* price as on 06 Jun 2025
Financial
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue (Rsm) 35,521 37,290 39,244 44,170
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 10,464 9,729 10,800 12,635
Net Profit (Rsm) 7,922 7,850 8,283 9,718
Core EPS (Rs) 127.2 126.0 133.0 156.0
Core EPS Growth 4.9% (0.9%) 5.5% 17.3%
FD Core P/E (x) 50.88 51.36 48.67 41.49
DPS (Rs) 70.0 75.0 95.0 115.0
Dividend Yield 1.08% 1.16% 1.47% 1.78%
EV/EBITDA (x) 37.17 39.76 35.60 30.24
P/FCFE (x) 65.21 55.00 55.82 48.50
Net Gearing (56.4%) (57.2%) (60.5%) (63.0%)
P/BV (x) 16.09 14.10 13.02 12.03
ROE 34.5% 29.3% 27.8% 30.1%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Net Revenues 35,521 37,290 39,244 44,170
Gross Profit 14,492 14,429 15,501 17,724
Operating EBITDA 10,464 9,729 10,800 12,635
Depreciation And Amortisation (994) (1,049) (1,060) (1,148)
Operating EBIT 9,470 8,681 9,740 11,487
Financial Income/(Expense) 1,017 1,603 1,087 1,217
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense)
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 10,487 10,284 10,828 12,703
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 10,487 10,284 10,828 12,703
Taxation (2,564) (2,434) (2,544) (2,985)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 7,922 7,850 8,283 9,718
Minority Interests
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 7,922 7,850 8,283 9,718
Recurring Net Profit 7,922 7,850 8,283 9,718
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 7,922 7,850 8,283 9,718
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
EBITDA 10,464 9,729 10,800 12,635
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital (1,351) (242) (869) (1,174)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense 193 244
Other Operating Cashflow (445)
Net Interest (Paid)/Received 731
Tax Paid (2,580) (2,239) (2,544) (2,985)
Cashflow From Operations 7,012 7,492 7,387 8,476
Capex (830) (162) (163) (163)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments
Other Investing Cashflow (1,871) (2,921) 1,275 1,405
Cash Flow From Investing (2,701) (3,083) 1,112 1,241
Debt Raised/(repaid)
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (3,774) (4,359) (5,918) (7,163)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow (504) (627) (188) (188)
Cash Flow From Financing (4,278) (4,986) (6,106) (7,351)
Total Cash Generated 32 (577) 2,393 2,365
Free Cashflow To Equity 6,182 7,330 7,223 8,312
Free Cashflow To Firm 4,513 4,409 8,499 9,717
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Cash And Equivalents 14,139 16,345 18,737 21,103
Total Debtors 9,716 9,715 10,644 11,980
Inventories 11
Total Other Current Assets 1,502 1,915 1,915 1,915
Total Current Assets 25,367 27,975 31,297 34,998
Fixed Assets 3,847 3,108 2,212 1,227
Total Investments 1,943 3,964 3,964 3,964
Intangible Assets 134 88 88 88
Total Other Non-Current Assets 578 722 722 722
Total Non-current Assets 6,503 7,882 6,986 6,001
Short-term Debt
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 856 1,230 1,290 1,452
Other Current Liabilities 3,603 4,067 4,067 4,067
Total Current Liabilities 4,459 5,297 5,357 5,519
Total Long-term Debt
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 1,812 1,393 1,393 1,393
Total Non-current Liabilities 1,812 1,393 1,393 1,393
Total Provisions 542 568 568 568
Total Liabilities 6,813 7,257 7,318 7,480
Shareholders Equity 25,057 28,600 30,965 33,520
Minority Interests
Total Equity 25,057 28,600 30,965 33,520
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue Growth 13.0% 5.0% 5.2% 12.6%
Operating EBITDA Growth 8.9% (7.0%) 11.0% 17.0%
Operating EBITDA Margin 29.5% 26.1% 27.5% 28.6%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) 227.03 262.42 300.84 338.82
BVPS (Rs) 402.34 459.18 497.16 538.18
Gross Interest Cover 46.75 45.73 51.81 61.10
Effective Tax Rate 24.5% 23.7% 23.5% 23.5%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio 55.0% 59.5% 71.4% 73.7%
Accounts Receivables Days 100.08 95.10 94.68 93.48
Inventory Days 0.13 0.09
Accounts Payables Days 16.39 16.66 19.37 18.92
ROIC (%) 73.2% 58.5% 72.7% 85.9%
ROCE (%) 31.2% 24.7% 25.0% 27.3%
Return On Average Assets 24.0% 19.6% 20.1% 22.2%

Analyst(s)

Abhishek SHINDADKAR

(91) 22 4161 1543 abhishek.shindadkr@incredresearch.com

Vikas Swami

(91) 22 4161 1544 vikas.swami@incredresearch.com