* price as on 19 Nov 2024
Financial
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue (Rsm) 131,385 128,357 141,193 155,312
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 25,841 27,668 30,119 33,037
Net Profit (Rsm) 13,357 13,790 15,509 17,285
Core EPS (Rs) 45.1 46.5 52.3 58.3
Core EPS Growth (38.2%) 3.2% 12.5% 11.5%
FD Core P/E (x) 48.81 47.27 42.04 37.72
DPS (Rs) 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0
Dividend Yield 0.18% 0.18% 0.18% 0.18%
EV/EBITDA (x) 26.82 23.45 21.21 18.97
P/FCFE (x) 160.20 18.03 47.53 41.56
Net Gearing 35.8% (2.5%) (9.3%) (16.0%)
P/BV (x) 5.68 5.12 4.60 4.13
ROE 12.3% 11.4% 11.5% 11.5%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Net Revenues 131,385 128,357 141,193 155,312
Gross Profit 131,385 128,357 141,193 155,312
Operating EBITDA 25,841 27,668 30,119 33,037
Depreciation And Amortisation (6,726) (7,221) (7,742) (8,284)
Operating EBIT 19,115 20,447 22,378 24,753
Financial Income/(Expense) (3,023) (2,841) (2,474) (2,474)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 830 830 830 830
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 16,922 18,436 20,733 23,109
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 16,922 18,436 20,733 23,109
Taxation (3,565) (4,646) (5,225) (5,823)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 13,357 13,790 15,509 17,285
Minority Interests
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 13,357 13,790 15,509 17,285
Recurring Net Profit 13,357 13,790 15,509 17,285
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 13,357 13,790 15,509 17,285
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
EBITDA 25,841 27,668 30,119 33,037
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital (1,145) (2,080) (2,172) (2,390)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense (762) 36,447 163 33
Other Operating Cashflow (3,798) (5,621) (7,145) (8,342)
Net Interest (Paid)/Received (3,023) (2,841) (2,474) (2,474)
Tax Paid 3,826 4,646 5,225 5,823
Cashflow From Operations 20,939 58,219 23,715 25,688
Capex (22,017) (11,147) (10,000) (10,000)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments
Other Investing Cashflow (256) 325
Cash Flow From Investing (22,273) (10,822) (10,000) (10,000)
Debt Raised/(repaid) 5,404 (11,244)
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (2,137) (1,173) (1,173) (1,173)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow (3,984) (2,841) (2,474) (2,474)
Cash Flow From Financing (717) (15,258) (3,648) (3,648)
Total Cash Generated (2,052) 32,138 10,068 12,040
Free Cashflow To Equity 4,070 36,152 13,715 15,688
Free Cashflow To Firm 1,688 50,237 16,190 18,162
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Cash And Equivalents 8,131 41,114 51,182 63,222
Total Debtors 19,428 18,980 20,879 22,966
Inventories 23,265 22,729 25,001 27,502
Total Other Current Assets 5,669 4,921 5,084 5,265
Total Current Assets 56,493 87,744 102,146 118,955
Fixed Assets 107,472 111,399 113,657 115,373
Total Investments 1,211 42 42 42
Intangible Assets
Total Other Non-Current Assets 39,643 3,877 3,820 3,908
Total Non-current Assets 148,327 115,318 117,519 119,323
Short-term Debt 26,691 20,425 20,425 20,425
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 21,978 21,471 23,618 25,980
Other Current Liabilities 6,139 2,834 2,849 2,866
Total Current Liabilities 54,808 44,730 46,892 49,272
Total Long-term Debt 22,511 17,533 17,533 17,533
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 2,609 3,293 3,293 3,293
Total Non-current Liabilities 25,120 20,826 20,826 20,826
Total Provisions 10,101 10,098 10,203 10,325
Total Liabilities 90,029 75,654 77,922 80,423
Shareholders Equity 114,790 127,407 141,743 157,855
Minority Interests
Total Equity 114,790 127,407 141,743 157,855
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue Growth (11.6%) (2.3%) 10.0% 10.0%
Operating EBITDA Growth (26.8%) 7.1% 8.9% 9.7%
Operating EBITDA Margin 19.7% 21.6% 21.3% 21.3%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) (138.57) 10.65 44.61 85.23
BVPS (Rs) 387.28 429.85 478.21 532.57
Gross Interest Cover 6.32 7.20 9.04 10.00
Effective Tax Rate 21.1% 25.2% 25.2% 25.2%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio 8.8% 8.5% 7.6% 6.8%
Accounts Receivables Days 51.79 54.61 51.52 51.52
Inventory Days
Accounts Payables Days
ROIC (%) 11.4% 14.9% 15.8% 16.9%
ROCE (%) 11.6% 11.7% 12.3% 12.6%
Return On Average Assets 8.3% 8.2% 8.5% 8.6%

Analyst(s)

Satish KUMAR

(91) 22 4161 1562 satish.kumar@incredresearch.com

Abbas PUNJANI

(91) 22 4161 1598 abbas.punjani@incredresearch.com