* price as on 19 Nov 2024
Financial
Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue (Rsm) 9,358 7,915 8,602 8,853
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 4,021 3,321 3,518 3,428
Net Profit (Rsm) 2,952 2,440 2,686 2,619
Core EPS (Rs) 27.8 23.0 25.3 24.6
Core EPS Growth 29.2% (17.3%) 10.1% (2.5%)
FD Core P/E (x) 46.48 56.23 51.08 52.39
DPS (Rs)
Dividend Yield
EV/EBITDA (x) 33.28 38.38 35.53 35.76
P/FCFE (x) 11.86 58.85 59.51 58.97
Net Gearing (33.7%) (84.8%) (87.7%) (90.3%)
P/BV (x) 13.58 11.91 9.87 8.47
ROE 33.2% 22.6% 21.1% 17.4%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Net Revenues 9,358 7,915 8,602 8,853
Gross Profit 6,098 5,144 5,590 5,754
Operating EBITDA 4,021 3,321 3,518 3,428
Depreciation And Amortisation (361) (459) (459) (459)
Operating EBIT 3,660 2,861 3,059 2,969
Financial Income/(Expense) (2) (9) (1) (1)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 298 413 533 533
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 3,956 3,265 3,591 3,501
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 3,956 3,265 3,591 3,501
Taxation (1,005) (825) (905) (882)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 2,952 2,440 2,686 2,619
Minority Interests
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 2,952 2,440 2,686 2,619
Recurring Net Profit 2,952 2,440 2,686 2,619
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 2,952 2,440 2,686 2,619
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
EBITDA 4,021 3,321 3,518 3,428
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital (51) 132 (140) (51)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense
Other Operating Cashflow 298 413 533 533
Net Interest (Paid)/Received (2) (9) (1) (1)
Tax Paid (1,005) (825) (905) (882)
Cashflow From Operations 3,262 3,032 3,006 3,027
Capex 4,155 (350) (350) (350)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments
Other Investing Cashflow 4,155 (350) (350) (350)
Cash Flow From Investing 8,310 (700) (700) (700)
Debt Raised/(repaid)
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (738) (610)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow
Cash Flow From Financing (738) (610)
Total Cash Generated 10,834 1,722 2,306 2,327
Free Cashflow To Equity 11,572 2,332 2,306 2,327
Free Cashflow To Firm 11,574 2,341 2,306 2,328
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Cash And Equivalents 3,401 9,774 12,190 14,628
Total Debtors 1,462 1,774 1,928 1,985
Inventories 1,088 1,018 1,107 1,139
Total Other Current Assets 352 352 352 352
Total Current Assets 6,303 12,919 15,578 18,104
Fixed Assets 577 142 (41) (224)
Total Investments 255
Intangible Assets
Total Other Non-Current Assets 160 160 160 160
Total Non-current Assets 992 302 119 (64)
Short-term Debt 1 1 1 1
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 805 1,180 1,282 1,320
Other Current Liabilities 349 349 349 349
Total Current Liabilities 1,155 1,531 1,633 1,671
Total Long-term Debt 3 3 3
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 23
Total Non-current Liabilities 23 3 3 3
Total Provisions 240 163 163 163
Total Liabilities 1,418 1,697 1,799 1,837
Shareholders Equity 10,100 11,524 13,898 16,203
Minority Interests
Total Equity 10,100 11,524 13,898 16,203
Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue Growth 36.6% (15.4%) 8.7% 2.9%
Operating EBITDA Growth 34.1% (17.4%) 6.0% (2.6%)
Operating EBITDA Margin 43.0% 42.0% 40.9% 38.7%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) 31.99 91.90 114.64 137.57
BVPS (Rs) 95.01 108.41 130.74 152.43
Gross Interest Cover 1,876.95 309.01 3,437.29 3,335.79
Effective Tax Rate 25.4% 25.3% 25.2% 25.2%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio
Accounts Receivables Days 58.46 74.62 78.56 80.67
Inventory Days 110.26 138.75 128.81 132.26
Accounts Payables Days 102.25 130.76 149.24 153.25
ROIC (%) 52.1% 86.1% 119.3% 118.5%
ROCE (%) 40.2% 26.0% 23.8% 19.5%
Return On Average Assets 35.7% 23.9% 18.6% 15.5%

Analyst(s)

Satish KUMAR

(91) 22 4161 1562 satish.kumar@incredresearch.com

Pratyush Kamal

(91) 2241611549 pratyush.kamal@incredresearch.com

Abbas PUNJANI

(91) 22 4161 1598 abbas.punjani@incredresearch.com