* price as on 04 Feb 2025
Financial
Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue (Rsm) 36,246 56,648 57,232 63,453
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 10,248 13,331 12,915 15,367
Net Profit (Rsm) 7,811 7,725 7,490 9,904
Core EPS (Rs) 50.0 46.9 45.5 60.1
Core EPS Growth (32.1%) (6.1%) (3.0%) 32.2%
FD Core P/E (x) 30.73 32.73 33.76 25.53
DPS (Rs)
Dividend Yield
EV/EBITDA (x) 21.00 17.83 17.97 14.66
P/FCFE (x) 49.85 43.39 21.50 19.64
Net Gearing (47.3%) (17.4%) (21.9%) (26.3%)
P/BV (x) 3.18 2.90 2.67 2.42
ROE 10.9% 9.3% 8.2% 9.9%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Net Revenues 36,246 56,648 57,232 63,453
Gross Profit 19,392 34,917 35,484 40,293
Operating EBITDA 10,248 13,331 12,915 15,367
Depreciation And Amortisation (1,467) (3,446) (3,800) (4,200)
Operating EBIT 8,780 9,886 9,115 11,167
Financial Income/(Expense) (74) (262) (400) (200)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 2,405 1,702 2,300 2,600
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 11,111 11,326 11,015 13,567
Exceptional Items (565)
Pre-tax Profit 10,546 11,326 11,015 13,567
Taxation (2,735) (3,601) (3,525) (3,663)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 7,811 7,725 7,490 9,904
Minority Interests
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 7,811 7,725 7,490 9,904
Recurring Net Profit 8,229 7,725 7,490 9,904
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 8,229 7,725 7,490 9,904
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
EBITDA 10,248 13,331 12,915 15,367
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital (4,179) (532) (1,261) (3,266)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense
Other Operating Cashflow (2,429) (2,832) (3,525) (3,663)
Net Interest (Paid)/Received (74) (262) (400) (200)
Tax Paid (4,194) (4,272) (5,425) (6,063)
Cashflow From Operations 3,640 9,968 8,129 8,438
Capex (2,208) (3,892) (4,500) (4,000)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments (10,218)
Other Investing Cashflow
Cash Flow From Investing 1,432 (4,141) 3,629 4,438
Debt Raised/(repaid)
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares 214 5
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow 3,573 (15,176) 1,900 2,400
Cash Flow From Financing 3,787 (15,171) 1,900 2,400
Total Cash Generated 5,219 (19,312) 5,529 6,838
Free Cashflow To Equity 5,071 5,827 11,758 12,876
Free Cashflow To Firm 5,146 6,089 12,158 13,076
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Cash And Equivalents 37,707 18,394 23,923 30,761
Total Debtors 8,714 15,587 11,446 12,691
Inventories 19,453 16,552 20,603 22,843
Total Other Current Assets 3,133 5,918 4,579 5,076
Total Current Assets 69,007 56,452 60,551 71,371
Fixed Assets 17,362 38,302 39,002 38,802
Total Investments
Intangible Assets 117 3,545 3,545 3,545
Total Other Non-Current Assets 1,290 8,315 8,315 8,315
Total Non-current Assets 18,769 50,161 50,861 50,661
Short-term Debt 6 2,132 2,132 2,132
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 5,873 8,627 7,157 7,717
Other Current Liabilities 1,412 3,224 2,004 2,161
Total Current Liabilities 7,291 13,984 11,294 12,010
Total Long-term Debt 33 1,065 1,065 1,065
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 864 4,325 4,325 4,325
Total Non-current Liabilities 897 5,390 5,390 5,390
Total Provisions
Total Liabilities 8,188 19,374 16,684 17,400
Shareholders Equity 79,587 87,238 94,728 104,632
Minority Interests
Total Equity 79,587 87,238 94,728 104,632
Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue Growth (17.6%) 56.3% 1.0% 10.9%
Operating EBITDA Growth (32.1%) 30.1% (3.1%) 19.0%
Operating EBITDA Margin 28.3% 23.5% 22.6% 24.2%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) 228.71 92.27 125.84 167.35
BVPS (Rs) 483.22 529.68 575.15 635.28
Gross Interest Cover 118.02 37.73 22.79 55.83
Effective Tax Rate 25.9% 31.8% 32.0% 27.0%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio
Accounts Receivables Days 104.23 78.29 86.20 69.42
Inventory Days 339.02 302.38 311.80 342.35
Accounts Payables Days 113.72 121.78 132.45 117.20
ROIC (%) 15.4% 9.7% 8.7% 10.3%
ROCE (%) 11.6% 11.6% 9.7% 10.9%
Return On Average Assets 10.2% 8.1% 7.1% 8.6%

Analyst(s)

Yogesh SONI

(91) 22 4161 1566 yogesh.soni@incredresearch.com