* price as on 19 Nov 2024
Financial
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue (Rsm) 123,830 136,544 153,401 172,407
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 27,073 31,809 37,909 43,263
Net Profit (Rsm) 17,294 21,516 25,742 30,219
Core EPS (Rs) 35.0 42.3 50.6 59.4
Core EPS Growth 39.9% 20.7% 19.6% 17.4%
FD Core P/E (x) 88.26 70.96 59.31 50.52
DPS (Rs) 17.3 20.7 24.9
Dividend Yield 0.37% 0.58% 0.69% 0.83%
EV/EBITDA (x) 55.71 47.38 39.63 34.50
P/FCFE (x) 175.73 144.63 98.46 67.70
Net Gearing (23.5%) (22.1%) (23.4%) (27.7%)
P/BV (x) 18.16 15.77 13.63 11.78
ROE 22.8% 23.8% 24.7% 25.0%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Net Revenues 123,830 136,544 153,401 172,407
Gross Profit 63,890 69,389 79,002 89,966
Operating EBITDA 27,073 31,809 37,909 43,263
Depreciation And Amortisation (3,407) (3,750) (4,250) (4,280)
Operating EBIT 23,666 28,059 33,659 38,983
Financial Income/(Expense) 885 801 860 1,534
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc. (41) (45) (49) (54)
Non-Operating Income/(Expense)
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 24,510 28,815 34,470 40,463
Exceptional Items (717)
Pre-tax Profit 23,794 28,815 34,470 40,463
Taxation (6,319) (7,279) (8,707) (10,224)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 17,474 21,536 25,762 30,239
Minority Interests (180) (20) (20) (20)
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 17,294 21,516 25,742 30,219
Recurring Net Profit 17,820 21,516 25,742 30,219
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 17,820 21,516 25,742 30,219
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
EBITDA 27,073 31,809 37,909 43,263
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc. (41) (45) (49) (54)
Change In Working Capital 6,905 (9,006) (7,286) (4,754)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense
Other Operating Cashflow
Net Interest (Paid)/Received (512) (225) (225) (225)
Tax Paid (6,319) (7,279) (8,707) (10,224)
Cashflow From Operations 27,106 15,255 21,641 28,006
Capex (6,194) (5,500) (7,000) (7,000)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments
Other Investing Cashflow (12,145) 696 755 1,429
Cash Flow From Investing (18,339) (4,804) (6,245) (5,571)
Debt Raised/(repaid) (81) 106 111 117
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (5,597) (8,789) (10,546) (12,656)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow (306) (20) (20) (20)
Cash Flow From Financing (5,984) (8,703) (10,455) (12,559)
Total Cash Generated 2,783 1,748 4,941 9,876
Free Cashflow To Equity 8,686 10,556 15,507 22,551
Free Cashflow To Firm 9,279 10,676 15,621 22,660
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Cash And Equivalents 24,035 25,782 30,723 40,599
Total Debtors 16,747 18,506 21,439 24,094
Inventories 14,149 18,302 22,447 25,227
Total Other Current Assets 6,112 6,200 7,333 8,241
Total Current Assets 61,043 68,790 81,942 98,161
Fixed Assets 43,170 44,920 47,670 50,390
Total Investments 3,649 3,979 4,309 4,639
Intangible Assets 12,817 12,817 12,817 12,817
Total Other Non-Current Assets 419 374 420 473
Total Non-current Assets 60,055 62,090 65,216 68,319
Short-term Debt 1,312 1,312 1,312 1,312
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 24,172 22,700 23,494 24,913
Other Current Liabilities 12,696
Total Current Liabilities 38,180 24,011 24,806 26,225
Total Long-term Debt 2,513 2,619 2,730 2,847
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities
Total Non-current Liabilities 2,513 2,619 2,730 2,847
Total Provisions 6,589 5,352 5,528 5,751
Total Liabilities 47,282 31,983 33,064 34,823
Shareholders Equity 84,072 96,799 111,995 129,559
Minority Interests 2,099 2,099 2,099 2,099
Total Equity 86,170 98,898 114,094 131,657
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue Growth 4.9% 10.3% 12.3% 12.4%
Operating EBITDA Growth 36.4% 17.5% 19.2% 14.1%
Operating EBITDA Margin 21.9% 23.3% 24.7% 25.1%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) 39.74 42.96 52.46 71.65
BVPS (Rs) 165.30 190.33 220.20 254.74
Gross Interest Cover 46.23 124.71 149.59 173.26
Effective Tax Rate 26.6% 25.3% 25.3% 25.3%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio 31.1% 40.8% 41.0% 41.9%
Accounts Receivables Days 47.31 47.12 47.52 48.20
Inventory Days 98.40 88.19 99.96 105.54
Accounts Payables Days (139.82) (127.38) (113.31) (107.16)
ROIC (%) 41.9% 35.8% 38.0% 40.5%
ROCE (%) 27.1% 28.2% 29.6% 30.0%
Return On Average Assets 15.3% 16.5% 17.9% 18.3%

Analyst(s)

Rohan KALLE

(91) 22 4161 1561 rohan.kalle@incredresearch.com

Nishant BAGRECHA

(91) 22 4161 1564 nishant.bagrecha@incredresearch.com

Saurabh SINGH

(91) 2241611558 saurabh.singh@incredresearch.com