* price as on 19 Nov 2024
Financial
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue (Rsm) 167,600 188,250 226,240 259,689
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 13,660 16,523 20,137 22,745
Net Profit (Rsm) 5,330 7,502 10,266 11,900
Core EPS (Rs) 35.0 46.2 63.2 73.3
Core EPS Growth 19.3% 32.1% 36.8% 15.9%
FD Core P/E (x) 34.14 25.85 18.89 16.30
DPS (Rs) 7.0 7.5 8.0 8.5
Dividend Yield 0.59% 0.63% 0.67% 0.71%
EV/EBITDA (x) 15.98 13.17 11.00 9.81
P/FCFE (x) 116.22 25.01 64.91 66.41
Net Gearing 42.0% 36.8% 37.8% 34.9%
P/BV (x) 3.38 3.04 2.67 2.33
ROE 10.3% 12.4% 15.0% 15.3%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Net Revenues 167,600 188,250 226,240 259,689
Gross Profit 95,410 110,182 128,504 146,724
Operating EBITDA 13,660 16,523 20,137 22,745
Depreciation And Amortisation (3,680) (3,701) (4,083) (4,450)
Operating EBIT 9,980 12,822 16,055 18,295
Financial Income/(Expense) (3,370) (3,915) (3,597) (3,777)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 1,130 1,203 1,323 1,456
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 7,740 10,110 13,781 15,973
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 7,740 10,110 13,781 15,973
Taxation (2,060) (2,608) (3,514) (4,073)
Exceptional Income - post-tax (350)
Profit After Tax 5,330 7,502 10,266 11,900
Minority Interests
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 5,330 7,502 10,266 11,900
Recurring Net Profit 5,680 7,502 10,266 11,900
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 5,680 7,502 10,266 11,900
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
EBITDA 7,740 10,110 13,781 15,973
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital (5,800) (2,990) (11,544) (14,236)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense 3,680 3,701 4,083 4,450
Other Operating Cashflow 1,160
Net Interest (Paid)/Received 2,390 3,915 3,597 3,777
Tax Paid (2,030) (2,608) (3,514) (4,073)
Cashflow From Operations 7,140 12,128 6,403 5,891
Capex (2,890) (4,968) (3,971) (3,474)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments (190) (1,031) (1,154) (1,293)
Other Investing Cashflow (1,590)
Cash Flow From Investing (4,670) (5,999) (5,126) (4,767)
Debt Raised/(repaid) (800) 1,632 1,713 1,799
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (1,140) (1,221) (1,302) (1,384)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow 180 (3,915) (3,597) (3,777)
Cash Flow From Financing (1,760) (3,505) (3,187) (3,362)
Total Cash Generated 710 2,624 (1,910) (2,238)
Free Cashflow To Equity 1,670 7,760 2,990 2,923
Free Cashflow To Firm 80 2,214 (2,320) (2,653)
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Cash And Equivalents 8,490 10,770 8,503 8,673
Total Debtors 53,930 64,469 77,479 92,492
Inventories 12,400 14,441 17,355 19,921
Total Other Current Assets 89,530 89,226 108,471 124,508
Total Current Assets 164,350 178,906 211,809 245,595
Fixed Assets 16,678 17,945 17,834 16,858
Total Investments 8,590 9,621 10,775 12,068
Intangible Assets 200 200 200 200
Total Other Non-Current Assets 10,080 10,584 11,113 8,891
Total Non-current Assets 35,548 38,350 39,922 38,017
Short-term Debt 21,190 22,250 23,362 24,530
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 52,360 60,343 72,521 81,820
Other Current Liabilities 50,950 51,575 61,984 71,148
Total Current Liabilities 124,500 134,168 157,866 177,498
Total Long-term Debt 11,440 12,012 12,613 13,243
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 1,978 2,132 2,298 2,478
Total Non-current Liabilities 13,418 14,144 14,911 15,721
Total Provisions 4,480 5,158 6,198 7,115
Total Liabilities 142,398 153,470 178,976 200,333
Shareholders Equity 57,500 63,786 72,756 83,279
Minority Interests
Total Equity 57,500 63,786 72,756 83,279
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue Growth 16.9% 12.3% 20.2% 14.8%
Operating EBITDA Growth 17.8% 21.0% 21.9% 12.9%
Operating EBITDA Margin 8.2% 8.8% 8.9% 8.8%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) 148.61 144.62 169.11 179.14
BVPS (Rs) 353.97 392.67 447.89 512.67
Gross Interest Cover 2.96 3.28 4.46 4.84
Effective Tax Rate 26.6% 25.8% 25.5% 25.5%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio 20.1% 16.3% 12.7% 11.6%
Accounts Receivables Days 112.56 114.78 114.51 119.45
Inventory Days 58.84 62.75 59.37 60.22
Accounts Payables Days 248.22 263.46 248.09 249.34
ROIC (%) 9.4% 11.3% 12.3% 12.5%
ROCE (%) 11.6% 13.6% 15.5% 15.9%
Return On Average Assets 4.3% 5.0% 5.5% 5.5%

Analyst(s)

Arafat SAIYED

(91) 22 4161 1542 arafat.saiyed@incredresearch.com

Anirvan DIVAKERA

(91) 02241611548 anirvan.divakera@incredresearch.com