* price as on 19 Nov 2024
Financial
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue (Rsm) 10,418 11,978 14,011 16,608
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 406 517 813 1,079
Net Profit (Rsm) 140 224 444 630
Core EPS (Rs) 2.8 4.5 8.9 12.7
Core EPS Growth (47.9%) 60.8% 98.0% 41.8%
FD Core P/E (x) 73.30 45.58 23.02 16.24
DPS (Rs)
Dividend Yield
EV/EBITDA (x) 24.98 18.41 11.80 8.93
P/FCFE (x) 10.10 15.10 9.95 7.72
Net Gearing (1.6%) (13.8%) (11.2%) (9.4%)
P/BV (x) 2.03 1.95 1.79 1.62
ROE 2.8% 4.4% 8.1% 10.5%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Net Revenues 10,418 11,978 14,011 16,608
Gross Profit 2,712 3,097 3,685 4,318
Operating EBITDA 406 517 813 1,079
Depreciation And Amortisation (218) (235) (246) (266)
Operating EBIT 188 282 566 813
Financial Income/(Expense) (81) (82) (64) (62)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 91 110 90 89
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 198 310 592 840
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 198 310 592 840
Taxation (58) (86) (148) (210)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 140 224 444 630
Minority Interests
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 140 224 444 630
Recurring Net Profit 140 224 444 630
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 140 224 444 630
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
EBITDA 406 517 813 1,079
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital 46 (157) (232) (299)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense 218 235 246 266
Other Operating Cashflow 2 (28) (26) (27)
Net Interest (Paid)/Received (81) (82) (64) (62)
Tax Paid (37) (86) (148) (210)
Cashflow From Operations 555 398 589 748
Capex 427 274 433 571
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments
Other Investing Cashflow 695
Cash Flow From Investing 1,121 274 433 571
Debt Raised/(repaid) (664) 6 6 6
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (48)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow (81) (82) (64) (62)
Cash Flow From Financing (793) (76) (58) (56)
Total Cash Generated 884 596 963 1,263
Free Cashflow To Equity 1,013 678 1,028 1,325
Free Cashflow To Firm 1,758 753 1,086 1,381
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Cash And Equivalents 197 843 765 728
Total Debtors 1,994 2,134 2,497 2,821
Inventories 1,105 1,338 1,415 1,684
Total Other Current Assets 797 1,130 1,242 1,402
Total Current Assets 4,094 5,446 5,918 6,635
Fixed Assets 1,672 1,837 2,091 2,425
Total Investments 72 79 87 95
Intangible Assets 10 10 10 10
Total Other Non-Current Assets 31 31 31 31
Total Non-current Assets 1,785 1,957 2,219 2,561
Short-term Debt 115 120 127 133
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 1,166 1,570 1,808 2,127
Other Current Liabilities 267 299 308 365
Total Current Liabilities 1,548 1,990 2,243 2,625
Total Long-term Debt
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities
Total Non-current Liabilities
Total Provisions 112 140 175 219
Total Liabilities 1,660 2,130 2,418 2,844
Shareholders Equity 5,031 5,255 5,700 6,330
Minority Interests
Total Equity 5,031 5,255 5,700 6,330
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue Growth (3.1%) 15.0% 17.0% 18.5%
Operating EBITDA Growth (37.6%) 27.2% 57.3% 32.8%
Operating EBITDA Margin 3.9% 4.3% 5.8% 6.5%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) 1.66 14.54 12.85 11.97
BVPS (Rs) 101.23 105.74 114.68 127.36
Gross Interest Cover 2.31 3.45 8.82 13.06
Effective Tax Rate 29.4% 27.6% 25.0% 25.0%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio
Accounts Receivables Days 69.52 62.89 60.28 58.42
Inventory Days 55.41 50.21 48.65 46.01
Accounts Payables Days 57.67 56.23 59.70 58.44
ROIC (%) 4.2% 6.7% 12.3% 15.7%
ROCE (%) 3.5% 5.4% 10.1% 13.2%
Return On Average Assets 3.3% 4.6% 6.5% 8.0%

Analyst(s)

Ishan VERMA

(91) 22 4161 1565 ishan.verma@incredresearch.com

Arafat SAIYED

(91) 22 4161 1542 arafat.saiyed@incredresearch.com

Anirvan DIVAKERA

(91) 02241611548 anirvan.divakera@incredresearch.com