* price as on 19 Nov 2024
Financial
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue (Rsm) 96,472 104,433 116,697 131,834
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 19,189 19,808 23,468 26,551
Net Profit (Rsm) 13,035 13,689 16,129 18,355
Core EPS (Rs) 122.5 129.1 152.0 173.0
Core EPS Growth 7.4% 5.4% 17.7% 13.8%
FD Core P/E (x) 41.91 39.76 33.76 29.67
DPS (Rs) 50.0 54.0 65.4 74.4
Dividend Yield 0.97% 1.05% 1.27% 1.45%
EV/EBITDA (x) 27.35 26.11 21.70 18.84
P/FCFE (x) 50.49 59.58 41.84 37.34
Net Gearing (40.5%) (44.4%) (50.3%) (55.0%)
P/BV (x) 10.21 8.89 7.73 6.73
ROE 26.7% 23.9% 24.5% 24.3%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Net Revenues 96,472 104,433 116,697 131,834
Gross Profit 47,174 49,160 55,431 62,621
Operating EBITDA 19,189 19,808 23,468 26,551
Depreciation And Amortisation (2,716) (3,118) (3,384) (3,625)
Operating EBIT 16,473 16,690 20,084 22,926
Financial Income/(Expense) 1,564 2,203 2,184 2,412
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense)
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 18,037 18,894 22,268 25,338
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 18,037 18,894 22,268 25,338
Taxation (4,975) (5,190) (6,124) (6,968)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 13,062 13,704 16,144 18,370
Minority Interests (27) (15) (15) (15)
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 13,035 13,689 16,129 18,355
Recurring Net Profit 13,035 13,689 16,129 18,355
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 13,035 13,689 16,129 18,355
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
EBITDA 19,189 19,808 23,468 26,551
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital (557) (2,969) (1,814) (2,485)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense (27) (15) (15) (15)
Other Operating Cashflow
Net Interest (Paid)/Received
Tax Paid (5,256) (5,190) (6,124) (6,968)
Cashflow From Operations 13,349 11,635 15,515 17,083
Capex (2,528) (2,500) (2,500) (2,500)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments
Other Investing Cashflow 195 2,691 2,672 2,900
Cash Flow From Investing (2,333) 191 172 400
Debt Raised/(repaid)
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (4,967) (5,715) (6,936) (7,893)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow (1,612) (488) (488) (488)
Cash Flow From Financing (6,579) (6,203) (7,424) (8,381)
Total Cash Generated 4,437 5,623 8,264 9,103
Free Cashflow To Equity 10,821 9,135 13,015 14,583
Free Cashflow To Firm 11,016 11,826 15,687 17,484
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Cash And Equivalents 26,841 32,452 40,704 49,795
Total Debtors 32,557 36,552 40,144 44,692
Inventories
Total Other Current Assets 2,905 2,905 2,905 2,905
Total Current Assets 62,303 71,909 83,753 97,392
Fixed Assets 10,009 9,391 8,507 7,382
Total Investments 3,691 3,691 3,691 3,691
Intangible Assets 6,248 6,248 6,248 6,248
Total Other Non-Current Assets 2,634 2,634 2,634 2,634
Total Non-current Assets 22,582 21,964 21,080 19,955
Short-term Debt
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 14,117 15,143 16,921 18,984
Other Current Liabilities 11,254 11,254 11,254 11,254
Total Current Liabilities 25,371 26,397 28,175 30,238
Total Long-term Debt
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 6,036 6,036 6,036 6,036
Total Non-current Liabilities 6,036 6,036 6,036 6,036
Total Provisions
Total Liabilities 31,407 32,433 34,211 36,274
Shareholders Equity 53,271 61,233 70,415 80,866
Minority Interests 207 207 207 207
Total Equity 53,478 61,440 70,622 81,073
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue Growth 9.4% 8.3% 11.7% 13.0%
Operating EBITDA Growth 9.0% 3.2% 18.5% 13.1%
Operating EBITDA Margin 19.9% 19.0% 20.1% 20.1%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) 204.29 256.91 334.69 420.38
BVPS (Rs) 502.76 577.16 663.70 762.20
Gross Interest Cover 32.36 34.20 41.15 46.98
Effective Tax Rate 27.6% 27.5% 27.5% 27.5%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio 40.5% 41.7% 43.0% 43.0%
Accounts Receivables Days 123.54 120.77 119.94 117.44
Inventory Days
Accounts Payables Days 98.05 96.61 95.51 94.67
ROIC (%) 65.9% 41.8% 46.5% 51.5%
ROCE (%) 22.3% 19.3% 20.4% 20.5%
Return On Average Assets 14.3% 13.5% 14.7% 15.0%

Analyst(s)

Abhishek SHINDADKAR

(91) 22 4161 1543 abhishek.shindadkr@incredresearch.com

Smit GOSRANI

(91) 02241611554 smit.gosrani@incredresearch.com