* price as on 12 Sep 2025
Financial
Mar-25A Mar-26F Mar-27F Mar-28F
Revenue (Rsm) 37,290 37,457 41,969 47,156
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 9,729 8,417 10,672 12,604
Net Profit (Rsm) 7,850 6,635 8,434 9,882
Core EPS (Rs) 126.0 106.5 135.4 158.7
Core EPS Growth (0.9%) (15.5%) 27.1% 17.2%
FD Core P/E (x) 45.40 53.71 42.25 36.06
DPS (Rs) 75.0 95.0 115.0 115.0
Dividend Yield 1.31% 1.66% 2.01% 2.01%
EV/EBITDA (x) 34.94 40.26 31.65 26.60
P/FCFE (x) 44.78 64.08 53.81 45.05
Net Gearing (57.2%) (59.6%) (60.8%) (63.5%)
P/BV (x) 12.46 12.16 11.65 10.70
ROE 29.3% 22.9% 28.2% 30.9%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-25A Mar-26F Mar-27F Mar-28F
Total Net Revenues 37,290 37,457 41,969 47,156
Gross Profit 14,429 13,023 15,623 18,026
Operating EBITDA 9,729 8,417 10,672 12,604
Depreciation And Amortisation (1,049) (1,019) (1,091) (1,226)
Operating EBIT 8,681 7,398 9,581 11,378
Financial Income/(Expense) 1,603 1,486 1,664 1,798
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense)
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 10,284 8,885 11,245 13,176
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 10,284 8,885 11,245 13,176
Taxation (2,434) (2,250) (2,811) (3,294)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 7,850 6,635 8,434 9,882
Minority Interests
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 7,850 6,635 8,434 9,882
Recurring Net Profit 7,850 6,635 8,434 9,882
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 7,850 6,635 8,434 9,882
(Rs mn) Mar-25A Mar-26F Mar-27F Mar-28F
EBITDA 9,729 8,417 10,672 12,604
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital (242) (443) (1,075) (1,236)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense 244
Other Operating Cashflow (347)
Net Interest (Paid)/Received 975
Tax Paid (2,239) (2,250) (2,811) (3,294)
Cashflow From Operations 8,120 5,724 6,785 8,074
Capex (162) (163) (163) (163)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments
Other Investing Cashflow (2,921) 1,669 1,847 1,981
Cash Flow From Investing (3,083) 1,505 1,683 1,817
Debt Raised/(repaid)
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (4,359) (5,918) (7,163) (7,163)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow (627) (183) (183) (183)
Cash Flow From Financing (4,986) (6,100) (7,346) (7,346)
Total Cash Generated 51 1,130 1,123 2,545
Free Cashflow To Equity 7,958 5,561 6,622 7,910
Free Cashflow To Firm 5,227 7,230 8,469 9,891
(Rs mn) Mar-25A Mar-26F Mar-27F Mar-28F
Total Cash And Equivalents 16,345 17,474 18,597 21,142
Total Debtors 9,715 10,159 11,383 12,790
Inventories
Total Other Current Assets 1,915 1,915 1,915 1,915
Total Current Assets 27,975 29,549 31,895 35,848
Fixed Assets 3,108 2,252 1,325 262
Total Investments 3,964 3,964 3,964 3,964
Intangible Assets 88 88 88 88
Total Other Non-Current Assets 722 722 722 722
Total Non-current Assets 7,882 7,026 6,099 5,036
Short-term Debt
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 1,230 1,231 1,380 1,550
Other Current Liabilities 4,067 4,067 4,067 4,067
Total Current Liabilities 5,297 5,298 5,447 5,617
Total Long-term Debt
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 1,393 1,393 1,393 1,393
Total Non-current Liabilities 1,393 1,393 1,393 1,393
Total Provisions 568 568 568 568
Total Liabilities 7,257 7,259 7,407 7,578
Shareholders Equity 28,600 29,317 30,587 33,306
Minority Interests
Total Equity 28,600 29,317 30,587 33,306
Mar-25A Mar-26F Mar-27F Mar-28F
Revenue Growth 5.0% 0.4% 12.0% 12.4%
Operating EBITDA Growth (7.0%) (13.5%) 26.8% 18.1%
Operating EBITDA Margin 26.1% 22.5% 25.4% 26.7%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) 262.42 280.56 298.59 339.45
BVPS (Rs) 459.18 470.69 491.09 534.75
Gross Interest Cover 45.73 40.54 52.50 62.35
Effective Tax Rate 23.7% 25.3% 25.0% 25.0%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio 59.5% 89.2% 84.9% 72.5%
Accounts Receivables Days 95.10 96.84 93.68 93.55
Inventory Days 0.09
Accounts Payables Days 16.66 18.39 18.09 18.36
ROIC (%) 58.5% 53.9% 73.0% 85.5%
ROCE (%) 24.7% 19.1% 24.0% 26.7%
Return On Average Assets 19.6% 15.3% 19.3% 21.6%

Analyst(s)

Abhishek SHINDADKAR

(91) 22 4161 1543 abhishek.shindadkr@incredresearch.com