* price as on 19 Nov 2024
Financial
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue (Rsm) 355,170 380,674 426,010 476,780
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 63,874 67,470 78,386 90,588
Net Profit (Rsm) 45,821 48,782 56,573 65,610
Core EPS (Rs) 154.6 164.5 190.7 221.2
Core EPS Growth 3.8% 6.4% 16.0% 16.0%
FD Core P/E (x) 38.07 35.79 30.86 26.61
DPS (Rs) 65.0 70.0 93.5 110.6
Dividend Yield 1.10% 1.19% 1.59% 1.88%
EV/EBITDA (x) 26.09 24.35 20.65 17.56
P/FCFE (x) 40.11 49.70 42.40 35.44
Net Gearing (39.0%) (45.1%) (49.4%) (53.5%)
P/BV (x) 8.72 7.65 6.79 6.02
ROE 25.0% 22.8% 23.3% 24.0%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Net Revenues 355,170 380,674 426,010 476,780
Gross Profit 127,847 134,484 153,364 174,025
Operating EBITDA 63,874 67,470 78,386 90,588
Depreciation And Amortisation (8,189) (9,655) (10,224) (11,443)
Operating EBIT 55,685 57,815 68,162 79,146
Financial Income/(Expense) 4,802 7,749 7,817 8,963
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense)
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 60,487 65,564 75,979 88,108
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 60,487 65,564 75,979 88,108
Taxation (14,641) (16,751) (19,375) (22,468)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 45,846 48,813 56,604 65,641
Minority Interests (25) (31) (31) (31)
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 45,821 48,782 56,573 65,610
Recurring Net Profit 45,821 48,782 56,573 65,610
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 45,821 48,782 56,573 65,610
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
EBITDA 63,874 67,470 78,386 90,588
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital 5,975 (4,384) (6,692) (7,443)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense
Other Operating Cashflow
Net Interest (Paid)/Received (2,217) (2,833) (2,833) (2,833)
Tax Paid (15,707) (16,751) (19,375) (22,468)
Cashflow From Operations 51,925 43,503 49,486 57,844
Capex (8,432) (8,375) (8,307) (8,582)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments
Other Investing Cashflow (30,689) 10,582 10,650 11,796
Cash Flow From Investing (39,121) 2,207 2,343 3,214
Debt Raised/(repaid)
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (17,753) (20,727) (27,721) (32,805)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow (4,935) (2,833) (2,833) (2,833)
Cash Flow From Financing (22,688) (23,560) (30,554) (35,638)
Total Cash Generated (9,884) 22,150 21,276 25,420
Free Cashflow To Equity 43,493 35,128 41,179 49,262
Free Cashflow To Firm 15,021 48,543 54,663 63,891
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Cash And Equivalents 95,694 120,646 144,721 172,942
Total Debtors 70,321 75,754 84,350 93,449
Inventories
Total Other Current Assets 22,449 22,449 22,452 22,453
Total Current Assets 188,464 218,849 251,523 288,844
Fixed Assets 40,237 38,957 37,040 34,179
Total Investments 19,902 19,902 19,902 19,902
Intangible Assets 15,078 15,078 15,078 15,078
Total Other Non-Current Assets 11,949 11,949 11,949 11,949
Total Non-current Assets 87,166 85,886 83,969 81,108
Short-term Debt 407 407 407 407
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 14,939 15,988 17,892 19,548
Other Current Liabilities 42,086 42,086 42,086 42,086
Total Current Liabilities 57,432 58,481 60,385 62,041
Total Long-term Debt
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 17,934 17,934 17,934 17,934
Total Non-current Liabilities 17,934 17,934 17,934 17,934
Total Provisions
Total Liabilities 75,366 76,415 78,319 79,975
Shareholders Equity 200,172 228,228 257,080 289,885
Minority Interests 92 92 92 92
Total Equity 200,264 228,320 257,172 289,977
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue Growth 7.0% 7.2% 11.9% 11.9%
Operating EBITDA Growth 4.6% 5.6% 16.2% 15.6%
Operating EBITDA Margin 18.0% 17.7% 18.4% 19.0%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) 263.02 347.14 428.30 523.45
BVPS (Rs) 674.85 769.44 866.71 977.31
Gross Interest Cover 25.12 20.41 24.06 27.94
Effective Tax Rate 24.2% 25.5% 25.5% 25.5%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio 42.0% 42.5% 49.0% 50.0%
Accounts Receivables Days 73.26 70.03 68.59 68.06
Inventory Days
Accounts Payables Days 22.38 22.93 22.68 22.57
ROIC (%) 43.3% 41.8% 47.9% 53.2%
ROCE (%) 21.3% 18.6% 19.5% 20.2%
Return On Average Assets 16.5% 14.8% 15.9% 16.7%

Analyst(s)

Abhishek SHINDADKAR

(91) 22 4161 1543 abhishek.shindadkr@incredresearch.com

Smit GOSRANI

(91) 02241611554 smit.gosrani@incredresearch.com