* price as on 19 Nov 2024
Financial
Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue (Rsm) 79,561 83,531 68,794 73,649
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 16,000 17,077 14,482 14,944
Net Profit (Rsm) 6,585 9,094 3,377 4,042
Core EPS (Rs) 25.7 23.9 13.2 15.8
Core EPS Growth 13.1% (7.0%) (44.9%) 19.7%
FD Core P/E (x) 11.68 12.55 22.77 19.03
DPS (Rs) 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6
Dividend Yield 0.21% 0.21% 0.23% 0.25%
EV/EBITDA (x) 8.21 8.20 15.51 14.58
P/FCFE (x) (138.27) 10.95 (7.96) 16.63
Net Gearing 133.9% 131.5% 277.5% 248.1%
P/BV (x) 1.79 1.48 1.40 1.31
ROE 16.6% 12.9% 6.3% 7.1%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Net Revenues 79,561 83,531 68,794 73,649
Gross Profit 29,179 27,538 44,716 47,872
Operating EBITDA 16,000 17,077 14,482 14,944
Depreciation And Amortisation (2,533) (1,768) (2,497) (2,160)
Operating EBIT 13,467 15,309 11,985 12,784
Financial Income/(Expense) (4,699) (6,605) (6,437) (6,221)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 806 815 800 800
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 9,575 9,519 6,348 7,363
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 9,575 9,519 6,348 7,363
Taxation (2,990) (3,393) (2,971) (3,321)
Exceptional Income - post-tax 2,968
Profit After Tax 6,585 9,094 3,377 4,042
Minority Interests
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 6,585 9,094 3,377 4,042
Recurring Net Profit 6,585 6,126 3,377 4,042
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 6,585 6,126 3,377 4,042
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
EBITDA 16,000 17,077 14,482 14,944
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital (25,333) (18,666) (88,717) 1,649
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense
Other Operating Cashflow
Net Interest (Paid)/Received (4,699) (6,605) (6,437) (6,221)
Tax Paid (2,990) (3,393) (2,971) (3,321)
Cashflow From Operations (17,022) (11,587) (83,643) 7,050
Capex (512) (453) (1,552) (987)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments 1,122 (1,999)
Other Investing Cashflow 806 3,783 800 800
Cash Flow From Investing 1,417 1,331 (752) (187)
Debt Raised/(repaid) 15,049 17,280 74,728 (2,237)
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares 145 64 0 0
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (160) (160) (176) (194)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow 162 (205)
Cash Flow From Financing 15,196 16,979 74,552 (2,431)
Total Cash Generated (409) 6,724 (9,843) 4,432
Free Cashflow To Equity (556) 7,025 (9,667) 4,626
Free Cashflow To Firm (10,906) (3,650) (77,958) 13,084
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Cash And Equivalents 7,063 13,787 3,944 8,376
Total Debtors 79,223 98,632 184,708 183,356
Inventories 7,644 7,650 5,932 6,525
Total Other Current Assets 16,368 19,327 17,683 18,276
Total Current Assets 110,299 139,396 212,267 216,534
Fixed Assets 12,907 11,592 10,647 9,475
Total Investments 3,327 5,114 5,114 5,114
Intangible Assets
Total Other Non-Current Assets
Total Non-current Assets 16,234 16,706 15,761 14,589
Short-term Debt
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors
Other Current Liabilities 18,556 22,264 16,261 17,744
Total Current Liabilities 18,556 22,264 16,261 17,744
Total Long-term Debt 64,703 81,983 156,711 154,475
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities
Total Non-current Liabilities 64,703 81,983 156,711 154,475
Total Provisions 212 7 7 7
Total Liabilities 83,471 104,254 172,979 172,226
Shareholders Equity 42,850 51,848 55,049 58,897
Minority Interests 210
Total Equity 43,060 51,848 55,049 58,897
Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue Growth 10.4% 5.0% (17.6%) 7.1%
Operating EBITDA Growth 4.3% 6.7% (15.2%) 3.2%
Operating EBITDA Margin 20.1% 20.4% 21.1% 20.3%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) (224.68) (265.83) (595.49) (569.50)
BVPS (Rs) 167.03 202.11 214.58 229.58
Gross Interest Cover 2.87 2.32 1.86 2.06
Effective Tax Rate 31.2% 35.6% 46.8% 45.1%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio 1.7% 1.7% 2.8% 2.6%
Accounts Receivables Days 315.92 388.58 751.66 912.06
Inventory Days 45.10 49.85 102.95 88.20
Accounts Payables Days
ROIC (%) 18.1% 15.7% 10.4% 6.3%
ROCE (%) 13.9% 12.7% 6.9% 6.0%
Return On Average Assets 12.3% 11.4% 6.7% 5.9%

Analyst(s)

Rajarshi MAITRA

(91) 22 4161 1546 rajarshi.maitra@incredresearch.com

Shivam AGARWAL

(91) 22 4161 1500 shivam.agarwal@incredresearch.com