* price as on 19 Nov 2024
Financial
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue (Rsm) 5,808 7,724 11,586 18,480
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 1,127 1,694 2,855 4,546
Net Profit (Rsm) 561 963 1,810 3,059
Core EPS (Rs) 18.2 31.3 58.8 99.3
Core EPS Growth (45.7%) 71.6% 88.0% 69.0%
FD Core P/E (x) 95.69 55.78 29.67 17.55
DPS (Rs)
Dividend Yield
EV/EBITDA (x) 48.89 32.67 19.46 12.24
P/FCFE (x) 108.90 681.25 481.94 207.24
Net Gearing 20.7% 21.4% 19.6% 15.4%
P/BV (x) 7.94 6.95 5.63 4.26
ROE 8.7% 13.3% 21.0% 27.6%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Net Revenues 5,808 7,724 11,586 18,480
Gross Profit 2,784 4,016 5,909 9,425
Operating EBITDA 1,127 1,694 2,855 4,546
Depreciation And Amortisation (232) (264) (284) (299)
Operating EBIT 895 1,431 2,571 4,247
Financial Income/(Expense) (223) (204) (215) (225)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 58 57 57 57
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 730 1,284 2,413 4,079
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 730 1,284 2,413 4,079
Taxation (169) (321) (603) (1,020)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 561 963 1,810 3,059
Minority Interests
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 561 963 1,810 3,059
Recurring Net Profit 561 963 1,810 3,059
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 561 963 1,810 3,059
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
EBITDA 1,185 1,751 2,912 4,603
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital (372) (846) (2,021) (3,238)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense (18)
Other Operating Cashflow
Net Interest (Paid)/Received (9) 57 57 57
Tax Paid (213) (321) (603) (1,020)
Cashflow From Operations 574 641 345 402
Capex (942) (750) (400) (300)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments
Other Investing Cashflow 385 57 57 57
Cash Flow From Investing (556) (693) (343) (243)
Debt Raised/(repaid) 476 131 110 100
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow (223) (204) (215) (225)
Cash Flow From Financing 253 (73) (105) (125)
Total Cash Generated 270 (125) (104) 34
Free Cashflow To Equity 493 79 111 259
Free Cashflow To Firm 17 (52) 1 159
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Cash And Equivalents 508 383 280 314
Total Debtors 1,466 2,222 3,238 5,114
Inventories 3,476 3,809 5,396 7,797
Total Other Current Assets 198 234 308 440
Total Current Assets 5,648 6,648 9,221 13,664
Fixed Assets 4,127 4,235 4,251 4,252
Total Investments 0
Intangible Assets 7 7 7 7
Total Other Non-Current Assets 294 529 529 529
Total Non-current Assets 4,428 4,771 4,787 4,788
Short-term Debt 939 940 950 950
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 714 889 1,333 2,126
Other Current Liabilities 425 529 741 1,119
Total Current Liabilities 2,078 2,358 3,024 4,195
Total Long-term Debt 970 1,100 1,200 1,300
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities
Total Non-current Liabilities 970 1,100 1,200 1,300
Total Provisions 265 107 57 57
Total Liabilities 3,313 3,565 4,281 5,552
Shareholders Equity 6,763 7,726 9,536 12,596
Minority Interests
Total Equity 6,763 7,726 9,536 12,596
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue Growth 1.2% 33.0% 50.0% 59.5%
Operating EBITDA Growth (26.8%) 50.3% 68.5% 59.2%
Operating EBITDA Margin 19.4% 21.9% 24.6% 24.6%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) (45.48) (53.79) (60.73) (62.87)
BVPS (Rs) 219.59 250.86 309.62 408.96
Gross Interest Cover 4.01 7.01 11.96 18.88
Effective Tax Rate 23.2% 25.0% 25.0% 25.0%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio
Accounts Receivables Days 111.56 87.14 86.00 82.47
Inventory Days 443.11 358.62 295.92 265.90
Accounts Payables Days 174.82 78.90 71.43 69.73
ROIC (%) 7.9% 11.1% 16.5% 21.3%
ROCE (%) 10.7% 15.3% 23.9% 32.0%
Return On Average Assets 7.1% 10.4% 15.5% 19.9%

Analyst(s)

Arafat SAIYED

(91) 22 4161 1542 arafat.saiyed@incredresearch.com

Anirvan DIVAKERA

(91) 02241611548 anirvan.divakera@incredresearch.com