* price as on 04 Mar 2025
Financial
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue (Rsm) 83,531 62,120 71,572 76,759
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 17,077 13,481 14,358 14,606
Net Profit (Rsm) 9,094 2,627 3,228 3,613
Core EPS (Rs) 23.9 10.2 12.6 14.1
Core EPS Growth (7.0%) (57.1%) 22.9% 11.9%
FD Core P/E (x) 11.44 26.67 21.71 19.40
DPS (Rs) 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.7
Dividend Yield 0.23% 0.25% 0.28% 0.30%
EV/EBITDA (x) 7.80 16.57 14.95 11.72
P/FCFE (x) 9.97 (6.79) 10.58 20.04
Net Gearing 131.5% 291.8% 261.2% 175.0%
P/BV (x) 1.35 1.29 1.22 1.15
ROE 12.9% 4.9% 5.8% 6.1%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Net Revenues 83,531 62,120 71,572 76,759
Gross Profit 27,538 40,378 46,522 49,893
Operating EBITDA 17,077 13,481 14,358 14,606
Depreciation And Amortisation (1,768) (2,112) (1,949) (1,777)
Operating EBIT 15,309 11,369 12,409 12,829
Financial Income/(Expense) (6,605) (6,799) (6,946) (6,758)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 815 800 800 801
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 9,519 5,370 6,263 6,872
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 9,519 5,370 6,263 6,872
Taxation (3,393) (2,743) (3,035) (3,259)
Exceptional Income - post-tax 2,968
Profit After Tax 9,094 2,627 3,228 3,613
Minority Interests
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 9,094 2,627 3,228 3,613
Recurring Net Profit 6,126 2,627 3,228 3,613
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 6,126 2,627 3,228 3,613
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
EBITDA 17,077 13,481 14,358 14,606
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital (18,666) (93,240) 4,671 39,841
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense
Other Operating Cashflow
Net Interest (Paid)/Received (6,605) (6,799) (6,946) (6,758)
Tax Paid (3,393) (2,743) (3,035) (3,259)
Cashflow From Operations (11,587) (89,302) 9,048 44,430
Capex (453) (1,552) (987) (1,546)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments (1,999)
Other Investing Cashflow 3,783 800 800 801
Cash Flow From Investing 1,331 (752) (187) (745)
Debt Raised/(repaid) 17,280 79,728 (2,237) (40,188)
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares 64 0 0
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (160) (176) (194) (213)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow (205)
Cash Flow From Financing 16,979 79,552 (2,431) (40,401)
Total Cash Generated 6,724 (10,502) 6,430 3,284
Free Cashflow To Equity 7,025 (10,326) 6,624 3,497
Free Cashflow To Firm (3,650) (83,255) 15,806 50,443
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Cash And Equivalents 13,787 3,285 9,714 12,998
Total Debtors 98,632 188,898 184,753 145,228
Inventories 7,650 5,265 6,318 6,950
Total Other Current Assets 19,327 17,016 18,069 18,700
Total Current Assets 139,396 214,463 218,854 183,876
Fixed Assets 11,592 11,033 10,071 9,840
Total Investments 5,114 5,114 5,114 5,114
Intangible Assets
Total Other Non-Current Assets
Total Non-current Assets 16,706 16,147 15,185 14,954
Short-term Debt
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors
Other Current Liabilities 22,264 14,593 17,225 18,805
Total Current Liabilities 22,264 14,593 17,225 18,805
Total Long-term Debt 81,983 161,711 159,475 119,287
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities
Total Non-current Liabilities 81,983 161,711 159,475 119,287
Total Provisions 7 7 7 7
Total Liabilities 104,254 176,311 176,707 138,098
Shareholders Equity 51,848 54,299 57,333 60,732
Minority Interests
Total Equity 51,848 54,299 57,333 60,732
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue Growth 5.0% (25.6%) 15.2% 7.2%
Operating EBITDA Growth 6.7% (21.1%) 6.5% 1.7%
Operating EBITDA Margin 20.4% 21.7% 20.1% 19.0%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) (265.83) (617.55) (583.77) (414.32)
BVPS (Rs) 202.11 211.66 223.49 236.74
Gross Interest Cover 2.32 1.67 1.79 1.90
Effective Tax Rate 35.6% 51.1% 48.5% 47.4%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio 1.7% 3.3% 3.1% 3.1%
Accounts Receivables Days 388.58 844.72 952.76 784.55
Inventory Days 49.85 108.41 84.38 90.13
Accounts Payables Days
ROIC (%) 15.7% 9.9% 6.0% 6.4%
ROCE (%) 12.7% 6.5% 5.7% 6.5%
Return On Average Assets 11.4% 6.3% 5.7% 6.3%

Analyst(s)

Rajarshi MAITRA

(91) 22 4161 1546 rajarshi.maitra@incredresearch.com

Shivam AGARWAL

(91) 22 4161 1500 shivam.agarwal@incredresearch.com