453 3,092 3,516
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 5,225 2,453 3,092 3,516
Taxation (1,692) (618) (779) (886)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 3,533 1,835 2,312 2,630
Minority Interests
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 3,533 1,835 2,312 2,630
Recurring Net Profit 3,533 1,835 2,312 2,630
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 3,533 1,835 2,312 2,630
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
EBITDA 6,889 4,506 5,164 5,620
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital 408 (945) (333) (333)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense (41)
Other Operating Cashflow 735 898 798 698
Net Interest (Paid)/Received (655) (876) (776) (676)
Tax Paid (1,075) (618) (779) (886)
Cashflow From Operations 6,262 2,964 4,074 4,424
Capex (4,165) (1,581) (1,081) (1,081)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments
Other Investing Cashflow (208)
Cash Flow From Investing (4,372) (1,581) (1,081) (1,081)
Debt Raised/(repaid) (528) (2,000)
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (242)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow (1,228)
Cash Flow From Financing (1,998) (2,000)
Total Cash Generated (108) 1,383 993 3,343
Free Cashflow To Equity 1,362 1,383 993 3,343
Free Cashflow To Firm 2,544 2,259 3,770 4,019
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Cash And Equivalents 151 1,525 1,742 4,409
Total Debtors 1,663 3,304 3,568 3,833
Inventories 2,118 1,987 2,146 2,305
Total Other Current Assets 262 79 79 79
Total Current Assets 4,194 6,894 7,535 10,625
Fixed Assets 19,622 20,004 19,767 19,398
Total Investments 206 0 0 0
Intangible Assets
Total Other Non-Current Assets 300 396 396 396
Total Non-current Assets 20,128 20,400 20,162 19,793
Short-term Debt 3,315 3,315 3,315 3,315
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 1,102 1,136 1,226 1,317
Other Current Liabilities 2,060 2,406 2,406 2,406
Total Current Liabilities 6,476 6,856 6,947 7,038
Total Long-term Debt 5,446 5,446 3,446 3,446
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 13 31 31 31
Total Non-current Liabilities 5,460 5,477 3,477 3,477
Total Provisions 1,695 324 324 324
Total Liabilities 13,631 12,658 10,749 10,839
Shareholders Equity 10,692 14,636 16,948 19,578
Minority Interests
Total Equity 10,692 14,636 16,948 19,578
Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue Growth 41.1% (8.7%) 8.0% 7.4%
Operating EBITDA Growth 35.2% (34.6%) 14.6% 8.8%
Operating EBITDA Margin 31.5% 22.5% 23.9% 24.2%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) (207.23) (174.16) (120.80) (56.62)
BVPS (Rs) 257.30 352.22 407.87 471.16
Gross Interest Cover 8.85 3.77 4.96 6.17
Effective Tax Rate 32.4% 25.2% 25.2% 25.2%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio
Accounts Receivables Days 35.25 45.35 58.09 58.24
Inventory Days 59.91 65.75 62.38 62.55
Accounts Payables Days 32.46 35.83 35.65 35.75
ROIC (%) 21.9% 11.9% 12.9% 14.0%
ROCE (%) 29.6% 14.8% 16.1% 16.5%
Return On Average Assets 17.5% 9.6% 10.5% 10.8%

Analyst(s)

Satish KUMAR

(91) 22 4161 1562 satish.kumar@incredresearch.com

Abbas PUNJANI

(91) 22 4161 1598 abbas.punjani@incredresearch.com