* price as on 19 Nov 2024
Financial
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue (Rsm) 698,291 695,564 755,806 845,520
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 91,326 92,840 99,393 107,040
Net Profit (Rsm) 60,600 58,512 62,115 66,160
Core EPS (Rs) 74.6 72.0 76.4 81.4
Core EPS Growth 28.7% (3.4%) 6.2% 6.5%
FD Core P/E (x) 24.53 25.41 23.94 22.47
DPS (Rs) 190.0 32.4 34.4 40.7
Dividend Yield 10.38% 1.77% 1.88% 2.22%
EV/EBITDA (x) 15.43 15.39 14.32 13.24
P/FCFE (x) 20.64 216.21 43.18 37.07
Net Gearing (73.1%) (41.5%) (36.5%) (33.8%)
P/BV (x) 13.94 10.71 8.59 7.21
ROE 39.5% 47.7% 39.8% 34.9%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Net Revenues 698,291 695,564 755,806 845,520
Gross Profit 182,361 194,758 210,870 234,209
Operating EBITDA 91,326 92,840 99,393 107,040
Depreciation And Amortisation (22,079) (23,625) (26,460) (30,429)
Operating EBIT 69,247 69,215 72,933 76,611
Financial Income/(Expense) 13,152 9,430 10,554 12,313
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense)
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 82,399 78,645 83,488 88,924
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 82,399 78,645 83,488 88,924
Taxation (21,798) (20,133) (21,373) (22,765)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 60,600 58,512 62,115 66,160
Minority Interests
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 60,600 58,512 62,115 66,160
Recurring Net Profit 60,600 58,512 62,115 66,160
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 60,600 58,512 62,115 66,160
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
EBITDA 91,326 92,840 99,393 107,040
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital 5,462 (18,262) 5,730 492
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions 12,390 (12,198) 4,226 6,126
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense
Other Operating Cashflow 659 (800) (100) (100)
Net Interest (Paid)/Received 13,152 9,430 10,554 12,313
Tax Paid (21,798) (20,133) (21,373) (22,765)
Cashflow From Operations 101,191 50,877 98,430 103,106
Capex (29,881) (40,000) (60,000) (50,000)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments
Other Investing Cashflow 716 (4,000) (4,000) (13,000)
Cash Flow From Investing (29,166) (44,000) (64,000) (63,000)
Debt Raised/(repaid)
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (154,358) (26,330) (27,952) (33,080)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow (12,683) (1,045) (1,075) (774)
Cash Flow From Financing (167,042) (27,375) (29,027) (33,854)
Total Cash Generated (95,016) (20,498) 5,403 6,252
Free Cashflow To Equity 72,026 6,877 34,430 40,106
Free Cashflow To Firm 73,606 8,497 36,030 41,406
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Cash And Equivalents 90,173 67,879 71,923 74,311
Total Debtors 25,100 34,302 35,202 39,380
Inventories 33,156 41,924 43,485 46,330
Total Other Current Assets 9,371 10,800 11,900 13,100
Total Current Assets 157,801 154,905 162,509 173,121
Fixed Assets 82,673 99,048 132,588 152,159
Total Investments 6,654 10,654 14,654 27,654
Intangible Assets
Total Other Non-Current Assets 16,364 17,300 18,300 19,000
Total Non-current Assets 105,691 127,002 165,542 198,813
Short-term Debt
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 74,931 74,638 82,828 90,343
Other Current Liabilities 56,699 43,830 47,626 53,279
Total Current Liabilities 131,629 118,468 130,454 143,623
Total Long-term Debt 12,211 10,211 8,711 4,711
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities
Total Non-current Liabilities 12,211 10,211 8,711 4,711
Total Provisions 29,360 31,595 34,025 36,297
Total Liabilities 173,200 160,274 173,190 184,631
Shareholders Equity 106,657 138,838 173,001 206,081
Minority Interests
Total Equity 106,657 138,838 173,001 206,081
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue Growth 15.8% (0.4%) 8.7% 11.9%
Operating EBITDA Growth 21.0% 1.7% 7.1% 7.7%
Operating EBITDA Margin 13.1% 13.3% 13.2% 12.7%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) 95.95 70.97 77.79 85.66
BVPS (Rs) 131.26 170.87 212.91 253.63
Gross Interest Cover 43.81 42.73 45.58 58.93
Effective Tax Rate 26.5% 25.6% 25.6% 25.6%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio 254.7% 45.0% 45.0% 50.0%
Accounts Receivables Days 14.13 15.59 16.78 16.10
Inventory Days 23.83 27.36 28.60 26.81
Accounts Payables Days 52.83 54.50 52.74 51.70
ROIC (%) 105.5% 130.6% 56.8% 45.6%
ROCE (%) 46.0% 53.2% 46.5% 42.0%
Return On Average Assets 17.0% 19.2% 18.1% 16.6%

Analyst(s)

Pramod AMTHE

(91) 22 4161 1541 pramod.amthe@incredresearch.com

Ravi GUPTA

(91) 02241611552 ravi.gupta@incredresearch.com