* price as on 04 Feb 2025
Financial
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue (Rsm) 355,170 381,688 415,335 454,211
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 63,874 66,567 74,760 83,575
Net Profit (Rsm) 45,821 46,935 53,562 60,379
Core EPS (Rs) 154.6 158.1 180.3 203.3
Core EPS Growth 3.8% 2.3% 14.0% 12.7%
FD Core P/E (x) 29.11 28.46 24.95 22.14
DPS (Rs) 65.0 70.0 88.4 101.6
Dividend Yield 1.44% 1.55% 1.96% 2.26%
EV/EBITDA (x) 19.66 18.54 16.19 14.16
P/FCFE (x) 30.67 38.87 32.89 28.87
Net Gearing (39.0%) (44.8%) (49.7%) (54.0%)
P/BV (x) 6.67 5.90 5.27 4.71
ROE 25.0% 22.0% 22.3% 22.5%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Net Revenues 355,170 381,688 415,335 454,211
Gross Profit 127,847 136,561 149,521 163,970
Operating EBITDA 63,874 66,567 74,760 83,575
Depreciation And Amortisation (8,189) (10,089) (10,383) (10,901)
Operating EBIT 55,685 56,479 64,377 72,674
Financial Income/(Expense) 4,802 6,964 7,578 8,432
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense)
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 60,487 63,442 71,955 81,106
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 60,487 63,442 71,955 81,106
Taxation (14,641) (16,463) (18,349) (20,682)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 45,846 46,980 53,607 60,424
Minority Interests (25) (45) (45) (45)
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 45,821 46,935 53,562 60,379
Recurring Net Profit 45,821 46,935 53,562 60,379
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 45,821 46,935 53,562 60,379
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
EBITDA 63,874 66,567 74,760 83,575
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital 5,975 (4,543) (4,867) (5,610)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense
Other Operating Cashflow
Net Interest (Paid)/Received (2,217) (2,805) (2,805) (2,805)
Tax Paid (15,707) (16,463) (18,349) (20,682)
Cashflow From Operations 51,925 42,757 48,739 54,477
Capex (8,432) (8,397) (8,099) (8,176)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments
Other Investing Cashflow (30,689) 9,769 10,383 11,237
Cash Flow From Investing (39,121) 1,372 2,284 3,061
Debt Raised/(repaid)
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (17,753) (20,730) (26,245) (30,189)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow (4,935) (2,805) (2,805) (2,805)
Cash Flow From Financing (22,688) (23,535) (29,050) (32,994)
Total Cash Generated (9,884) 20,594 21,973 24,544
Free Cashflow To Equity 43,493 34,360 40,640 46,302
Free Cashflow To Firm 15,021 46,933 53,829 60,344
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Cash And Equivalents 95,694 119,048 143,778 171,082
Total Debtors 70,321 75,956 82,236 89,025
Inventories
Total Other Current Assets 22,449 22,449 22,452 22,453
Total Current Assets 188,464 217,453 248,467 282,560
Fixed Assets 40,237 38,545 36,261 33,536
Total Investments 19,902 19,902 19,902 19,902
Intangible Assets 15,078 15,078 15,078 15,078
Total Other Non-Current Assets 11,949 11,949 11,949 11,949
Total Non-current Assets 87,166 85,474 83,190 80,465
Short-term Debt 407 407 407 407
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 14,939 16,031 17,444 18,623
Other Current Liabilities 42,086 42,086 42,086 42,086
Total Current Liabilities 57,432 58,524 59,937 61,116
Total Long-term Debt
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 17,934 17,934 17,934 17,934
Total Non-current Liabilities 17,934 17,934 17,934 17,934
Total Provisions
Total Liabilities 75,366 76,458 77,871 79,050
Shareholders Equity 200,172 226,377 253,694 283,883
Minority Interests 92 92 92 92
Total Equity 200,264 226,469 253,786 283,975
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue Growth 7.0% 7.5% 8.8% 9.4%
Operating EBITDA Growth 4.6% 4.2% 12.3% 11.8%
Operating EBITDA Margin 18.0% 17.4% 18.0% 18.4%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) 263.02 341.27 424.53 516.45
BVPS (Rs) 674.85 762.13 854.09 955.73
Gross Interest Cover 25.12 20.13 22.95 25.91
Effective Tax Rate 24.2% 25.9% 25.5% 25.5%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio 42.0% 44.2% 49.0% 50.0%
Accounts Receivables Days 73.26 69.94 69.51 68.81
Inventory Days
Accounts Payables Days 22.38 23.06 22.98 22.68
ROIC (%) 43.3% 40.6% 45.3% 49.9%
ROCE (%) 21.3% 18.1% 18.6% 18.9%
Return On Average Assets 16.5% 14.5% 15.1% 15.6%

Analyst(s)

Abhishek SHINDADKAR

(91) 22 4161 1543 abhishek.shindadkr@incredresearch.com

Vikas Swami

(91) 22 4161 1544 vikas.swami@incredresearch.com