* price as on 04 Feb 2025
Financial
Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue (Rsm) 56,847 42,808 44,531 49,944
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 20,472 9,548 9,638 11,974
Net Profit (Rsm) 13,231 4,350 3,958 5,292
Core EPS (Rs) 120.4 39.6 36.0 48.2
Core EPS Growth 70.8% (67.1%) (9.0%) 33.7%
FD Core P/E (x) 32.84 99.90 109.78 82.11
DPS (Rs)
Dividend Yield
EV/EBITDA (x) 21.87 47.39 46.51 37.69
P/FCFE (x) 246.93 255.59 90.76 (179.16)
Net Gearing 23.9% 30.3% 21.8% 24.5%
P/BV (x) 7.87 7.32 6.86 6.33
ROE 27.1% 7.6% 6.5% 8.0%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Net Revenues 56,847 42,808 44,531 49,944
Gross Profit 41,423 28,602 27,609 30,965
Operating EBITDA 20,472 9,548 9,638 11,974
Depreciation And Amortisation (2,361) (2,861) (3,413) (3,966)
Operating EBIT 18,111 6,687 6,225 8,008
Financial Income/(Expense) (1,168) (1,331) (1,529) (1,529)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 904 595 595 595
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 17,848 5,951 5,291 7,075
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 17,848 5,951 5,291 7,075
Taxation (4,617) (1,601) (1,333) (1,783)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 13,231 4,350 3,958 5,292
Minority Interests
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 13,231 4,350 3,958 5,292
Recurring Net Profit 13,231 4,350 3,958 5,292
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 13,231 4,350 3,958 5,292
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
EBITDA 20,472 9,548 9,638 11,974
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital (8,827) (1,440) 7,733 (1,366)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense 4,156 1,111
Other Operating Cashflow (2,545) 325 1,191 1,191
Net Interest (Paid)/Received (1,168) (1,331) (1,529) (1,529)
Tax Paid (4,700) (1,949) (1,333) (1,783)
Cashflow From Operations 7,389 6,264 15,700 8,487
Capex (6,750) (9,556) (10,913) (10,913)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries 49 146 0 0
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments 191 2
Other Investing Cashflow 1,745 (256)
Cash Flow From Investing (4,764) (9,665) (10,912) (10,912)
Debt Raised/(repaid) (866) 5,101
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (439) (220)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow (1,336) (1,406) (595) (595)
Cash Flow From Financing (2,641) 3,476 (595) (595)
Total Cash Generated (16) 75 4,192 (3,021)
Free Cashflow To Equity 1,760 1,700 4,787 (2,425)
Free Cashflow To Firm 3,793 (2,070) 6,317 (896)
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Cash And Equivalents 1,612 1,985 6,177 3,156
Total Debtors 11,068 8,446 8,786 9,854
Inventories 14,854 15,713 18,717 20,992
Total Other Current Assets 8,469 7,892 7,892 7,892
Total Current Assets 36,003 34,036 41,571 41,894
Fixed Assets 41,051 51,458 58,957 65,904
Total Investments 42 42 42 42
Intangible Assets 314 511 511 511
Total Other Non-Current Assets 6,304 6,295 6,295 6,295
Total Non-current Assets 47,711 58,305 65,804 72,751
Short-term Debt 12,950 16,227 16,227 16,227
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 6,910 5,189 16,266 18,243
Other Current Liabilities 3,529 3,612 3,612 3,612
Total Current Liabilities 23,389 25,028 36,105 38,082
Total Long-term Debt 1,832 3,731 3,731 3,731
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 477 1,443 1,443 1,443
Total Non-current Liabilities 2,309 5,174 5,174 5,174
Total Provisions 2,808 2,776 2,776 2,776
Total Liabilities 28,507 32,977 44,054 46,031
Shareholders Equity 55,207 59,363 63,321 68,613
Minority Interests
Total Equity 55,207 59,363 63,321 68,613
Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue Growth 43.8% (24.7%) 4.0% 12.2%
Operating EBITDA Growth 70.9% (53.4%) 1.0% 24.2%
Operating EBITDA Margin 36.0% 22.3% 21.6% 24.0%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) (119.90) (163.62) (125.45) (152.95)
BVPS (Rs) 502.57 540.40 576.43 624.61
Gross Interest Cover 15.51 5.02 4.07 5.24
Effective Tax Rate 25.9% 26.9% 25.2% 25.2%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio
Accounts Receivables Days 60.51 83.19 70.62 68.11
Inventory Days 287.83 392.68 371.33 381.84
Accounts Payables Days 142.52 155.43 231.39 331.83
ROIC (%) 22.7% 6.8% 5.7% 7.4%
ROCE (%) 27.3% 8.7% 7.4% 9.0%
Return On Average Assets 18.5% 6.0% 5.1% 5.8%

Analyst(s)

Satish KUMAR

(91) 22 4161 1562 satish.kumar@incredresearch.com

Abbas PUNJANI

(91) 22 4161 1598 abbas.punjani@incredresearch.com