* price as on 06 Jun 2025
Financial
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue (Rsm) 83,531 62,120 71,572 76,759
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 17,077 13,981 14,858 15,106
Net Profit (Rsm) 9,094 2,325 3,346 3,739
Core EPS (Rs) 23.9 9.1 13.0 14.6
Core EPS Growth (7.0%) (62.0%) 43.9% 11.7%
FD Core P/E (x) 12.78 33.67 23.40 20.94
DPS (Rs) 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.7
Dividend Yield 0.20% 0.23% 0.25% 0.27%
EV/EBITDA (x) 8.28 12.46 11.28 8.21
P/FCFE (x) 11.14 (9.08) 17.02 6.34
Net Gearing 131.5% 193.9% 171.6% 89.9%
P/BV (x) 1.51 1.45 1.37 1.29
ROE 12.9% 4.4% 6.0% 6.3%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Net Revenues 83,531 62,120 71,572 76,759
Gross Profit 27,538 40,378 46,522 49,893
Operating EBITDA 17,077 13,981 14,858 15,106
Depreciation And Amortisation (1,768) (2,676) (2,308) (2,125)
Operating EBIT 15,309 11,305 12,550 12,981
Financial Income/(Expense) (6,605) (7,494) (7,278) (7,090)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 815 1,333 1,333 1,333
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 9,519 5,143 6,604 7,224
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 9,519 5,143 6,604 7,224
Taxation (3,393) (2,818) (3,258) (3,485)
Exceptional Income - post-tax 2,968
Profit After Tax 9,094 2,325 3,346 3,739
Minority Interests
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 9,094 2,325 3,346 3,739
Recurring Net Profit 6,126 2,325 3,346 3,739
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 6,126 2,325 3,346 3,739
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
EBITDA 17,077 13,981 14,858 15,106
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital (18,666) (35,608) 2,670 39,904
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense
Other Operating Cashflow
Net Interest (Paid)/Received (6,605) (7,494) (7,278) (7,090)
Tax Paid (3,393) (2,818) (3,258) (3,485)
Cashflow From Operations (11,587) (31,940) 6,992 44,435
Capex (453) (2,052) (1,487) (2,046)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments (1,999) (3,686)
Other Investing Cashflow 3,783 1,333 1,333 1,333
Cash Flow From Investing 1,331 (4,405) (154) (713)
Debt Raised/(repaid) 17,280 27,728 (2,237) (31,368)
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares 64 0 0 0
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (160) (176) (194) (213)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow (205)
Cash Flow From Financing 16,979 27,552 (2,431) (31,581)
Total Cash Generated 6,724 (8,793) 4,407 12,140
Free Cashflow To Equity 7,025 (8,617) 4,601 12,354
Free Cashflow To Firm (3,650) (28,851) 14,116 50,812
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Cash And Equivalents 13,787 4,994 9,400 21,541
Total Debtors 98,632 131,266 129,753 90,228
Inventories 7,650 7,897 6,318 6,950
Total Other Current Assets 19,327 18,595 18,069 18,700
Total Current Assets 139,396 162,752 163,540 137,419
Fixed Assets 11,592 10,968 10,147 10,069
Total Investments 5,114 8,800 8,800 8,800
Intangible Assets
Total Other Non-Current Assets
Total Non-current Assets 16,706 19,768 18,947 18,869
Short-term Debt
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors
Other Current Liabilities 22,264 18,805 17,857 19,500
Total Current Liabilities 22,264 18,805 17,857 19,500
Total Long-term Debt 81,983 109,711 107,475 76,107
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities
Total Non-current Liabilities 81,983 109,711 107,475 76,107
Total Provisions 7 7 7 7
Total Liabilities 104,254 128,523 125,338 95,613
Shareholders Equity 51,848 53,997 57,149 60,674
Minority Interests
Total Equity 51,848 53,997 57,149 60,674
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue Growth 5.0% (25.6%) 15.2% 7.2%
Operating EBITDA Growth 6.7% (18.1%) 6.3% 1.7%
Operating EBITDA Margin 20.4% 22.5% 20.8% 19.7%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) (265.83) (408.19) (382.30) (212.70)
BVPS (Rs) 202.11 210.48 222.77 236.51
Gross Interest Cover 2.32 1.51 1.72 1.83
Effective Tax Rate 35.6% 54.8% 49.3% 48.2%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio 1.7% 3.4% 2.9% 3.0%
Accounts Receivables Days 388.58 675.40 665.56 523.02
Inventory Days 49.85 130.50 103.56 90.13
Accounts Payables Days
ROIC (%) 15.7% 9.8% 8.4% 8.9%
ROCE (%) 12.7% 7.6% 7.6% 8.6%
Return On Average Assets 11.4% 7.5% 7.6% 8.5%

Analyst(s)

Rajarshi MAITRA

(91) 22 4161 1546 rajarshi.maitra@incredresearch.com

Shivam AGARWAL

(91) 22 4161 1500 shivam.agarwal@incredresearch.com