* price as on 19 Nov 2024
Financial
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue (Rsm) 1,099,130 1,166,479 1,275,387 1,414,080
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 242,000 254,824 283,391 317,319
Net Profit (Rsm) 157,020 173,280 189,407 213,771
Core EPS (Rs) 58.0 64.0 69.9 78.9
Core EPS Growth 5.8% 10.3% 9.3% 12.9%
FD Core P/E (x) 31.40 28.45 26.03 23.06
DPS (Rs) 52.0 58.0 66.4 75.0
Dividend Yield 2.86% 3.19% 3.65% 4.12%
EV/EBITDA (x) 19.44 18.34 16.41 14.58
P/FCFE (x) 23.20 28.68 26.25 23.60
Net Gearing (33.0%) (36.9%) (39.6%) (42.1%)
P/BV (x) 7.22 7.06 6.96 6.86
ROE 23.5% 25.1% 26.9% 30.0%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Net Revenues 1,099,130 1,166,479 1,275,387 1,414,080
Gross Profit 377,880 392,119 433,632 482,908
Operating EBITDA 242,000 254,824 283,391 317,319
Depreciation And Amortisation (41,730) (40,890) (44,639) (48,079)
Operating EBIT 200,270 213,934 238,752 269,241
Financial Income/(Expense) 9,420 17,204 13,763 15,002
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) (20) 1,139 1,148 1,273
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 209,670 232,277 253,664 285,516
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 209,670 232,277 253,664 285,516
Taxation (52,570) (58,917) (64,177) (71,664)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 157,100 173,360 189,487 213,851
Minority Interests (80) (80) (80) (80)
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 157,020 173,280 189,407 213,771
Recurring Net Profit 157,020 173,280 189,407 213,771
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 157,020 173,280 189,407 213,771
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
EBITDA 242,000 254,824 283,391 317,319
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital 23,050 (12,052) (19,488) (24,818)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense 80 80 80 80
Other Operating Cashflow
Net Interest (Paid)/Received
Tax Paid (42,120) (58,917) (64,177) (71,664)
Cashflow From Operations 223,010 183,935 199,806 220,917
Capex (10,480) (12,000) (12,000) (12,000)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments
Other Investing Cashflow (56,750) 17,204 13,763 15,002
Cash Flow From Investing (67,230) 5,204 1,763 3,002
Debt Raised/(repaid)
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (140,730) (157,264) (179,936) (203,083)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow (13,910)
Cash Flow From Financing (154,640) (157,264) (179,936) (203,083)
Total Cash Generated 1,140 31,876 21,633 20,837
Free Cashflow To Equity 212,530 171,935 187,806 208,917
Free Cashflow To Firm 155,780 189,140 201,569 223,919
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Cash And Equivalents 271,930 304,785 327,406 349,355
Total Debtors 255,210 270,848 296,136 328,339
Inventories 1,850 1,850 1,850 1,850
Total Other Current Assets 64,320 64,320 64,320 64,320
Total Current Assets 593,310 641,803 689,711 743,864
Fixed Assets 150,390 121,500 88,862 52,783
Total Investments 23,500 23,500 23,500 23,500
Intangible Assets 201,320 201,320 201,320 201,320
Total Other Non-Current Assets 29,250 29,250 29,250 29,250
Total Non-current Assets 404,460 375,570 342,932 306,853
Short-term Debt 1,040 1,040 1,040 1,040
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 58,530 62,116 67,916 75,301
Other Current Liabilities 167,690 167,690 167,690 167,690
Total Current Liabilities 227,260 230,846 236,646 244,031
Total Long-term Debt 22,230 22,230 22,230 22,230
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 65,570 65,570 65,570 65,570
Total Non-current Liabilities 87,800 87,800 87,800 87,800
Total Provisions
Total Liabilities 315,060 318,646 324,446 331,831
Shareholders Equity 682,710 698,727 708,197 718,886
Minority Interests
Total Equity 682,710 698,727 708,197 718,886
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue Growth 8.3% 6.1% 9.3% 10.9%
Operating EBITDA Growth 6.9% 5.3% 11.2% 12.0%
Operating EBITDA Margin 22.0% 21.8% 22.2% 22.4%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) 83.18 95.31 103.67 111.77
BVPS (Rs) 252.09 258.01 261.50 265.45
Gross Interest Cover
Effective Tax Rate 25.1% 25.4% 25.3% 25.1%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio 89.7% 90.8% 95.0% 95.0%
Accounts Receivables Days 84.73 82.30 81.13 80.59
Inventory Days 1.05 0.87 0.80 0.73
Accounts Payables Days 31.07 28.43 28.19 28.07
ROIC (%) 30.0% 33.5% 38.8% 45.2%
ROCE (%) 21.1% 21.7% 23.8% 26.5%
Return On Average Assets 15.5% 15.9% 17.5% 19.5%

Analyst(s)

Abhishek SHINDADKAR

(91) 22 4161 1543 abhishek.shindadkr@incredresearch.com

Smit GOSRANI

(91) 02241611554 smit.gosrani@incredresearch.com