* price as on 19 Nov 2024
Financial
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue (Rsm) 42,808 40,668 44,735 46,971
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 9,548 9,389 11,711 13,084
Net Profit (Rsm) 4,350 5,310 7,085 8,289
Core EPS (Rs) 39.6 48.3 64.5 75.5
Core EPS Growth (67.1%) 22.1% 33.4% 17.0%
FD Core P/E (x) 97.94 80.22 60.13 51.39
DPS (Rs)
Dividend Yield
EV/EBITDA (x) 46.50 46.16 36.23 31.60
P/FCFE (x) 250.59 61.60 90.01 69.82
Net Gearing 30.3% 11.7% (2.3%) (15.6%)
P/BV (x) 7.18 6.59 5.94 5.32
ROE 7.6% 8.6% 10.4% 10.9%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Net Revenues 42,808 40,668 44,735 46,971
Gross Profit 28,602 26,434 29,077 30,531
Operating EBITDA 9,548 9,389 11,711 13,084
Depreciation And Amortisation (2,861) (2,960) (3,202) (3,216)
Operating EBIT 6,687 6,429 8,508 9,868
Financial Income/(Expense) (1,331) (830) (536) (286)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 595 1,500 1,500 1,500
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 5,951 7,099 9,472 11,082
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 5,951 7,099 9,472 11,082
Taxation (1,601) (1,789) (2,387) (2,793)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 4,350 5,310 7,085 8,289
Minority Interests
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 4,350 5,310 7,085 8,289
Recurring Net Profit 4,350 5,310 7,085 8,289
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 4,350 5,310 7,085 8,289
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
EBITDA 9,548 9,389 11,711 13,084
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital (1,440) 10,057 (891) (490)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense 1,111
Other Operating Cashflow 325 2,330 2,036 1,786
Net Interest (Paid)/Received (1,331) (830) (536) (286)
Tax Paid (1,949) (1,789) (2,387) (2,793)
Cashflow From Operations 6,264 19,158 9,932 11,301
Capex (9,556) (5,511) (200) (200)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries 146 0 0 0
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments 2
Other Investing Cashflow (256)
Cash Flow From Investing (9,665) (5,511) (200) (200)
Debt Raised/(repaid) 5,101 (6,731) (5,000) (5,000)
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (220)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow (1,406)
Cash Flow From Financing 3,476 (6,731) (5,000) (5,000)
Total Cash Generated 75 6,916 4,733 6,102
Free Cashflow To Equity 1,700 6,916 4,733 6,102
Free Cashflow To Firm (2,070) 14,477 10,269 11,388
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Cash And Equivalents 1,985 5,645 9,843 15,658
Total Debtors 8,446 8,024 8,826 9,267
Inventories 15,713 15,744 17,318 18,184
Total Other Current Assets 7,892 7,892 7,892 7,892
Total Current Assets 34,036 37,304 43,878 51,001
Fixed Assets 51,458 54,008 51,006 47,990
Total Investments 42 42 42 42
Intangible Assets 511 257 257 257
Total Other Non-Current Assets 6,295 8,868 8,868 8,868
Total Non-current Assets 58,305 63,175 60,173 57,157
Short-term Debt 16,227 13,227 8,227 3,227
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 5,189 14,855 16,340 17,157
Other Current Liabilities 3,612 3,612 3,612 3,612
Total Current Liabilities 25,028 31,694 28,179 23,996
Total Long-term Debt 3,731
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 1,443 1,443 1,443 1,443
Total Non-current Liabilities 5,174 1,443 1,443 1,443
Total Provisions 2,776 2,776 2,776 2,776
Total Liabilities 32,977 35,912 32,397 28,214
Shareholders Equity 59,363 64,675 71,761 80,051
Minority Interests (107) (107) (107)
Total Equity 59,363 64,568 71,654 79,944
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue Growth (24.7%) (5.0%) 10.0% 5.0%
Operating EBITDA Growth (53.4%) (1.7%) 24.7% 11.7%
Operating EBITDA Margin 22.3% 23.1% 26.2% 27.9%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) (163.62) (69.02) 14.71 113.17
BVPS (Rs) 540.40 588.75 653.26 728.73
Gross Interest Cover 5.02 7.75 15.86 34.46
Effective Tax Rate 26.9% 25.2% 25.2% 25.2%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio
Accounts Receivables Days 83.19 73.91 68.74 70.30
Inventory Days 392.68 403.33 385.37 394.11
Accounts Payables Days 155.43 256.99 363.60 371.85
ROIC (%) 6.8% 5.9% 8.3% 9.9%
ROCE (%) 8.7% 7.9% 10.4% 11.7%
Return On Average Assets 6.0% 6.2% 7.3% 8.0%

Analyst(s)

Satish KUMAR

(91) 22 4161 1562 satish.kumar@incredresearch.com

Abbas PUNJANI

(91) 22 4161 1598 abbas.punjani@incredresearch.com