* price as on 19 Nov 2024
Financial
Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue (Rsm) 31,947 36,922 40,542 46,137
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 16,202 19,384 21,487 24,684
Net Profit (Rsm) 7,398 11,905 11,913 14,406
Core EPS (Rs) 5.5 5.3 5.7 6.9
Core EPS Growth 168.6% (4.0%) 6.5% 20.9%
FD Core P/E (x) 75.11 52.78 52.75 43.62
DPS (Rs) 2.8 3.4
Dividend Yield 1.06% 1.28%
EV/EBITDA (x) 35.98 33.18 29.94 26.04
P/FCFE (x) 48.12 (17.94) 95.70 71.94
Net Gearing 64.4% 17.4% 16.5% 14.7%
P/BV (x) 13.91 7.87 7.38 6.87
ROE 28.4% 18.7% 14.4% 16.3%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Net Revenues 31,947 36,922 40,542 46,137
Gross Profit 19,882 23,261 25,947 29,989
Operating EBITDA 16,202 19,384 21,487 24,684
Depreciation And Amortisation (3,912) (4,266) (5,493) (5,493)
Operating EBIT 12,290 15,118 15,995 19,191
Financial Income/(Expense) (2,819) (2,400) (1,900) (1,900)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 1,781 1,700 1,250 1,250
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 11,252 14,418 15,345 18,541
Exceptional Items (3,142) 917
Pre-tax Profit 8,110 15,335 15,345 18,541
Taxation (615) (3,374) (3,376) (4,079)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 7,495 11,961 11,969 14,462
Minority Interests (97) (56) (56) (56)
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 7,398 11,905 11,913 14,406
Recurring Net Profit 10,302 11,190 11,913 14,406
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 10,302 11,190 11,913 14,406
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
EBITDA 16,202 19,384 21,487 24,684
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital 951 (2,241) (595) (920)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense (3,142) 917
Other Operating Cashflow
Net Interest (Paid)/Received (1,038) (700) (650) (650)
Tax Paid (615) (3,374) (3,376) (4,079)
Cashflow From Operations 12,359 13,987 16,866 19,034
Capex (738) (29,495) (10,300) (10,300)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments
Other Investing Cashflow 1,653 3
Cash Flow From Investing 915 (29,492) (10,300) (10,300)
Debt Raised/(repaid) (1,726) (17,489)
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares 28,000
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (6,671) (8,067)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow (2,569) (216) (56) (56)
Cash Flow From Financing (4,295) 10,294 (6,727) (8,123)
Total Cash Generated 8,979 (5,211) (161) 611
Free Cashflow To Equity 11,548 (32,994) 6,566 8,734
Free Cashflow To Firm 16,093 (13,105) 8,466 10,634
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Cash And Equivalents 19,361 14,151 13,990 14,601
Total Debtors 4,024 5,169 5,676 6,459
Inventories 1,022 1,022 1,022 1,022
Total Other Current Assets 6,363 7,722 8,479 9,649
Total Current Assets 30,770 28,063 29,166 31,731
Fixed Assets 38,901 65,340 71,347 77,355
Total Investments 25
Intangible Assets 21,304 20,095 18,895 17,695
Total Other Non-Current Assets
Total Non-current Assets 60,231 85,434 90,242 95,049
Short-term Debt 1,483
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 3,016 6,820 7,489 8,522
Other Current Liabilities 3,462
Total Current Liabilities 7,960 6,820 7,489 8,522
Total Long-term Debt 40,954 25,000 25,000 25,000
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 3,239 3,187 3,187 3,187
Total Non-current Liabilities 44,194 28,187 28,187 28,187
Total Provisions (2,042) (2,143) (2,143) (2,143)
Total Liabilities 50,112 32,864 33,533 34,566
Shareholders Equity 39,946 79,851 85,093 91,432
Minority Interests 942 782 782 782
Total Equity 40,889 80,633 85,875 92,214
Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue Growth 40.5% 15.6% 9.8% 13.8%
Operating EBITDA Growth 46.0% 19.6% 10.8% 14.9%
Operating EBITDA Margin 50.7% 52.5% 53.0% 53.5%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) (14.17) (6.68) (6.76) (6.47)
BVPS (Rs) 21.51 38.02 40.52 43.54
Gross Interest Cover 4.36 6.30 8.42 10.10
Effective Tax Rate 7.6% 22.0% 22.0% 22.0%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio
Accounts Receivables Days 57.34 45.44 48.82 48.00
Inventory Days 28.37 27.30 25.55 23.09
Accounts Payables Days 87.18 131.40 178.92 180.95
ROIC (%) 18.1% 23.2% 17.3% 19.6%
ROCE (%) 14.8% 15.8% 14.6% 16.7%
Return On Average Assets 14.8% 13.1% 11.9% 13.3%

Analyst(s)

Rajarshi MAITRA

(91) 22 4161 1546 rajarshi.maitra@incredresearch.com

Shivam AGARWAL

(91) 22 4161 1500 shivam.agarwal@incredresearch.com