* price as on 19 Nov 2024
Financial
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue (Rsm) 56,804 62,792 67,275 73,747
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 19,008 21,132 22,663 25,099
Net Profit (Rsm) 13,432 15,126 16,465 18,263
Core EPS (Rs) 49.4 55.6 60.5 67.1
Core EPS Growth 26.9% 12.6% 8.8% 10.9%
FD Core P/E (x) 55.36 49.15 45.16 40.71
DPS (Rs) 46.9 52.8 57.5 63.8
Dividend Yield 1.57% 1.93% 2.10% 2.33%
EV/EBITDA (x) 38.43 34.66 32.29 29.15
P/FCFE (x) 44.47 59.99 45.38 42.39
Net Gearing (69.5%) (56.6%) (58.0%) (56.4%)
P/BV (x) 39.67 38.13 36.58 35.01
ROE 74.8% 79.1% 82.7% 87.9%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Net Revenues 56,804 62,792 67,275 73,747
Gross Profit 39,575 43,935 47,273 52,042
Operating EBITDA 19,008 21,132 22,663 25,099
Depreciation And Amortisation (1,715) (1,754) (1,724) (1,809)
Operating EBIT 17,293 19,379 20,939 23,289
Financial Income/(Expense) 680 861 1,093 1,150
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 35 37 39 41
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 18,008 20,277 22,071 24,481
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 18,008 20,277 22,071 24,481
Taxation (4,577) (5,150) (5,606) (6,218)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 13,432 15,126 16,465 18,263
Minority Interests
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 13,432 15,126 16,465 18,263
Recurring Net Profit 13,432 15,126 16,465 18,263
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 13,432 15,126 16,465 18,263
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
EBITDA 19,008 21,132 22,663 25,099
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital 2,544 (2,985) (304) (531)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense
Other Operating Cashflow 765 938 1,162 1,231
Net Interest (Paid)/Received (50) (40) (30) (40)
Tax Paid (4,577) (5,150) (5,606) (6,218)
Cashflow From Operations 17,691 13,895 17,885 19,541
Capex (1,000) (1,500) (1,500) (2,000)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments
Other Investing Cashflow
Cash Flow From Investing (1,000) (1,500) (1,500) (2,000)
Debt Raised/(repaid) 28
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (11,670) (14,370) (15,642) (17,349)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow (591) (40) (30) (40)
Cash Flow From Financing (12,233) (14,410) (15,672) (17,389)
Total Cash Generated 4,458 (2,015) 714 152
Free Cashflow To Equity 16,719 12,395 16,385 17,541
Free Cashflow To Firm 16,741 12,435 16,415 17,581
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Cash And Equivalents 13,738 11,763 12,506 12,698
Total Debtors 1,674 1,032 1,290 1,414
Inventories 2,964 2,236 2,580 2,829
Total Other Current Assets 3,898 6,021 6,451 7,072
Total Current Assets 22,274 21,052 22,828 24,012
Fixed Assets 9,043 8,790 8,566 8,756
Total Investments
Intangible Assets
Total Other Non-Current Assets 648 648 648 648
Total Non-current Assets 9,691 9,437 9,213 9,404
Short-term Debt
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors
Other Current Liabilities 11,302 9,131 9,778 10,129
Total Current Liabilities 11,302 9,131 9,778 10,129
Total Long-term Debt
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 718 718 718 718
Total Non-current Liabilities 718 718 718 718
Total Provisions 1,202 1,141 1,222 1,333
Total Liabilities 13,222 10,990 11,718 12,180
Shareholders Equity 18,744 19,500 20,323 21,236
Minority Interests
Total Equity 18,744 19,500 20,323 21,236
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue Growth 8.7% 10.5% 7.1% 9.6%
Operating EBITDA Growth 22.9% 11.2% 7.2% 10.7%
Operating EBITDA Margin 33.5% 33.7% 33.7% 34.0%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) 47.87 40.61 43.34 44.05
BVPS (Rs) 68.91 71.69 74.72 78.07
Gross Interest Cover 345.86 484.47 697.96 582.23
Effective Tax Rate 25.4% 25.4% 25.4% 25.4%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio 86.9% 95.0% 95.0% 95.0%
Accounts Receivables Days 10.43 7.87 6.30 6.69
Inventory Days 66.93 50.33 43.95 45.48
Accounts Payables Days
ROIC (%) 249.7% 201.9% 214.6% 219.9%
ROCE (%) 95.8% 101.5% 106.2% 113.2%
Return On Average Assets 41.9% 45.7% 49.2% 52.3%

Analyst(s)

Rohan KALLE

(91) 22 4161 1561 rohan.kalle@incredresearch.com

Nishant BAGRECHA

(91) 22 4161 1564 nishant.bagrecha@incredresearch.com

Saurabh SINGH

(91) 2241611558 saurabh.singh@incredresearch.com