* price as on 06 Jun 2025
Financial
Mar-25A Mar-26F Mar-27F Mar-28F
Net Interest Income (Rsm) 370,720 369,708 426,862 478,038
Total Non-Interest Income (Rsm) 224,528 184,549 191,017 200,150
Operating Revenue (Rsm) 595,248 554,257 617,879 678,189
Total Provision Charges (Rsm) (87,636) (86,968) (91,230) (88,361)
Net Profit (Rsm) 170,267 119,766 141,744 164,169
Core EPS (Rs) 18.77 13.20 15.63 18.10
Core EPS Growth 17% (30%) 18% 16%
FD Core P/E (x) 6.16 8.76 7.40 6.39
DPS (Rs) 4.00 2.64 3.13 3.62
Dividend Yield 3.46% 2.28% 2.70% 3.13%
BVPS (Rs) 110.1 121.6 137.6 156.0
P/BV (x) 1.05 0.95 0.84 0.74
ROE 18.2% 11.4% 12.1% 12.3%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-25A Mar-26F Mar-27F Mar-28F
Net Interest Income 370,720 369,708 426,862 478,038
Total Non-Interest Income 224,528 184,549 191,017 200,150
Operating Revenue 595,248 554,257 617,879 678,189
Total Non-Interest Expenses (281,345) (307,600) (337,656) (370,936)
Pre-provision Operating Profit 313,903 246,657 280,223 307,253
Total Provision Charges (87,636) (86,968) (91,230) (88,361)
Operating Profit After Provisions 226,267 159,689 188,992 218,892
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Operating EBIT (incl Associates) 226,267 159,689 188,992 218,892
Non-Operating Income/(Expense)
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 226,267 159,689 188,992 218,892
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 226,267 159,689 188,992 218,892
Taxation (56,000) (39,922) (47,248) (54,723)
Consolidation Adjustments & Others
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 170,267 119,766 141,744 164,169
Minority Interests
Pref. & Special Div
FX And Other Adj.
Net Profit 170,267 119,766 141,744 164,169
(Rs mn) Mar-25A Mar-26F Mar-27F Mar-28F
Gross Loans/Cust Deposits
Avg Loans/Avg Deposits 71.5% 72.4% 73.0% 73.6%
Avg Liquid Assets/Avg Assets 96.9% 97.2% 97.2% 97.3%
Avg Liquid Assets/Avg IEAs 113.1% 114.4% 114.3% 114.3%
Net Cust Loans/Assets
Net Cust Loans/Broad Deposits
Equity & Provns/Gross Cust Loans
Asset Risk Weighting
Provision Charge/Avg Cust Loans 0.88% 0.78% 0.73% 0.63%
Provision Charge/Avg Assets 0.55% 0.49% 0.46% 0.40%
Total Write Offs/Average Assets
(Rs mn) Mar-25A Mar-26F Mar-27F Mar-28F
Total Gross Loans 10,491,550 11,749,341 13,157,923 14,735,374
Liquid Assets & Invst. (Current) 3,803,434 4,121,091 4,492,129 4,894,862
Other Int. Earning Assets
Total Gross Int. Earning Assets 14,294,984 15,870,432 17,650,052 19,630,236
Total Provisions/Loan Loss Reserve
Total Net Interest Earning Assets 14,294,984 15,870,432 17,650,052 19,630,236
Intangible Assets
Other Non-Interest Earning Assets 377,959 419,534 465,683 516,908
Total Non-Interest Earning Assets 480,110 523,728 571,961 625,312
Cash And Marketable Securities 2,053,402 2,279,276 2,529,996 2,808,296
Long-term Investments
Total Assets 16,828,496 18,673,436 20,752,008 23,063,842
Customer Interest-Bearing Liabilities 14,568,832 16,171,403 17,950,258 19,924,786
Bank Deposits
Interest Bearing Liabilities: Others
Total Interest-Bearing Liabilities 15,127,386 16,791,398 18,638,452 20,688,682
Banks Liabilities Under Acceptances
Total Non-Interest Bearing Liabilities 702,109 779,341 865,069 960,226
Total Liabilities 15,829,495 17,570,740 19,503,520 21,648,908
Shareholders Equity 999,001 1,102,697 1,248,488 1,414,935
Minority Interests
Total Equity 999,001 1,102,697 1,248,488 1,414,935
Mar-25A Mar-26F Mar-27F Mar-28F
Total Income Growth 1.4% (0.3%) 15.5% 12.0%
Operating Profit Growth 6.7% (21.4%) 13.6% 9.6%
Pretax Profit Growth 15% (29%) 18% 16%
Net Interest To Total Income 62.3% 66.7% 69.1% 70.5%
Cost Of Funds 5.80% 5.21% 5.16% 5.16%
Return On Interest Earning Assets 8.8% 8.0% 8.0% 8.0%
Net Interest Spread 3.01% 2.75% 2.84% 2.85%
Net Interest Margin (Avg Deposits) 2.68% 2.41% 2.50% 2.52%
Net Interest Margin (Avg RWA)
Provisions to Pre Prov. Operating Profit 28% 35% 33% 29%
Interest Return On Average Assets 2.34% 2.08% 2.17% 2.18%
Effective Tax Rate 24.7% 25.0% 25.0% 25.0%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio 21.3% 20.0% 20.0% 20.0%
Return On Average Assets 1.07% 0.67% 0.72% 0.75%

Analyst(s)

Bhavik Shah

(91) 22 4161 1551 bhavik.shah@incredresearch.com

Rishabh JOGANI

(91) 22 4161 1569 rishabh.jogani@incredresearch.com