* price as on 19 Nov 2024
Financial
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue (Rsm) 98,216 118,216 142,084 169,955
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 17,243 20,317 25,291 31,272
Net Profit (Rsm) 10,935 13,775 17,007 21,045
Core EPS (Rs) 74.5 89.2 109.9 135.9
Core EPS Growth 23.6% 19.8% 23.1% 23.7%
FD Core P/E (x) 80.09 63.99 51.98 42.00
DPS (Rs) 26.0 32.0 42.8 54.4
Dividend Yield 0.46% 0.56% 0.75% 0.95%
EV/EBITDA (x) 50.05 42.46 33.91 27.10
P/FCFE (x) 112.38 89.33 66.64 51.50
Net Gearing (25.9%) (32.1%) (38.5%) (44.7%)
P/BV (x) 17.73 15.14 12.85 10.86
ROE 25.6% 25.5% 26.7% 28.0%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Net Revenues 98,216 118,216 142,084 169,955
Gross Profit 32,985 39,392 47,740 57,615
Operating EBITDA 17,243 20,317 25,291 31,272
Depreciation And Amortisation (3,094) (3,048) (3,694) (4,419)
Operating EBIT 14,149 17,269 21,597 26,853
Financial Income/(Expense) 813 976 1,080 1,207
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense)
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 14,962 18,245 22,677 28,060
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 14,962 18,245 22,677 28,060
Taxation (3,541) (4,471) (5,669) (7,015)
Exceptional Income - post-tax (486)
Profit After Tax 10,935 13,775 17,007 21,045
Minority Interests
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 10,935 13,775 17,007 21,045
Recurring Net Profit 11,421 13,775 17,007 21,045
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 11,421 13,775 17,007 21,045
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
EBITDA 17,243 20,317 25,291 31,272
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital (2,052) (3,180) (3,558) (4,292)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions (1,145)
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense
Other Operating Cashflow
Net Interest (Paid)/Received
Tax Paid (3,414) (4,471) (5,669) (7,015)
Cashflow From Operations 10,633 12,667 16,064 19,965
Capex (2,839) (2,800) (2,800) (2,800)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries 49
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments (2,074)
Other Investing Cashflow 169 976 1,080 1,207
Cash Flow From Investing (4,695) (1,824) (1,720) (1,593)
Debt Raised/(repaid)
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (4,084) (4,954) (6,633) (8,418)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow (1,853)
Cash Flow From Financing (5,937) (4,954) (6,633) (8,418)
Total Cash Generated 1 5,889 7,711 9,954
Free Cashflow To Equity 7,794 9,867 13,264 17,165
Free Cashflow To Firm 5,938 10,843 14,344 18,371
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Cash And Equivalents 12,955 18,845 26,556 36,510
Total Debtors 23,282 27,781 33,248 39,769
Inventories
Total Other Current Assets 4,994 4,994 4,994 4,994
Total Current Assets 41,232 51,619 64,798 81,273
Fixed Assets 7,062 6,815 5,920 4,302
Total Investments 5,539 5,539 5,539 5,539
Intangible Assets 15,488 15,488 15,488 15,488
Total Other Non-Current Assets 4,415 4,415 4,415 4,415
Total Non-current Assets 32,504 32,256 31,362 29,743
Short-term Debt
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 8,139 9,457 11,367 13,596
Other Current Liabilities 13,703 13,703 13,703 13,703
Total Current Liabilities 21,842 23,160 25,070 27,299
Total Long-term Debt 99 99 99 99
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 1,671 1,671 1,671 1,671
Total Non-current Liabilities 1,770 1,770 1,770 1,770
Total Provisions 547 547 547 547
Total Liabilities 24,159 25,478 27,387 29,617
Shareholders Equity 49,577 58,398 68,773 81,399
Minority Interests
Total Equity 49,577 58,398 68,773 81,399
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue Growth 17.6% 20.4% 20.2% 19.6%
Operating EBITDA Growth 13.5% 17.8% 24.5% 23.6%
Operating EBITDA Margin 17.6% 17.2% 17.8% 18.4%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) 83.54 121.09 170.91 235.20
BVPS (Rs) 322.14 377.24 444.26 525.82
Gross Interest Cover
Effective Tax Rate 23.7% 24.5% 25.0% 25.0%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio 26.7% 27.2% 29.2% 30.0%
Accounts Receivables Days 81.12 78.83 78.39 78.41
Inventory Days
Accounts Payables Days 38.69 40.74 40.28 40.55
ROIC (%) 34.6% 39.0% 44.6% 51.6%
ROCE (%) 23.6% 24.1% 25.4% 26.8%
Return On Average Assets 20.5% 22.2% 24.3% 26.2%

Analyst(s)

Abhishek SHINDADKAR

(91) 22 4161 1543 abhishek.shindadkr@incredresearch.com

Smit GOSRANI

(91) 02241611554 smit.gosrani@incredresearch.com