* price as on 06 Jun 2025
Financial
Mar-25A Mar-26F Mar-27F Mar-28F
Revenue (Rsm) 115,608 134,554 153,766 172,064
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 15,511 18,892 21,273 22,975
Net Profit (Rsm) 8,364 10,871 12,548 13,672
Core EPS (Rs) 58.8 77.3 89.2 97.2
Core EPS Growth 24.3% 31.4% 15.4% 9.0%
FD Core P/E (x) 41.73 32.11 27.82 25.53
DPS (Rs) 12.0 14.0 15.0 15.0
Dividend Yield 0.53% 0.61% 0.65% 0.65%
EV/EBITDA (x) 22.43 17.83 15.54 14.49
P/FCFE (x) 49.94 28.88 46.25 (349.28)
Net Gearing (2.0%) (18.4%) (24.1%) (21.2%)
P/BV (x) 6.10 5.30 4.58 4.58
ROE 15.5% 17.7% 17.7% 17.9%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-25A Mar-26F Mar-27F Mar-28F
Total Net Revenues 115,608 134,554 153,766 172,064
Gross Profit 49,577 55,705 63,352 70,546
Operating EBITDA 15,511 18,892 21,273 22,975
Depreciation And Amortisation (5,387) (5,818) (6,283) (6,786)
Operating EBIT 10,124 13,074 14,990 16,189
Financial Income/(Expense) (468) (300) (200) (150)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 1,170 1,345 1,507 1,718
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 10,826 14,119 16,296 17,756
Exceptional Items 122
Pre-tax Profit 10,947 14,119 16,296 17,756
Taxation (2,584) (3,247) (3,748) (4,084)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 8,364 10,871 12,548 13,672
Minority Interests
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 8,364 10,871 12,548 13,672
Recurring Net Profit 8,271 10,871 12,548 13,672
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 8,271 10,871 12,548 13,672
(Rs mn) Mar-25A Mar-26F Mar-27F Mar-28F
EBITDA 15,511 18,892 21,273 22,975
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital 1,494 (5,041) 1 8,847
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions 421 (236) 232 466
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense
Other Operating Cashflow
Net Interest (Paid)/Received 702 1,045 1,307 1,568
Tax Paid (2,584) (3,247) (3,748) (4,084)
Cashflow From Operations 15,544 11,413 19,065 29,771
Capex (5,819) (5,659) (6,194) (7,224)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments
Other Investing Cashflow (4,377) 7,334 (4,324) (22,546)
Cash Flow From Investing (10,196) 1,675 (10,518) (29,771)
Debt Raised/(repaid) 1,641 (1,000) (1,000) (1,000)
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (1,847) (2,128) (2,269) (2,269)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow
Cash Flow From Financing (206) (3,128) (3,269) (3,269)
Total Cash Generated 5,142 9,959 5,278 (3,268)
Free Cashflow To Equity 6,989 12,088 7,547 (999)
Free Cashflow To Firm 5,817 13,388 8,747 151
(Rs mn) Mar-25A Mar-26F Mar-27F Mar-28F
Total Cash And Equivalents 10,189 20,149 25,426 22,158
Total Debtors 14,186 16,589 18,536 0
Inventories 9,364 12,165 13,481 0
Total Other Current Assets 5,412 6,344 6,868 7,225
Total Current Assets 39,150 55,246 64,311 29,383
Fixed Assets 28,477 28,659 28,875 36,375
Total Investments 8,036 12,036 16,036 20,036
Intangible Assets 3,405 3,065 2,758 2,482
Total Other Non-Current Assets 562 562 562 562
Total Non-current Assets 40,480 44,321 48,231 59,455
Short-term Debt 9,039 8,039 7,039 6,039
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 19,743 19,907 23,170 0
Other Current Liabilities 4,306 4,607 4,930 5,275
Total Current Liabilities 33,087 32,552 35,139 11,313
Total Long-term Debt
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities
Total Non-current Liabilities
Total Provisions 998 1,098 1,208 1,328
Total Liabilities 34,085 33,650 36,346 12,642
Shareholders Equity 57,174 65,917 76,196 76,196
Minority Interests
Total Equity 57,174 65,917 76,196 76,196
Mar-25A Mar-26F Mar-27F Mar-28F
Revenue Growth 13.1% 16.4% 14.3% 11.9%
Operating EBITDA Growth 18.6% 21.8% 12.6% 8.0%
Operating EBITDA Margin 13.4% 14.0% 13.8% 13.4%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) 8.18 86.09 130.72 114.59
BVPS (Rs) 406.46 468.62 541.69 541.69
Gross Interest Cover 21.63 43.58 74.95 107.93
Effective Tax Rate 23.6% 23.0% 23.0% 23.0%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio 22.4% 19.6% 18.1% 16.6%
Accounts Receivables Days 42.32 41.74 41.69 19.66
Inventory Days 49.99 49.83 51.77 24.23
Accounts Payables Days 98.91 91.77 86.95 41.65
ROIC (%) 20.0% 26.9% 26.9% 29.0%
ROCE (%) 16.4% 18.7% 19.1% 19.6%
Return On Average Assets 11.3% 12.4% 12.0% 13.7%

Analyst(s)

Pramod AMTHE

(91) 22 4161 1541 pramod.amthe@incredresearch.com

Ravi GUPTA

(91) 22 4161 1552 ravi.gupta@incredresearch.com