* price as on 19 Nov 2024
Financial
Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue (Rsm) 7,210 7,632 8,254 8,921
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 2,191 2,335 2,639 2,870
Net Profit (Rsm) 1,600 1,726 1,986 2,205
Core EPS (Rs) 9.2 9.9 11.4 12.7
Core EPS Growth (11.9%) 7.8% 15.1% 11.0%
FD Core P/E (x) 59.61 55.28 48.04 43.27
DPS (Rs)
Dividend Yield
EV/EBITDA (x) 43.26 40.09 35.04 31.63
P/FCFE (x) (671.07) 81.22 93.08 63.43
Net Gearing (9.1%) (20.9%) (27.8%) (36.3%)
P/BV (x) 14.00 11.17 9.06 7.49
ROE 26.6% 22.5% 20.8% 19.0%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Net Revenues 7,210 7,632 8,254 8,921
Gross Profit 3,850 4,106 4,464 4,841
Operating EBITDA 2,191 2,335 2,639 2,870
Depreciation And Amortisation (251) (234) (271) (309)
Operating EBIT 1,940 2,101 2,368 2,561
Financial Income/(Expense) (14) (14) (14) (14)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 240 220 301 400
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 2,166 2,307 2,655 2,948
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 2,166 2,307 2,655 2,948
Taxation (566) (581) (669) (743)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 1,600 1,726 1,986 2,205
Minority Interests
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 1,600 1,726 1,986 2,205
Recurring Net Profit 1,600 1,726 1,986 2,205
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 1,600 1,726 1,986 2,205
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
EBITDA 2,191 2,335 2,639 2,870
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital (329) (309) (375) (354)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense
Other Operating Cashflow 82 (56) (56) (56)
Net Interest (Paid)/Received (14) (14) (14) (14)
Tax Paid (600) (581) (669) (743)
Cashflow From Operations 1,330 1,375 1,525 1,704
Capex (593) (200) (500) (200)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments
Other Investing Cashflow (880)
Cash Flow From Investing (1,473) (200) (500) (200)
Debt Raised/(repaid)
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow (42)
Cash Flow From Financing (42)
Total Cash Generated (185) 1,175 1,025 1,504
Free Cashflow To Equity (142) 1,175 1,025 1,504
Free Cashflow To Firm (129) 1,188 1,038 1,518
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Cash And Equivalents 656 1,838 2,971 4,668
Total Debtors 2,394 2,671 2,971 3,256
Inventories 1,257 1,330 1,439 1,555
Total Other Current Assets 2,344 2,344 2,344 2,344
Total Current Assets 6,650 8,183 9,725 11,822
Fixed Assets 1,510 1,610 2,010 2,110
Total Investments 305 405 505 605
Intangible Assets 0 51 51 51
Total Other Non-Current Assets 155 155 155 155
Total Non-current Assets 1,970 2,221 2,721 2,921
Short-term Debt 19 50 50 50
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 538 580 613 661
Other Current Liabilities 1,182 1,182 1,182 1,182
Total Current Liabilities 1,739 1,812 1,845 1,893
Total Long-term Debt 15
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 41 41 41 41
Total Non-current Liabilities 57 41 41 41
Total Provisions 10 10 10 10
Total Liabilities 1,806 1,864 1,897 1,944
Shareholders Equity 6,815 8,541 10,526 12,731
Minority Interests
Total Equity 6,815 8,541 10,526 12,731
Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue Growth 5.5% 5.9% 8.1% 8.1%
Operating EBITDA Growth (12.1%) 6.6% 13.0% 8.8%
Operating EBITDA Margin 30.4% 30.6% 32.0% 32.2%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) 3.59 10.31 16.84 26.62
BVPS (Rs) 39.29 49.23 60.68 73.39
Gross Interest Cover 142.66 154.47 174.09 188.34
Effective Tax Rate 26.1% 25.2% 25.2% 25.2%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio
Accounts Receivables Days 118.17 121.12 124.76 127.40
Inventory Days 125.31 133.90 133.31 133.91
Accounts Payables Days 59.94 57.87 57.46 57.00
ROIC (%) 24.4% 24.6% 24.7% 25.1%
ROCE (%) 31.7% 27.2% 24.7% 21.9%
Return On Average Assets 20.4% 18.2% 17.5% 16.3%

Analyst(s)

Satish KUMAR

(91) 22 4161 1562 satish.kumar@incredresearch.com

Abbas PUNJANI

(91) 22 4161 1598 abbas.punjani@incredresearch.com