* price as on 04 Feb 2025
Financial
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue (Rsm) 131,385 137,795 151,574 166,732
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 25,841 24,119 26,216 28,743
Net Profit (Rsm) 13,357 10,432 11,720 13,332
Core EPS (Rs) 45.1 35.2 39.5 45.0
Core EPS Growth (38.2%) (21.9%) 12.4% 13.7%
FD Core P/E (x) 66.16 84.72 75.40 66.29
DPS (Rs) 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0
Dividend Yield 0.13% 0.13% 0.13% 0.13%
EV/EBITDA (x) 35.79 38.06 35.00 31.85
P/FCFE (x) 217.16 78.63 184.33 134.92
Net Gearing 35.8% 27.6% 25.1% 21.6%
P/BV (x) 7.70 7.12 6.57 6.02
ROE 12.3% 8.7% 9.1% 9.5%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Net Revenues 131,385 137,795 151,574 166,732
Gross Profit 131,385 137,795 151,574 166,732
Operating EBITDA 25,841 24,119 26,216 28,743
Depreciation And Amortisation (6,726) (7,796) (8,169) (8,543)
Operating EBIT 19,115 16,323 18,046 20,200
Financial Income/(Expense) (3,023) (3,207) (3,207) (3,207)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 830 830 830 830
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 16,922 13,946 15,669 17,823
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 16,922 13,946 15,669 17,823
Taxation (3,565) (3,514) (3,949) (4,491)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 13,357 10,432 11,720 13,332
Minority Interests
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 13,357 10,432 11,720 13,332
Recurring Net Profit 13,357 10,432 11,720 13,332
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 13,357 10,432 11,720 13,332
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
EBITDA 25,841 24,119 26,216 28,743
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital (1,145) (355) (2,332) (2,565)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense (762) 6,159 29 33
Other Operating Cashflow (3,798) (2,991) (3,859) (4,945)
Net Interest (Paid)/Received (3,023) (3,207) (3,207) (3,207)
Tax Paid 3,826 3,514 3,949 4,491
Cashflow From Operations 20,939 27,239 20,794 22,550
Capex (22,017) (16,000) (16,000) (16,000)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments
Other Investing Cashflow (256)
Cash Flow From Investing (22,273) (16,000) (16,000) (16,000)
Debt Raised/(repaid) 5,404
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (2,137) (1,173) (1,173) (1,173)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow (3,984) (3,207) (3,207) (3,207)
Cash Flow From Financing (717) (4,381) (4,381) (4,381)
Total Cash Generated (2,052) 6,859 414 2,170
Free Cashflow To Equity 4,070 11,239 4,794 6,550
Free Cashflow To Firm 1,688 14,447 8,002 9,758
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Cash And Equivalents 8,131 14,990 15,404 17,573
Total Debtors 19,428 20,376 22,414 24,655
Inventories 23,265 24,400 26,840 29,524
Total Other Current Assets 5,669 5,027 5,201 5,394
Total Current Assets 56,493 64,793 69,858 77,146
Fixed Assets 136,508 144,712 152,543 160,000
Total Investments 1,211 1,211 1,211 1,211
Intangible Assets
Total Other Non-Current Assets 10,607 4,445 4,521 4,609
Total Non-current Assets 148,327 150,368 158,275 165,820
Short-term Debt 26,691 26,691 26,691 26,691
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 21,978 23,050 25,355 27,890
Other Current Liabilities 6,139 6,153 6,168 6,186
Total Current Liabilities 54,808 55,894 58,214 60,767
Total Long-term Debt 22,511 22,511 22,511 22,511
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 2,609 2,609 2,609 2,609
Total Non-current Liabilities 25,120 25,120 25,120 25,120
Total Provisions 10,101 10,098 10,203 10,325
Total Liabilities 90,029 91,112 93,538 96,212
Shareholders Equity 114,790 124,049 134,596 146,754
Minority Interests
Total Equity 114,790 124,049 134,596 146,754
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue Growth (11.6%) 4.9% 10.0% 10.0%
Operating EBITDA Growth (26.8%) (6.7%) 8.7% 9.6%
Operating EBITDA Margin 19.7% 17.5% 17.3% 17.2%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) (138.57) (115.43) (114.03) (106.71)
BVPS (Rs) 387.28 418.52 454.10 495.12
Gross Interest Cover 6.32 5.09 5.63 6.30
Effective Tax Rate 21.1% 25.2% 25.2% 25.2%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio 8.8% 11.2% 10.0% 8.8%
Accounts Receivables Days 51.79 52.72 51.52 51.52
Inventory Days
Accounts Payables Days
ROIC (%) 11.4% 9.6% 10.0% 10.6%
ROCE (%) 11.6% 9.2% 9.6% 10.1%
Return On Average Assets 8.3% 6.5% 6.7% 7.0%

Analyst(s)

Satish KUMAR

(91) 22 4161 1562 satish.kumar@incredresearch.com

Abbas PUNJANI

(91) 22 4161 1598 abbas.punjani@incredresearch.com