* price as on 06 Jun 2025
Financial
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue (Rsm) 52,781 53,752 55,640 61,557
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 8,362 6,974 7,456 8,433
Net Profit (Rsm) 6,238 5,168 5,633 6,475
Core EPS (Rs) 22.2 18.3 20.0 23.0
Core EPS Growth 29.8% (17.5%) 9.0% 15.0%
FD Core P/E (x) 18.50 22.43 20.57 17.90
DPS (Rs) 6.5 6.5 9.5 11.0
Dividend Yield 1.58% 1.58% 2.31% 2.68%
EV/EBITDA (x) 12.12 14.00 12.65 10.82
P/FCFE (x) 20.78 22.17 23.25 22.90
Net Gearing (46.0%) (54.0%) (58.6%) (61.5%)
P/BV (x) 3.79 3.43 3.15 2.89
ROE 22.7% 16.1% 16.0% 16.9%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Net Revenues 52,781 53,752 55,640 61,557
Gross Profit 22,298 21,744 22,256 24,777
Operating EBITDA 8,362 6,974 7,456 8,433
Depreciation And Amortisation (850) (857) (885) (923)
Operating EBIT 7,512 6,117 6,571 7,510
Financial Income/(Expense) 836 851 990 1,181
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense)
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 8,348 6,968 7,561 8,691
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 8,348 6,968 7,561 8,691
Taxation (2,110) (1,801) (1,928) (2,216)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 6,238 5,168 5,633 6,475
Minority Interests
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 6,238 5,168 5,633 6,475
Recurring Net Profit 6,238 5,168 5,633 6,475
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 6,238 5,168 5,633 6,475
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
EBITDA 8,362 6,974 7,456 8,433
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital (730) 417 (98) (601)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense
Other Operating Cashflow
Net Interest (Paid)/Received
Tax Paid (1,807) (1,801) (1,928) (2,216)
Cashflow From Operations 5,825 5,591 5,429 5,616
Capex (262) (376) (445) (554)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments
Other Investing Cashflow (6,007) 1,085 1,224 1,416
Cash Flow From Investing (6,269) 709 779 862
Debt Raised/(repaid)
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (1,240) (1,832) (2,678) (3,101)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow (438) (234) (234) (234)
Cash Flow From Financing (1,678) (2,067) (2,912) (3,335)
Total Cash Generated (2,123) 4,234 3,296 3,142
Free Cashflow To Equity 5,562 5,215 4,984 5,062
Free Cashflow To Firm (445) 6,300 6,208 6,477
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Cash And Equivalents 14,586 18,819 22,115 25,257
Total Debtors 10,365 9,867 10,061 10,962
Inventories
Total Other Current Assets 2,723 2,723 2,723 2,723
Total Current Assets 27,674 31,409 34,899 38,943
Fixed Assets 2,036 1,555 1,115 746
Total Investments 3,023 3,023 3,023 3,023
Intangible Assets 5,052 5,052 5,052 5,052
Total Other Non-Current Assets 1,472 1,472 1,472 1,472
Total Non-current Assets 11,582 11,102 10,662 10,293
Short-term Debt
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 2,805 2,724 2,820 3,120
Other Current Liabilities 4,653 4,653 4,653 4,653
Total Current Liabilities 7,458 7,377 7,473 7,773
Total Long-term Debt
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 1,357 1,357 1,357 1,357
Total Non-current Liabilities 1,357 1,357 1,357 1,357
Total Provisions
Total Liabilities 8,815 8,734 8,830 9,130
Shareholders Equity 30,441 33,777 36,731 40,106
Minority Interests
Total Equity 30,441 33,777 36,731 40,106
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue Growth 10.1% 1.8% 3.5% 10.6%
Operating EBITDA Growth 24.5% (16.6%) 6.9% 13.1%
Operating EBITDA Margin 15.8% 13.0% 13.4% 13.7%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) 49.92 64.71 76.40 87.55
BVPS (Rs) 108.47 119.82 130.30 142.27
Gross Interest Cover 37.67 26.10 28.04 32.04
Effective Tax Rate 25.3% 25.8% 25.5% 25.5%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio 29.2% 35.5% 47.5% 47.9%
Accounts Receivables Days 67.20 68.69 65.36 62.33
Inventory Days
Accounts Payables Days 30.64 31.53 30.31 29.47
ROIC (%) 39.5% 32.0% 36.8% 43.2%
ROCE (%) 20.0% 13.9% 13.7% 14.3%
Return On Average Assets 15.8% 11.1% 11.1% 11.8%

Analyst(s)

Abhishek SHINDADKAR

(91) 22 4161 1543 abhishek.shindadkr@incredresearch.com

Vikas Swami

(91) 22 4161 1544 vikas.swami@incredresearch.com