* price as on 19 Nov 2024
Financial
Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue (Rsm) 77,675 78,450 90,550 105,256
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 23,669 22,030 27,899 35,817
Net Profit (Rsm) 18,225 16,000 19,634 25,965
Core EPS (Rs) 68.7 60.3 74.0 97.8
Core EPS Growth (38.4%) (12.2%) 22.7% 32.2%
FD Core P/E (x) 85.95 97.91 79.78 60.33
DPS (Rs)
Dividend Yield
EV/EBITDA (x) 64.37 69.26 54.67 42.32
P/FCFE (x) 35.23 103.13 62.74 52.59
Net Gearing (33.0%) (29.3%) (27.5%) (29.8%)
P/BV (x) 12.27 11.54 10.63 9.32
ROE 14.9% 12.1% 13.9% 16.5%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Net Revenues 77,675 78,450 90,550 105,256
Gross Profit 47,138 47,160 54,330 64,627
Operating EBITDA 23,669 22,030 27,899 35,817
Depreciation And Amortisation (3,432) (3,780) (4,300) (4,700)
Operating EBIT 20,237 18,250 23,599 31,117
Financial Income/(Expense) (7) (30) (30) (30)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 3,447 3,410 3,700 4,000
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 23,677 21,630 27,269 35,087
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 23,677 21,630 27,269 35,087
Taxation (5,453) (5,630) (7,635) (9,123)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 18,225 16,000 19,634 25,965
Minority Interests
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 18,225 16,000 19,634 25,965
Recurring Net Profit 18,225 16,000 19,634 25,965
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 18,225 16,000 19,634 25,965
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
EBITDA 23,669 22,030 27,899 35,817
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital 4,188 (6,070) (279) (7,801)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense
Other Operating Cashflow (3,260) (3,350) (7,635) (9,123)
Net Interest (Paid)/Received (7) (30) (30) (30)
Tax Paid (6,709) (6,730) (11,305) (13,093)
Cashflow From Operations 24,597 12,610 19,985 18,894
Capex (4,730) (10,030) (15,000) (8,000)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments
Other Investing Cashflow
Cash Flow From Investing 19,867 2,580 4,985 10,894
Debt Raised/(repaid)
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (7,964) (7,960) (7,964) (5,309)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow 2,039 3,049 3,817 3,991
Cash Flow From Financing (5,925) (4,911) (4,147) (1,319)
Total Cash Generated 13,942 (2,331) 838 9,575
Free Cashflow To Equity 44,465 15,190 24,970 29,788
Free Cashflow To Firm 44,471 15,220 25,000 29,818
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Cash And Equivalents 42,131 39,800 40,638 50,213
Total Debtors 17,925 21,560 21,732 25,261
Inventories 30,004 31,840 30,787 35,787
Total Other Current Assets 3,057 3,550 3,622 4,210
Total Current Assets 93,117 96,750 96,779 115,472
Fixed Assets 49,292 55,130 65,830 69,130
Total Investments 771 820 820 820
Intangible Assets 53 40 40 40
Total Other Non-Current Assets 1,155 1,960 1,960 1,960
Total Non-current Assets 51,270 57,950 68,650 71,950
Short-term Debt
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 7,625 8,240 8,134 9,050
Other Current Liabilities 3,386 4,540 3,559 3,959
Total Current Liabilities 11,011 12,780 11,692 13,009
Total Long-term Debt 147 168
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 5,706 6,210 6,210 6,210
Total Non-current Liabilities 5,706 6,210 6,357 6,378
Total Provisions
Total Liabilities 16,717 18,990 18,050 19,387
Shareholders Equity 127,671 135,710 147,380 168,035
Minority Interests
Total Equity 127,671 135,710 147,380 168,035
Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue Growth (13.3%) 1.0% 15.4% 16.2%
Operating EBITDA Growth (39.0%) (6.9%) 26.6% 28.4%
Operating EBITDA Margin 30.5% 28.1% 30.8% 34.0%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) 158.70 149.92 152.53 188.52
BVPS (Rs) 480.93 511.21 555.17 632.98
Gross Interest Cover 3,020.51 608.33 786.64 1,037.24
Effective Tax Rate 23.0% 26.0% 28.0% 26.0%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio
Accounts Receivables Days 99.07 91.86 87.25 81.48
Inventory Days 348.36 360.71 315.56 299.04
Accounts Payables Days 93.12 92.53 82.50 77.19
ROIC (%) 16.7% 13.5% 15.7% 18.9%
ROCE (%) 16.5% 13.9% 16.7% 19.7%
Return On Average Assets 13.1% 10.7% 12.3% 14.7%

Analyst(s)

Praful BOHRA

(91) 22 4161 1552 praful.bohra@incredresearch.com

Yogesh SONI

(91) 22 4161 1566 yogesh.soni@incredresearch.com