* price as on 06 Jun 2025
Financial
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue (Rsm) 74,090 76,246 81,775 88,791
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 33,318 37,095 44,293 49,703
Net Profit (Rsm) 6,059 14,981 16,995 21,123
Core EPS (Rs) 0.9 2.4 2.8 3.5
Core EPS Growth 6.8% 161.9% 19.4% 24.3%
FD Core P/E (x) 57.41 21.92 18.35 14.77
DPS (Rs) 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Dividend Yield 0.58% 0.65% 0.65% 0.65%
EV/EBITDA (x) 11.89 10.47 7.83 6.43
P/FCFE (x) 37.31 33.71 (13.51) 11.78
Net Gearing 131.5% 112.0% 81.7% 58.7%
P/BV (x) 2.27 2.07 1.89 1.69
ROE 4.0% 9.9% 10.8% 12.1%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Net Revenues 74,090 76,246 81,775 88,791
Gross Profit 41,100 45,748 49,065 53,274
Operating EBITDA 33,318 37,095 44,293 49,703
Depreciation And Amortisation (9,949) (10,654) (11,232) (12,258)
Operating EBIT 23,368 26,441 33,060 37,445
Financial Income/(Expense) (11,566) (12,952) (12,133) (11,314)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense)
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 11,803 13,488 20,927 26,131
Exceptional Items 860 800
Pre-tax Profit 12,663 14,288 20,927 26,131
Taxation (3,456) (857) (6,278) (7,839)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 9,207 13,431 14,649 18,291
Minority Interests (3,148) 1,550 2,347 2,832
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 6,059 14,981 16,995 21,123
Recurring Net Profit 5,433 14,229 16,995 21,123
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 5,433 14,229 16,995 21,123
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
EBITDA 33,318 37,095 44,293 49,703
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital 18,206 (729) (1,644) (2,086)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense 860 800
Other Operating Cashflow
Net Interest (Paid)/Received (11,566) (12,952) (12,133) (11,314)
Tax Paid (1,840)
Cashflow From Operations 38,978 24,213 30,515 36,302
Capex (5,481) (9,850) 0 (2,368)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments
Other Investing Cashflow (45,011) 4,226 (8,160)
Cash Flow From Investing (50,492) (5,625) (8,160) (2,368)
Debt Raised/(repaid) 19,873 (9,334) (45,447) (7,447)
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (1,812) (2,038) (2,038) (2,038)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow (13,093) (7,829) 13,105 (4,334)
Cash Flow From Financing 4,969 (19,201) (34,380) (13,819)
Total Cash Generated (6,545) (613) (12,025) 20,116
Free Cashflow To Equity 8,359 9,254 (23,091) 26,488
Free Cashflow To Firm 4,729 35,418 38,365 49,126
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Cash And Equivalents 17,626 20,495 8,434 27,876
Total Debtors 4,014 4,131 4,431 4,811
Inventories 2,931 3,107 3,332 3,618
Total Other Current Assets 21,599 22,227 23,839 25,884
Total Current Assets 46,170 49,960 40,036 62,189
Fixed Assets 148,370 147,566 136,333 126,443
Total Investments 96,420 92,195 100,355 100,355
Intangible Assets
Total Other Non-Current Assets 54,880 59,880 42,880 42,880
Total Non-current Assets 299,670 299,641 279,568 269,678
Short-term Debt
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 6,757 6,954 7,458 8,098
Other Current Liabilities 739 734 723 708
Total Current Liabilities 7,496 7,689 8,181 8,806
Total Long-term Debt 198,320 188,985 143,539 136,092
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities
Total Non-current Liabilities 198,320 188,985 143,539 136,092
Total Provisions 2,538 2,538 2,538 2,538
Total Liabilities 208,354 199,212 154,258 147,437
Shareholders Equity 137,445 150,388 165,346 184,430
Minority Interests
Total Equity 137,445 150,388 165,346 184,430
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue Growth 25.1% 2.9% 7.3% 8.6%
Operating EBITDA Growth 18.9% 11.3% 19.4% 12.2%
Operating EBITDA Margin 45.0% 48.7% 54.2% 56.0%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) (29.92) (27.90) (22.37) (17.92)
BVPS (Rs) 22.76 24.90 27.38 30.54
Gross Interest Cover 1.44 1.57 2.06 2.46
Effective Tax Rate 27.3% 6.0% 30.0% 30.0%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio 34.8% 14.4% 12.0% 9.6%
Accounts Receivables Days 53.47 19.50 19.11 18.99
Inventory Days 32.75 36.13 35.92 35.71
Accounts Payables Days 65.17 82.05 80.41 79.94
ROIC (%) 9.8% 11.8% 14.4% 18.5%
ROCE (%) 8.6% 8.9% 11.3% 13.0%
Return On Average Assets 6.0% 7.4% 8.0% 9.1%

Analyst(s)

Rajarshi MAITRA

(91) 22 4161 1546 rajarshi.maitra@incredresearch.com

Shivam AGARWAL

(91) 22 4161 1500 shivam.agarwal@incredresearch.com