* price as on 06 Jun 2025
Financial
Mar-25A Mar-26F Mar-27F Mar-28F
Net Interest Income (Rsm) 456,587 476,218 546,668 625,573
Total Non-Interest Income (Rsm) 166,473 144,925 138,718 135,189
Operating Revenue (Rsm) 623,060 621,143 685,385 760,762
Total Provision Charges (Rsm) (59,803) (80,357) (91,432) (103,375)
Net Profit (Rsm) 195,812 164,262 179,662 200,040
Core EPS (Rs) 37.82 31.73 34.70 38.64
Core EPS Growth 10% (16%) 9% 11%
FD Core P/E (x) 6.51 7.76 7.09 6.37
DPS (Rs) 8.35 6.35 6.94 7.73
Dividend Yield 3.39% 2.58% 2.82% 3.14%
BVPS (Rs) 264.5 287.8 316.2 347.9
P/BV (x) 0.93 0.86 0.78 0.71
ROE 15.7% 11.5% 11.5% 11.6%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-25A Mar-26F Mar-27F Mar-28F
Net Interest Income 456,587 476,218 546,668 625,573
Total Non-Interest Income 166,473 144,925 138,718 135,189
Operating Revenue 623,060 621,143 685,385 760,762
Total Non-Interest Expenses (298,714) (326,641) (359,733) (396,599)
Pre-provision Operating Profit 324,346 294,502 325,652 364,163
Total Provision Charges (59,803) (80,357) (91,432) (103,375)
Operating Profit After Provisions 264,544 214,144 234,221 260,788
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Operating EBIT (incl Associates) 264,544 214,144 234,221 260,788
Non-Operating Income/(Expense)
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 264,544 214,144 234,221 260,788
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 264,544 214,144 234,221 260,788
Taxation (68,732) (49,883) (54,559) (60,748)
Consolidation Adjustments & Others
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 195,812 164,262 179,662 200,040
Minority Interests
Pref. & Special Div
FX And Other Adj.
Net Profit 195,812 164,262 179,662 200,040
(Rs mn) Mar-25A Mar-26F Mar-27F Mar-28F
Gross Loans/Cust Deposits
Avg Loans/Avg Deposits 81.3% 82.5% 82.9% 82.9%
Avg Liquid Assets/Avg Assets 96.6% 96.6% 96.6% 96.7%
Avg Liquid Assets/Avg IEAs 107.3% 107.9% 108.0% 108.0%
Net Cust Loans/Assets
Net Cust Loans/Broad Deposits
Equity & Provns/Gross Cust Loans
Asset Risk Weighting
Provision Charge/Avg Cust Loans 0.53% 0.63% 0.63% 0.63%
Provision Charge/Avg Assets 0.36% 0.43% 0.43% 0.44%
Total Write Offs/Average Assets
(Rs mn) Mar-25A Mar-26F Mar-27F Mar-28F
Total Gross Loans 12,095,579 13,538,582 15,307,093 17,306,620
Liquid Assets & Invst. (Current) 3,853,985 4,156,520 4,657,633 5,221,715
Other Int. Earning Assets
Total Gross Int. Earning Assets 15,949,564 17,695,102 19,964,726 22,528,336
Total Provisions/Loan Loss Reserve
Total Net Interest Earning Assets 15,949,564 17,695,102 19,964,726 22,528,336
Intangible Assets
Other Non-Interest Earning Assets 480,655 543,140 616,464 699,687
Total Non-Interest Earning Assets 604,418 669,997 746,492 832,966
Cash And Marketable Securities 1,258,492 1,411,614 1,599,273 1,811,889
Long-term Investments
Total Assets 17,812,474 19,776,712 22,310,492 25,173,190
Customer Interest-Bearing Liabilities 14,720,348 16,339,587 18,463,734 20,864,018
Bank Deposits
Interest Bearing Liabilities: Others
Total Interest-Bearing Liabilities 15,748,210 17,501,070 19,782,018 22,360,270
Banks Liabilities Under Acceptances
Total Non-Interest Bearing Liabilities 695,006 785,357 891,380 1,011,716
Total Liabilities 16,443,216 18,286,428 20,673,398 23,371,988
Shareholders Equity 1,369,257 1,490,285 1,637,095 1,801,203
Minority Interests
Total Equity 1,369,257 1,490,285 1,637,095 1,801,203
Mar-25A Mar-26F Mar-27F Mar-28F
Total Income Growth 2.1% 4.3% 14.8% 14.4%
Operating Profit Growth 4.7% (9.2%) 10.6% 11.8%
Pretax Profit Growth 6% (19%) 9% 11%
Net Interest To Total Income 73.3% 76.7% 79.8% 82.2%
Cost Of Funds 5.10% 5.14% 5.08% 5.08%
Return On Interest Earning Assets 8.0% 7.9% 7.9% 8.0%
Net Interest Spread 2.91% 2.77% 2.85% 2.90%
Net Interest Margin (Avg Deposits) 3.26% 3.07% 3.14% 3.18%
Net Interest Margin (Avg RWA)
Provisions to Pre Prov. Operating Profit 18% 27% 28% 28%
Interest Return On Average Assets 2.71% 2.53% 2.60% 2.63%
Effective Tax Rate 26.0% 23.3% 23.3% 23.3%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio 22.1% 20.0% 20.0% 20.0%
Return On Average Assets 1.16% 0.87% 0.85% 0.84%

Analyst(s)

Bhavik Shah

(91) 22 4161 1551 bhavik.shah@incredresearch.com

Rishabh JOGANI

(91) 22 4161 1569 rishabh.jogani@incredresearch.com