* price as on 19 Nov 2024
Financial
Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue (Rsm) 3,588 4,379 5,163 6,376
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 775 926 959 1,154
Net Profit (Rsm) 500 605 560 700
Core EPS (Rs) 7.7 7.8 7.2 9.1
Core EPS Growth (61.9%) 1.7% (7.4%) 25.0%
FD Core P/E (x) 32.72 32.18 34.75 27.80
DPS (Rs)
Dividend Yield
EV/EBITDA (x) 22.68 19.71 21.20 17.18
P/FCFE (x) 135.34 (5.54) 19.56 23.48
Net Gearing 84.7% (21.8%) 14.5% 5.7%
P/BV (x) 11.52 3.52 3.29 3.02
ROE 39.9% 17.4% 9.8% 11.3%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Net Revenues 3,588 4,379 5,163 6,376
Gross Profit 1,285 1,794 1,962 2,436
Operating EBITDA 775 926 959 1,154
Depreciation And Amortisation (58) (120) (144) (175)
Operating EBIT 717 806 815 979
Financial Income/(Expense) (90) (116) (115) (132)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 32 153 68 112
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 658 844 767 959
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 658 844 767 959
Taxation (158) (239) (207) (259)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 500 605 560 700
Minority Interests
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 500 605 560 700
Recurring Net Profit 500 605 560 700
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 500 605 560 700
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
EBITDA 697 822 843 1,022
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital (25) (688) 577 (311)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense
Other Operating Cashflow
Net Interest (Paid)/Received 85 111 115 132
Tax Paid (190) (297) (207) (259)
Cashflow From Operations 568 (52) 1,329 584
Capex (194) (837) (1,600) (70)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments
Other Investing Cashflow (305) (1,650) 276 112
Cash Flow From Investing (499) (2,487) (1,325) 42
Debt Raised/(repaid) 14 (695) 991 203
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares 3,500
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow (92) (148) (174) (200)
Cash Flow From Financing (77) 2,657 817 3
Total Cash Generated (8) 118 821 629
Free Cashflow To Equity 84 (3,234) 995 829
Free Cashflow To Firm (16) (2,650) (112) 495
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Cash And Equivalents 23 1,910 962 1,591
Total Debtors 727 969 849 1,048
Inventories 1,206 1,352 1,316 1,565
Total Other Current Assets 227 359 292 358
Total Current Assets 2,184 4,589 3,419 4,563
Fixed Assets 582 1,276 2,561 2,260
Total Investments 7 215 7 7
Intangible Assets 6 6 6 6
Total Other Non-Current Assets 331 491 590 507
Total Non-current Assets 926 1,988 3,164 2,780
Short-term Debt
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 241 214 395 540
Other Current Liabilities 193 118 279 338
Total Current Liabilities 434 331 674 878
Total Long-term Debt 1,147 452 1,443 1,646
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 80 252 379 311
Total Non-current Liabilities 1,228 703 1,822 1,956
Total Provisions 27 14 27 27
Total Liabilities 1,688 1,049 2,523 2,861
Shareholders Equity 1,422 5,528 5,912 6,438
Minority Interests
Total Equity 1,422 5,528 5,912 6,438
Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue Growth 8.1% 22.0% 17.9% 23.5%
Operating EBITDA Growth 0.2% 19.6% 3.5% 20.4%
Operating EBITDA Margin 21.6% 21.2% 18.6% 18.1%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) (18.53) 15.62 (11.12) (4.72)
BVPS (Rs) 21.87 71.53 76.50 83.30
Gross Interest Cover 7.93 6.98 7.06 7.43
Effective Tax Rate 24.0% 28.4% 27.0% 27.0%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio
Accounts Receivables Days 65.40 70.67 64.24 54.29
Inventory Days 182.61 180.63 152.05 133.43
Accounts Payables Days 37.47 32.08 34.68 43.28
ROIC (%) 20.3% 14.6% 12.3% 15.0%
ROCE (%) 29.3% 18.2% 11.7% 12.1%
Return On Average Assets 19.7% 14.3% 9.8% 11.5%

Analyst(s)

Arafat SAIYED

(91) 22 4161 1542 arafat.saiyed@incredresearch.com

Anirvan DIVAKERA

(91) 02241611548 anirvan.divakera@incredresearch.com