* price as on 27 Jan 2025
Financial
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue (Rsm) 71,472 74,597 82,818 92,804
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 13,028 11,419 13,665 16,612
Net Profit (Rsm) 7,704 5,822 8,191 10,420
Core EPS (Rs) 70.0 52.9 74.5 94.7
Core EPS Growth 40.1% (24.4%) 40.7% 27.2%
FD Core P/E (x) 19.29 25.52 18.14 14.26
DPS (Rs) 30.0 35.0 40.9 52.1
Dividend Yield 2.24% 2.62% 3.03% 3.86%
EV/EBITDA (x) 11.17 12.61 10.39 8.24
P/FCFE (x) 63.61 24.22 22.78 14.26
Net Gearing (13.3%) (15.9%) (18.8%) (26.2%)
P/BV (x) 3.49 3.34 3.08 2.81
ROE 19.9% 13.4% 17.7% 20.6%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Net Revenues 71,472 74,597 82,818 92,804
Gross Profit 36,352 36,378 39,753 45,845
Operating EBITDA 13,028 11,419 13,665 16,612
Depreciation And Amortisation (2,667) (2,716) (2,899) (3,155)
Operating EBIT 10,361 8,703 10,766 13,457
Financial Income/(Expense) (501) (549) 300 543
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense)
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 9,860 8,154 11,067 13,999
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 9,860 8,154 11,067 13,999
Taxation (2,156) (2,112) (2,656) (3,360)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 7,704 6,042 8,411 10,640
Minority Interests (220) (220) (220)
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 7,704 5,822 8,191 10,420
Recurring Net Profit 7,704 5,822 8,191 10,420
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 7,704 5,822 8,191 10,420
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
EBITDA 13,028 11,419 13,665 16,612
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital (2,606) (388) (1,671) (2,030)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense
Other Operating Cashflow
Net Interest (Paid)/Received
Tax Paid (2,775) (2,112) (2,656) (3,360)
Cashflow From Operations 7,647 8,919 9,338 11,222
Capex (853) (2,785) (2,815) (800)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries 71
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments
Other Investing Cashflow (4,545) 393 1,242 1,485
Cash Flow From Investing (5,327) (2,392) (1,573) 685
Debt Raised/(repaid) (4,458)
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares 146
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (3,058) (3,898) (4,505) (5,731)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow 4,708 (942) (942) (942)
Cash Flow From Financing (2,662) (4,840) (5,447) (6,673)
Total Cash Generated (342) 1,687 2,318 5,234
Free Cashflow To Equity 2,336 6,134 6,522 10,422
Free Cashflow To Firm 2,320 6,527 7,765 11,907
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Cash And Equivalents 10,593 12,060 14,158 19,172
Total Debtors 16,979 17,515 19,445 21,790
Inventories 4,676 4,905 5,446 6,102
Total Other Current Assets 3,343 3,343 3,343 3,343
Total Current Assets 35,591 37,823 42,392 50,407
Fixed Assets 7,749 7,818 7,734 5,379
Total Investments 3,598 3,598 3,598 3,598
Intangible Assets 21,089 21,089 21,089 21,089
Total Other Non-Current Assets 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009
Total Non-current Assets 34,445 34,514 34,430 32,075
Short-term Debt 1,743 1,743 1,743 1,743
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 6,878 7,255 8,055 9,026
Other Current Liabilities 7,960 7,960 7,960 7,960
Total Current Liabilities 16,581 16,958 17,758 18,729
Total Long-term Debt 2,783 2,783 2,783 2,783
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 5,103 5,103 5,103 5,103
Total Non-current Liabilities 7,886 7,886 7,886 7,886
Total Provisions
Total Liabilities 24,467 24,844 25,644 26,615
Shareholders Equity 42,581 44,505 48,190 52,879
Minority Interests 2,988 2,988 2,988 2,988
Total Equity 45,569 47,493 51,178 55,867
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue Growth 18.8% 4.4% 11.0% 12.1%
Operating EBITDA Growth 29.9% (12.4%) 19.7% 21.6%
Operating EBITDA Margin 18.2% 15.3% 16.5% 17.9%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) 55.15 68.49 87.56 133.13
BVPS (Rs) 387.06 404.54 438.05 480.67
Gross Interest Cover 8.93 9.24 11.43 14.29
Effective Tax Rate 21.9% 25.9% 24.0% 24.0%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio 33.7% 49.1% 41.5% 41.6%
Accounts Receivables Days 61.00 63.12 61.30 61.03
Inventory Days 46.94 45.75 43.86 44.88
Accounts Payables Days 72.85 67.49 64.88 66.38
ROIC (%) 21.7% 15.7% 19.7% 23.8%
ROCE (%) 17.2% 12.6% 15.2% 17.6%
Return On Average Assets 15.1% 12.0% 14.5% 17.1%

Analyst(s)

Abhishek SHINDADKAR

(91) 22 4161 1543 abhishek.shindadkr@incredresearch.com

Vikas Swami

(91) 22 4161 1544 vikas.swami@incredresearch.com