* price as on 19 Nov 2024
Financial
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue (Rsm) 27,466 40,830 49,905 59,234
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 2,619 3,787 4,627 5,591
Net Profit (Rsm) 1,371 2,081 2,638 3,321
Core EPS (Rs) 5.3 8.0 10.1 12.8
Core EPS Growth 77.0% 51.7% 26.8% 25.9%
FD Core P/E (x) 128.27 84.53 66.68 52.96
DPS (Rs)
Dividend Yield
EV/EBITDA (x) 68.39 47.71 38.75 31.57
P/FCFE (x) (42.43) 173.61 62.22 39.39
Net Gearing 31.1% 38.3% 22.7% 3.3%
P/BV (x) 16.94 14.11 11.65 9.55
ROE 19.1% 18.2% 19.1% 19.8%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Net Revenues 27,466 40,830 49,905 59,234
Gross Profit 5,403 7,838 9,332 11,077
Operating EBITDA 2,619 3,787 4,627 5,591
Depreciation And Amortisation (466) (657) (712) (785)
Operating EBIT 2,153 3,130 3,915 4,806
Financial Income/(Expense) (517) (657) (720) (807)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc. 25 81 137
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 130 171 150 178
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 1,766 2,668 3,426 4,313
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 1,766 2,668 3,426 4,313
Taxation (395) (588) (788) (992)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 1,371 2,081 2,638 3,321
Minority Interests
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 1,371 2,081 2,638 3,321
Recurring Net Profit 1,371 2,081 2,638 3,321
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 1,371 2,081 2,638 3,321
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
EBITDA 1,765 2,668 3,426 4,313
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital (649) (970) (1,815) (1,820)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense 1,051 2,883 3,328 3,842
Other Operating Cashflow
Net Interest (Paid)/Received
Tax Paid (303) (588) (788) (992)
Cashflow From Operations 1,863 3,993 4,151 5,344
Capex (2,268) (3,600) (1,500) (1,500)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries 10
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments (1,734) 13 (504) (140)
Other Investing Cashflow
Cash Flow From Investing (3,992) (3,587) (2,004) (1,640)
Debt Raised/(repaid) (2,017) 607 679 761
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares 4,918
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow (557) (727) (800) (887)
Cash Flow From Financing 2,344 (121) (121) (126)
Total Cash Generated 215 286 2,027 3,578
Free Cashflow To Equity (4,146) 1,013 2,827 4,465
Free Cashflow To Firm (2,129) 407 2,147 3,704
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Cash And Equivalents 1,824 890 2,916 6,495
Total Debtors 5,558 6,193 7,707 9,472
Inventories 5,434 5,875 7,781 9,236
Total Other Current Assets 1,269 1,935 2,092 2,483
Total Current Assets 14,085 14,893 20,496 27,685
Fixed Assets 8,446 10,861 11,661 12,388
Total Investments 258 245 749 889
Intangible Assets 12 12 12 12
Total Other Non-Current Assets 285 817 200 237
Total Non-current Assets 9,001 11,935 12,621 13,526
Short-term Debt 2,482 2,779 3,113 3,486
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 6,464 7,104 8,683 10,288
Other Current Liabilities 684 817 998 1,185
Total Current Liabilities 9,629 10,700 12,794 14,959
Total Long-term Debt 2,573 2,882 3,228 3,615
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 414 612 749 889
Total Non-current Liabilities 2,987 3,494 3,976 4,503
Total Provisions 89 367 449 533
Total Liabilities 12,705 14,562 17,220 19,995
Shareholders Equity 10,381 12,461 15,099 18,421
Minority Interests
Total Equity 10,381 12,461 15,099 18,421
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue Growth 27.2% 48.7% 22.2% 18.7%
Operating EBITDA Growth 48.8% 44.6% 22.2% 20.8%
Operating EBITDA Margin 9.5% 9.3% 9.3% 9.4%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) (12.41) (18.33) (13.16) (2.33)
BVPS (Rs) 39.89 47.88 58.02 70.78
Gross Interest Cover 4.16 4.76 5.44 5.96
Effective Tax Rate 22.3% 22.0% 23.0% 23.0%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio
Accounts Receivables Days 65.84 52.22 50.50 52.59
Inventory Days 74.18 62.56 61.43 64.49
Accounts Payables Days 85.73 75.05 71.01 71.89
ROIC (%) 12.1% 13.7% 15.2% 16.6%
ROCE (%) 16.7% 18.7% 19.8% 20.5%
Return On Average Assets 9.3% 10.4% 10.7% 10.6%

Analyst(s)

Arafat SAIYED

(91) 22 4161 1542 arafat.saiyed@incredresearch.com

Anirvan DIVAKERA

(91) 02241611548 anirvan.divakera@incredresearch.com