* price as on 19 Nov 2024
Financial
Mar-22A Mar-23F Mar-24F Mar-25F
Revenue (Rsm) 14,121 16,549 21,514 25,816
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 1,528 2,241 3,933 5,360
Net Profit (Rsm) 604 978 2,364 3,418
Core EPS (Rs) 4.2 6.2 15.1 21.8
Core EPS Growth (19.2%) 46.8% 141.7% 44.6%
FD Core P/E (x) 28.66 19.52 8.08 5.59
DPS (Rs) 0.3 0.5 1.2 1.7
Dividend Yield 0.32% 0.51% 1.24% 1.79%
EV/EBITDA (x) 14.58 11.05 6.00 4.13
P/FCFE (x) (47.48) (18.28) 23.85 10.45
Net Gearing 62.8% 49.0% 28.1% 13.5%
P/BV (x) 2.55 2.02 1.49 1.16
ROE 8.7% 11.5% 21.2% 23.3%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-22A Mar-23F Mar-24F Mar-25F
Total Net Revenues 14,121 16,549 21,514 25,816
Gross Profit 6,526 8,936 12,048 14,457
Operating EBITDA 1,528 2,241 3,933 5,360
Depreciation And Amortisation (560) (633) (698) (715)
Operating EBIT 968 1,608 3,235 4,645
Financial Income/(Expense) (358) (600) (375) (375)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc. (1)
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 330 300 300 300
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 940 1,308 3,160 4,569
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 940 1,308 3,160 4,569
Taxation (336) (330) (796) (1,151)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 604 978 2,364 3,418
Minority Interests
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 604 978 2,364 3,418
Recurring Net Profit 604 978 2,364 3,418
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 604 978 2,364 3,418
(Rs mn) Mar-22A Mar-23F Mar-24F Mar-25F
EBITDA 1,528 2,241 3,933 5,360
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital 64 (3,056) (2,661) (2,705)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense (126) 300 300 300
Other Operating Cashflow 650 600 600 600
Net Interest (Paid)/Received (358) (600) (375) (375)
Tax Paid (304) (330) (796) (1,151)
Cashflow From Operations 1,454 (845) 1,001 2,028
Capex (2,138) (200) (200) (200)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments
Other Investing Cashflow (353)
Cash Flow From Investing (2,491) (200) (200) (200)
Debt Raised/(repaid) 672
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares 948
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (7) (98) (236) (342)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow (254)
Cash Flow From Financing 1,360 (98) (236) (342)
Total Cash Generated 323 (1,143) 564 1,486
Free Cashflow To Equity (364) (1,045) 801 1,828
Free Cashflow To Firm (679) (445) 1,176 2,203
(Rs mn) Mar-22A Mar-23F Mar-24F Mar-25F
Total Cash And Equivalents 1,421 924 1,108 2,584
Total Debtors 2,997 3,774 4,906 5,887
Inventories 3,709 4,461 5,799 6,959
Total Other Current Assets 809 1,964 2,817 3,955
Total Current Assets 8,935 11,123 14,630 19,385
Fixed Assets 7,406 6,848 6,350 5,835
Total Investments 72 94 94 94
Intangible Assets 757 684 684 684
Total Other Non-Current Assets 831 722 722 722
Total Non-current Assets 9,065 8,349 7,851 7,336
Short-term Debt 2,349 2,169 2,169 2,169
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 2,338 2,208 2,871 3,445
Other Current Liabilities 1,265 1,023 1,023 1,023
Total Current Liabilities 5,953 5,401 6,063 6,637
Total Long-term Debt 3,876 3,732 2,732 2,732
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 385 84 84 84
Total Non-current Liabilities 4,261 3,816 2,817 2,817
Total Provisions 136 91 91 91
Total Liabilities 10,350 9,308 8,971 9,545
Shareholders Equity 7,479 9,467 12,812 16,478
Minority Interests 171 697 697 697
Total Equity 7,651 10,164 13,509 17,175
Mar-22A Mar-23F Mar-24F Mar-25F
Revenue Growth 19.0% 17.2% 30.0% 20.0%
Operating EBITDA Growth (16.0%) 46.6% 75.5% 36.3%
Operating EBITDA Margin 10.8% 13.5% 18.3% 20.8%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) (30.61) (31.70) (24.17) (14.76)
BVPS (Rs) 47.65 60.30 81.61 104.97
Gross Interest Cover 2.71 2.68 8.62 12.38
Effective Tax Rate 35.8% 25.2% 25.2% 25.2%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0%
Accounts Receivables Days 73.72 74.67 73.63 76.30
Inventory Days 166.01 195.85 197.81 204.98
Accounts Payables Days 94.24 108.98 97.92 101.46
ROIC (%) 5.8% 9.3% 15.9% 20.0%
ROCE (%) 7.4% 10.7% 18.7% 22.9%
Return On Average Assets 5.1% 7.6% 12.6% 15.0%

Analyst(s)

Satish KUMAR

(91) 22 4161 1562 satish.kumar@incredresearch.com

Abbas PUNJANI

(91) 22 4161 1598 abbas.punjani@incredresearch.com